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The 4-5 Monmouth Hawks go on the road to face off with the 1-6 Princeton Tigers at 8:00 PM ET in the Jadwin Gym. Both of these teams average under 70 points a night, so we can expect a slow, methodical game. The Hawks are the more talented team and they rank better in just about every category. Princeton does have the advantage in turnovers, as they have a tendency to take care of the ball and force you to beat them other ways. It’s just not very hard, as they hold the 216th best defensive efficiency in the paint and don’t have any premier perimeter defenders. It’ll be interesting to see if Princeton can get their second win after a miserable start to the season.
Slow, but effective Monmouth offenseThe Monmouth Hawks have faced some terrible teams to start the year and one of their losses came to Stetson University. With that said, they’re coming off back-to-back wins and a 75-71 W over the Norfolk State Spartans. Deion Hammond led the way with 24 points and six rebounds on 8-18 shooting. Mustapha Traore was the only other player in double-figures with 10 points and six boards. They held Norfolk State, a very fast team, to 71 points and the Hawks were able to drop 75.
Guards Deion Hammond (15.3 pts, 3.3 reb, 0.9 ast) and Ray Salnave (11.8 pts, 3.8 reb, 3.1 ast) lead the Hawks and are the only two players that average double-figure points. That’s because the Hawks play extremely slow, averaging just 64.7 points per game for 310th in the country. They also shoot just 40.7% from the field, which happens to rank 290th. This is a team that relies on Hammond and Salnave to score while playing methodical, solid defense.
Princeton struggling mightily through sevenThe Princeton Tigers have gone 1-6 through their first seven games with their only win an 87-77 one over Bucknell. They’re coming off a close 76-82 defeat at the hands of the Drexel Dragons. Sophomore Dragon Camren Wynter scored 31 points on just 16 shots with five assists, three rebounds, and three steals. He single-handedly beat Princeton. For the Tigers, Jaelin Llewellyn led the way with 28 points and three assists. They shot under 42% as a team and struggled from the three-point line. They played terrible defense and Camren Wynter shut them down.
For the Tigers, Jaelin Llewellyn is the heart and soul of this team. He averages 17.4 points with 2.7 rebounds and 2.1 assists. He’s a great scorer, but struggles to share the ball. Six-foot-nine Center Richmond Aririguzoh is the only other player who averages double-figures, putting up 13.9 points and 8.9 rebounds a night. Princeton turns the ball over just 12 times a game, and they shoot a solid 44% from the field. They struggle on defense and don’t have much scoring after Llewellyn.
- Tigers are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 home games
- Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
- Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Princeton has been terrible straight up this year, but they’ve beaten the spread three times and I think they make it four here at home. The Monmouth Hawks have had a terribly easy schedule and have lost to some terrible teams. Princeton isn’t as bad as their record says, as there have been three losses within seven points. I like Princeton to win and cover ATS at home.
Prediction: Princeton -6
Full-Game Total Pick
Both of these teams like to slow the pace down and neither will insist on speeding it up. This number is too high for two teams that both average under 70 points a game. They shoot sub-45% from the field and neither teams have much to offer from the three-point line. I’m expecting a snail-paced game with limited offense and not many points. The under is an easy bet here
Prediction: Under 139.5