Featured Video from Scott Reichel
SEC vs. Big 12 here as the Missouri Tigers travel to take on the Iowa State Cyclones. Both teams are 1-0 entering this matchup, and this would be a big non-conference victory for either side. Iowa State had a down year in 2017, but is widely expected to bounce back this year. Oddsmakers have installed the Cyclones as eight point favorites here.
Missouri A Wild Card
Missouri is a hard team to pin down. They made the NCAA tournament last year and had a good overall season, albeit one filled with drama. Star recruit Michael Porter got injured just minutes into his Tigers debut and missed almost the entire season, he returned right at the end of the regular season and for their one tournament game, but he didn’t mesh well with the team and it ended up just disrupting things.
Porter left for the NBA draft after the season, but his brother Jontay Porter is still with the team. Jontay was a key part of last year’s team as a freshman, and was supposed to play a huge role this year. A wrench got thrown into those plans when Porter went down with a season ending knee injury.
Porter’s absence is huge, and Missouri didn’t look great in their opener without him, only beating Central Arkansas by 13. While Missouri will likely struggle a bit initially as they seek to establish an identity without Porter, they should have enough talent to stay competitive.
Iowa State took care of business against Alabama State in their first game, but will face a much tougher test here. The Cyclones were 13-18 last year, but have historically been pretty good and have been a staple of the NCAA tournament the past few years. They should take a step forward this year, but have been dealt some significant obstacles.
— Cyclone Basketball (@CycloneMBB) November 7, 2018
They’ll be without several key pieces as “Forward Cameron Lard and wing Zoran Talley are both suspended until December and forward Solomon Young had surgery and won’t return until mid-December at best”, according to Ben Visser, an Iowa reporter.
Lard averaged 12.6 points per game last year, so his loss is a big one. Talley and Young were also both key contributors last year, with each player playing over 25 minutes a game last season. The absences will be huge, and could really hold them back against Missouri.
- 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win
- 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. Big 12
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I like the Tigers a lot here. Iowa State is missing so many pieces, that it’s hard to see them beating a team like Missouri, even with the injury to Porter. The Tigers are still pretty talented, and have covered eight of their last ten against the Big 10. I think Iowa State will struggle to find their footing early on this season, and I think Missouri could win this game outright.
Prediction: Missouri +8
Full-Game Total Pick
Both these teams have pretty good defenses, and neither looked particularly good offensively in their openers. The openers were also against much worse competition, so I’d expect this game to be even more low scoring. Both sides are also missing a significant chunk of their offensive production, so this should be a quiet game.
Prediction: Under 144