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#617 Nevada at #618 BYU
When and where: Dec. 10, 2019. Marriott Center, Provo, UT, 9 p.m.
BYU will play their fourth Mountain West Conference team in the non-conference season when they host Nevada on Tuesday evening. So far, the Cougars are 1-3 against the MWC, although that win was by 33 points on Saturday over UNLV.
Nevada has won five straight
Nevada lost its coach when Eric Musselman jolted for Arkansas in the off-season, but also lost most of its players to either the NBA or as transfers. The Wolf Pack has eight new players this season, but return high-scoring guards Jazz Johnson and Lindsey Drew.
In their most recent game, the Wolf Pack went on the road for the MWC opener and came away with a hard-fought 100-85 win over Air Force.
Jalen Harris led the Wolf Pack with 31 points while Drew scored 15 and Johnson added 14. Drew also added eight rebounds.
Johnson leads the team with 18.3 points per game while Harris leads in assists with 4.4 and rebounds at 6.7.
Despite having lost almost all their primary scoring from last season, the Wolf Pack average 79.6 points per game, good for 50th nationally. They allow 71.9 points, however, ranking 253rd.
Cougars coming off of blow out of UNLV
BYU has stacked its non-conference schedule. So far, the results have been mixed. The Cougars have a win against UCLA, but an overtime loss to Utah. They lost to Kansas but have a win over Virginia Tech.
BYU lost at home to undefeated San Diego State and lost in overtime against Boise State, but came back to demolish UNLV on Saturday in Salt Lake City.
Against the Rebels, BYU jumped out quickly and built a 21-point halftime lead. The Cougars then went on to outscore the Rebels by 12 in the second half.
The Cougars hit on 14 of 27 three-point attempts (52 percent).
Childs leads the team in scoring at 21 points per game and also with 10.5 rebounds, despite having played in only two games so far this season. TJ Hawes averages 4.3 assists.
BYU averages 77.7 points per game, good for 80th nationally, but they also allow 69.6 points (193rd).
• Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight-up win of more than 20 points.
• Cougars are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight-up win
• Cougars are 3-13-2 ATS in their last 18 games as a home underdog
The supporting trends for this game, found on Covers.com, are:
• Wolf Pack are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall
• Wolf Pack are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight-up win
• Wolf Pack are 6-0 TS in their last six games as a favorite
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
BYU is coming off a 33-point win in its last game, against UNLV on Saturday in Salt Lake City. But Nevada is a much better team than the Rebels, even with the majority of its team turned over.
The Cougars are 5-5 against the spread this season, and over the past eight games that have posted lines, they’ve alternated covering and not covering the line.
The Wolf Pack are 6-4 ATS but Nevada has covered the line in their past five games. In all five games, the Wolf Pack were favored.
Take Nevada +7.5
Prediction: Nevada +7.5
Full-Game Total Pick
Both Nevada and BYU have offenses ranked in the top 80 in the country and both teams have defenses ranked 193 or lower.
Nevada games have gone over six times, compared to four going under. The last two Wolf Pack games have gone over and four of their past six.
BYU games have gone over time times and under five times as well. Even after scoring 83 points against UNLV, the game went under because the Rebels scored only 50 with a 137 point over/under total. Prior to that, the last two BYU games had gone over.
Take Over 153.5
Prediction: Over 153.5