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Missouri vs. Iowa State Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 11-9-2018

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#527 Missouri
Tigers 6
#528 Iowa State
Cyclones -6

Friday, November 9, 2018 at 7:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Missouri

1 - 0

16-16
ATS
12-19
O/U
72
PPG
68
OPPG

Iowa State

1 - 0

11-17
ATS
16-12
O/U
72
PPG
75
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

SEC vs. Big 12 here as the Missouri Tigers travel to take on the Iowa State Cyclones. Both teams are 1-0 entering this matchup, and this would be a big non-conference victory for either side. Iowa State had a down year in 2017, but is widely expected to bounce back this year. Oddsmakers have installed the Cyclones as eight point favorites here.

Missouri A Wild Card

Missouri is a hard team to pin down. They made the NCAA tournament last year and had a good overall season, albeit one filled with drama. Star recruit Michael Porter got injured just minutes into his Tigers debut and missed almost the entire season, he returned right at the end of the regular season and for their one tournament game, but he didn’t mesh well with the team and it ended up just disrupting things.

Porter left for the NBA draft after the season, but his brother Jontay Porter is still with the team. Jontay was a key part of last year’s team as a freshman, and was supposed to play a huge role this year. A wrench got thrown into those plans when Porter went down with a season ending knee injury.

Porter’s absence is huge, and Missouri didn’t look great in their opener without him, only beating Central Arkansas by 13. While Missouri will likely struggle a bit initially as they seek to establish an identity without Porter, they should have enough talent to stay competitive.

Cyclones Shorthanded

Iowa State took care of business against Alabama State in their first game, but will face a much tougher test here. The Cyclones were 13-18 last year, but have historically been pretty good and have been a staple of the NCAA tournament the past few years. They should take a step forward this year, but have been dealt some significant obstacles.

They’ll be without several key pieces as “Forward Cameron Lard and wing Zoran Talley are both suspended until December and forward Solomon Young had surgery and won’t return until mid-December at best”, according to Ben Visser, an Iowa reporter.

Lard averaged 12.6 points per game last year, so his loss is a big one. Talley and Young were also both key contributors last year, with each player playing over 25 minutes a game last season. The absences will be huge, and could really hold them back against Missouri.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

I like the Tigers a lot here. Iowa State is missing so many pieces, that it’s hard to see them beating a team like Missouri, even with the injury to Porter. The Tigers are still pretty talented, and have covered eight of their last ten against the Big 10. I think Iowa State will struggle to find their footing early on this season, and I think Missouri could win this game outright.

Prediction: Missouri +8

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Both these teams have pretty good defenses, and neither looked particularly good offensively in their openers. The openers were also against much worse competition, so I’d expect this game to be even more low scoring. Both sides are also missing a significant chunk of their offensive production, so this should be a quiet game.

Prediction: Under 144

Alex Porter , "The Stash"

Alex Porter is one of the premier minds in basketball and football handicapping. With a degree in statistics, Alex uses advanced metrics as well as copious amounts of film study to make his picks. Since starting his betting career at the age of 18, the recent college graduate has never had a losing football season. We are very glad to have Alex as a part of our team here at StatSalt.

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