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Brown Bears vs. St. John’s Red Storm
NCAA: Tuesday, December 10, Carnesecca Arena, New York, 7:00 PM ET
The Brown Bears suffered three defeats in four games after the most recent loss to the Stony Brook Seawolves. It was the third road defeat in a row, and the Bears now dropped to a 5-4 record. Brown is in the 3rd position in the Ivy Conference with three wins behind Yale.
The St. John’s Red Storm are enjoying the home stint this season. This will be their 11th home game since the beginning of the campaign, and the Red Storm are on a four-game winning streak. Following a narrow victory over the West Virginia Mountaineers, St. John’s improved to an 8-2 record. The Red Storm are in the 4th place in the Big East behind Xavier, DePaul, and Butler.
These inter-conference schools met once before; it was in 2009 when St. John’s secured a 79-76 win.
Brown’s poor shooting led to a big loss to Stony BrookBrown suffered the third consecutive loss on the road as the Stony Brook Seawolves limited the Bears to only 36.5% from the field to secure a comfortable 79-63 victory. The Bears were also inaccurate from downtown (26.9%), while Stony Brook made seven triples more than Brown (14-7). The hosts moved the ball very well and ended the game with 22 assists opposite Brown’s 12. Junior forward TamenangChoh led the Bears with 19 points and seven rebounds, while senior guard Brandon Anderson added 13 points, game-high seven assists, and game-high three steals. Anderson had a forgettable shooting night, though, he made only five of his 17 attempts (0-4 from beyond the arc).
The Bears have the 240th offense in the NCAA that averages 69.3 points per game, and they are facing the Red Storm’s 150th defense that allows 67.3 points per contest. The Bears are 34th in rebounds with 40.7 and 212th in assists with 12.8 per game.
St. John’s edged West Virginia in a tight game at homeSt John’s secured the fourth victory in a row, but unlike the previous three, this one was very narrow. Rasheen Dunn scored a couple of free throws with five seconds to go to give the Red Storm a 70-68 win over the West Virginia Mountaineers. Miles McBride had an opportunity to force overtime but missed from inside the arc. Junior guard LJ Figueroa led St. John’s with 17 points, four rebounds, two steals, and two blocks. Dunn contributed with 13 points, five boards, four dishes, and two thefts, while Nick Rutherford chipped in with 11 points and game-high five steals.
The Red Storm have the 42nd offense in the NBA that averages 80.0 points per game, and they are facing the Bears’ 232nd defense that allows 71.0 points per contest. The Red Storm are 4th in rebounds with 43.8 and 96th in assists with 14.8 per game.
- 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games vs. a team with a losing road record
- 4-2 ATS in their last six games
- 4-1 ATS in their last five games played in December
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Brown scored precisely 63 points in each of the previous three road defeats. It seems like a magical number for the Bears, who cannot win games when they score 63. Scoring 63 would definitely not be enough against a top 50 offense that can easily outscore them. Interestingly, the Red Storm kept the opponents to 63 points in three of the last six games, which is exceptionally coincidental. St. John’s also scored 70+ in each of four straight victories and limited the opponents to under 70 on each occasion. The Bears are rarely scoring more than 70 points, and this matchup is far from being favorable. I am backing the Red Storm to get an easy win here.
Prediction: St. John’s Red Storm -11.5 (-110)
Full-Game Total Pick
Brown’s inefficiency on the road and St John’s sturdy home defense are the biggest reasons I am going with Under in this encounter. None of the Red Storm’s previous nine home games produced more than 149 points. That is the case with Brown’s four road games so far in the season. Considering the total, which is set at 149.5, it is a no-brainer to me. I expect the rivals to combine for around 140 points, but I am going with Under. I am backing the Red Storm to keep the visitors to under 70 points, while I also don’t expect them to score more than 80.
Prediction: Under 149.5 (-110)