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Indiana State vs. Dayton Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 11-9-2019

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#647 Indiana State
Sycamores 12.5
#648 Dayton
Flyers -12.5

Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 7:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Indiana State

0 - 0

14-15
ATS
14-14
O/U
69
PPG
71
OPPG

Dayton

0 - 0

14-17
ATS
17-15
O/U
72
PPG
66
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Indiana State Sycamores vs. Dayton Flyers

NCAAB: Saturday November 9, 2019 at 7:00 PM EST

This is the first game of the season for both of these teams that both missed out on the Big Dance last season. Indiana State was led by a solid defense last season and they only had two players that average in double figures. The Sycamores were 15-16 last season and did not get an invite to play in a post-season tournament.

Dayton won 21 games and they felt they were a Big Dance snub and they lost to Colorado in the first round of the NIT. While the team lost their 2nd leading scorer the Flyers return some key players and leading scorer Obi Toppin returns after averaging 14.4 ppg and 5.6 rpg last season and was named to the Naismith Trophy watch list.

This is the first ever meeting between these teams.

Key is key

Indiana State returns leading scorer Tyreke Key, who averaged 17.4 ppg last season, who was an All-MVC Second Team selection last season. Jordan Barnes also returns after averaging 14.6 ppg last season and he and Key were the only players that averaged in double figures last season. The top four scorers for the Sycamores last season were guards and Bronson Kessinger is the leading returning frontcourt player and averaged 6.1 ppg and 2.8 rpg.

Kessinger is a center and only 6’7” and the Sycamores do not have much size. Blake Brinkmeyer is a 6’9” redshirt freshman that played a few games last season and the team is high on him being an inside presence. Last season Indiana State struggled on the road going 4-9.

The scorers are back

For Dayton not only is Obi Toppin back in the fold but so are Jalen Crutcher and Ryan Mikesell, who each averaged at least 10.1 ppg last season. Toppin was the Atlantic 10 Freshman of the Year last season and shot a more than legit 66.6% from the floor and the 6’9” forward has a ton of upside. The Flyers can light it up from deep as well, as Crutcher is the best outside shooter on the squad and while Mikesell is a forward he can stroke it from deep as well stretching out the defense.

Last season Dayton won their first four games of the season and while they lost four of their next five games three were facing ranked teams. The Flyers may still be smarting from the Big Dance snub last season and that is not good for Indiana State. Last season Dayton was 13-4 at home last season.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Dayton has the talent to go far in the A-10 and get back to the NCAA Tournament. Toppin is one of the most heralded players they have had in a long time and they have had some good ones as of the better teams that is not from a major conference in the last several seasons. On the other side of the coin, Indiana State is a guard-heavy team that will struggle against teams that are legit in the paint. Well, that is what Dayton is. The Sycamores may hang around for a while, but the Flyers will simply fly by them with much more talent and Dayton will win and cover in their house in this season opener.

Prediction: Dayton

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Last season Indiana State was not a high scoring team but in four of their last five non-conference games, the total has gone Over. However, they are not a high scoring team and they face a Dayton squad that ranked a solid 46th in the nation in opponents' points allowed. Dayton ranked in the middle of the pack last season in scoring and they will not light it up in this one. While they will win handily they will do so because of their defense on the Sycamores. In this season opener for both teams, the Under is the solid pick.

Prediction: Under

Jason Green

I dig every sport and the NFL is my favorite. My team is the Redskins and my 2nd favorite is whoever is playing the Cowboys! I am a great handicapper and if you don't believe me just ask. I don't just write about betting on games I actually bet on them and I have done well, which is why it is a good idea to follow my picks.

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