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Texas vs. Purdue Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 11-9-2019

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#649 Texas
Longhorns 7.5
#650 Purdue
Boilermakers -7.5

Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 7:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Texas

1 - 0

18-19
ATS
15-22
O/U
71
PPG
66
OPPG

Purdue

1 - 0

20-16
ATS
20-16
O/U
76
PPG
67
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

You don't often get good games in the early season in college basketball unless its some kind of tournament. But we've got a good one here as the Purdue Boilermakers host the No. 22 ranked Texas Longhorns. Both teams are 1-0 on the year. Texas scored a 72-68 upset over Purdue last year at home. Can Purdue return the favor? Tipoff is Saturday at 7:00 p.m. ET at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, Indiana.

Texas snags first win

The Texas Longhorns are coming off another so-so season where they went 21-16 and 8-12 in the Big 12. It wasn't enough to get them into the NCAA tournament, but they did qualify for the NIT and they went out an won it. That gives them some great momentum for Shaka Smart's team coming into 2019-20. They did lose their top scorer Kerwin Roach and their stalwart big man Jaxson Hayes, but there's enough returning talent to make Longhorn fans excited about doing some damage in the tournament this year. Plus, they had the Big 12's best recruiting class.

The Longhorns are off to a 1-0 start and are ranked No. 22 in the nation. In their season opener they beat up on Northern Colorado 69-45. Andrew Jones led the way with 20 points while Matt Coleman had 10 points and Courtney Ramey added 16 points and 10 rebounds for Texas. They shot 45 percent from the field and 26 percent from three-point range.

If Texas is so-so or even just merely good, that’s probably not enough to quell the questions given the level of expectations – and piles of cash – that were heaped on Smart when he arrived from VCU. So, either win big or face a lot of questions. Either way, it’ll interesting to track from the outside.

Purdue hopes to get back to tourney

Purdue had a great run in 2018-19. They went 26-10 and 16-4 in the Big Ten and got to within a game of making the Final Four, They lost in the Elite 8 to eventual national champion Virginia. They were led by superstar guard Carsen Edwards who averaged 24 points per game last year. Edwards moved on to the NBA and left a sizable void back at Purdue. But Matt Painter's squad has some players that are ready to step up. They are expected to finish in the top half of the Big Ten by some pundits.

They began their season with a 79-57 win over the University of Wisconsin Green Bay. The Boilermakers shot 51 percent from the field and 31 percent from three-point range. Guard Jahaad Procter picked up where Edwards left off by pouring in 26 points. Center Matt Haarms had 16 points and 7 rebounds, while Eric Hunter had 15 points and 6 assists and Aaron Wheeler tossed in 10 points and grabbed 9 boards.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Take the Boilermakers. Texas beat Purdue last year 72-68 and they were 1.5 underdogs at home. The Boilermakers were the top 20 ranked team last year. This year it's reversed. Texas is ranked and Purdue is at home looking for the big win. I like Purdue to return the favor this year. They are going to be better than people expect and Texas, while they could be very good, are a bit more of a wildcard. They lost some key players and it remains to be seen who will step up this year. I'm going with the home team.

Prediction: Purdue

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Take the under. I tend to go with the under more often in early season games because its usually between teams that don't know each other. Plus, teams are trying to figure themselves out, working out what the roles will be and how the offense will work. In addition, these are two very solid defensive teams -- at least they were last year. that DNA is in them through their coaches so I look for a game where the defenses are ahead of the offenses. The under is 4-1 in the Longhorns last 5 versus a Big Ten opponent and 7-2 in their last 9 games overall.

 

Prediction: Under

David Shields , "Diamond Dave"

Dave has covered every major sport with passion and expertise for national sports publications. In addition to being a sportswriter, Dave has also worked in financial industry and brings a critical eye for numbers to his analysis of games. Dave thoroughly researches the statistics to spot the trends and breakdown the matchups to successfully find the winners in the NFL, NBA, MLB, college hoops, and other sports.

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