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Bowling Green vs. St. Johns Prediction,
and Odds - 11-9-2018

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#519 Bowling Green
#520 St. John's
Red Storm

Friday, November 9, 2018 at 6:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Bowling Green Falcons

1 - 0


St. John's Red Storm

1 - 0


Bowling Green Falcons at St. John’s Red Storm  

NCAAB: Friday, November 9, 2018, Carnesecca Arena, Queens, New York, 6:30 PM ET

The inter-conference rivals will meet at the Carnesecca Arena on Friday where the St. John’s Red Storm are welcoming the Bowling Green Falcons following the teams’ respective victories in the opening games of the new college basketball season.

The Falcons entered the new campaign with a win over the Dragons

Bowling Green didn’t have a hard job in the opening night of the new campaign as they dismantled the Division II the Tiffin Dragons at home. The Falcons ended the previous year with a 16-16 record and in the 8th place in the Mid-American Conference as they suffered six consecutive defeats to finish the season, but this time around, they are looking to end with a record over .500.

Junior guard Dylan Frye led the Falcons in a 91-52 thrashing of the Dragons with game-high 20 points (8-12 FG, 4-7 3PT) and five rebounds; Justin Turner followed him with 16 points and five boards, while Demajeo Wiggins posted a double-double of 12 points and ten rebounds along with a couple of blocks. The trio led the team in scoring in the 2017-18 as well, so the Falcons will heavily rely on them in the new campaign. Bowling Green created a huge 25-point lead in the first half and they didn’t have trouble to maintain it and score even 46 points in the second half.

The Falcons had the 107th offense in the NCAAB in the 2017-18 that averaged 75.9 points per contest, while their defense allowed 77.8 points per game (251st). Bowling Green’s had a top 50 rebounding in the country as they were recording 38.3 boards per game (46th), while they were the 191st when it comes to assists per contest with 13.3 dishes a night. Bowling Green was 300th in field goal percentage as they had 42.1 percent from the floor and 181st from downtown with 34.9 percentage, while they were the 178th with 7.5 three-pointers made per game.

The Red Storm defeated the Greyhounds thanks to an excellent first-half display

St. John’s also opened the new season with a home win as they beat the Loyola (MD) Greyhounds and they are hoping to make it 2-0 when they welcome the Falcons on Friday. The Red Storm finished the last season with a 16-17 record and were the 9th in the Big East Conference as only DePaul had a worse record (11-20).

Junior guard Shamorie Ponds led the Red Storm in a 76-55 win over the Greyhounds with 20 points (9-15 FG, 2-7 3PT), four assists, and team-high three thefts; Mustapha Heron contributed with 15 points, seven rebounds, and a pair of steals, while Justin Simon ended the tilt with ten points, six boards, and two thefts. Ponds was the team’s top scorer last year and was among the top 20 offensive players in the country with 21.6 points per contest, so he will continue to terrorize opposing defenses this time around as well. St. John’s had a 25-point lead in the first half after scoring 48 points and they could afford to relax a bit in the second half.

The Red Storm had the 192nd offense in the NCAAB in the 2017-18 that averaged 73.1 points per contest, while their defense allowed 72.6 points per game (197th). St. John’s was 266th in rebounding as they were recording 33.6 boards per game, while they were the 232nd when it comes to assists per contest with 12.8 dishes a night. St. John’s was 243rd in field goal percentage as they had 43.4 percent from the floor and 283rd from downtown with 32.9 percentage, while they were the 241st with 7.0 three-pointers made per game.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

The schools have never met before and even though Bowling Green suffered seven consecutive defeats on the road last year, I am backing them to cover the spread here, despite the fact that the Red Storm as the favorites. It seems that the Falcons have more players who can decide the game and a greater depth than St. John’s who will probably heavily rely on Shamorie Ponds, and even though the hosts could turn out to be victorious here, I am going with the Falcons to cover the spread.

Prediction: Bowling Green Falcons +19.5 (-110)

Full-Game Total Pick

The rivals combined for around 150 points per contest in the last season and over is 3-0-1 in Falcons last four games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game, so I am leaning towards over on this one. Also, over is 7-3 in Red Storm last ten overall; over is 5-2 in Falcons previous seven in total, while over is 4-0-1 in Falcons last five games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.

Prediction: Over 156 (-110)

Full-Game Prop Bet

St. John’s decided a tilt with the Greyhounds in the opening half as they created a 25-point lead, but that was the case with Bowling Green’s game against Tiffin as it was clear that the favorites wanted to get to a comfortable lead early on. It’s going to be a bit different here and the spread is set at -11, and even though the win over the weak Dragons doesn’t have to mean anything, I think the visitors will not be down by double digits at halftime, so I am backing the Falcons to cover the spread.

Prediction: Bowling Green Falcons +11 (-110)

Half-Time Side Pick

Both the Falcons and Red Storm’s opening games produced under 74 points after the opening 20 minutes, which is set as total for the first half on this one. I don’t think we will see 40+ on both ends of the floor in the first half, but the rivals should be good enough to produce at least 75, so I am going with over 74 here.

Prediction: Over 74 (-110)

The Admiral

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to me, I am your man. Folks, I have been doing this since....forever, so yeah, I know a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with the totals. Basketball, Soccer, Football, Hockey, you name it, and I will find the best pick for you.


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