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New Mexico State (5-5) is in the midst of a three-game road trip. In their second game, they'll travel to Denver on Tuesday for the first time since 2013.
The Pioneers (4-6) want to protect their home court. Denver has an undefeated record at home this season. And in their last six meetings against the Aggies, the Pioneers have won four of them.
Tuesday's game which is part of the WAC/Summit League Challenge takes place at the Magness Arena with tip-off scheduled for 9 p.m. EST.
The Aggies search for offensive productionNew Mexico State doesn't score often on the road, where they average 57 points per game. The good news is they face a Pioneers defense that allows 70 points per game, so there are plays to be made.
The one area that proves to be challenging is the perimeter shooting. Denver holds opponents to 27% three-point shooting, which is 19th best nationally. With this in mind, look for New Mexico State to try their luck more in the post, where they shoot the ball better.
Defensively, the key is to shut down Ade Murkey. Murkey has been on a hot-streak as of late, scoring at least 15 points in his last four games. Slowing him down is essential to New Mexico State's success.
Denver hoping to keep home winning streak aliveThe Pioneers' defense could decide this one. As dominant as they have been on the perimeter, they allow far too many easy shots inside the arc, where opponents average 45% shooting.
Luckily, they're facing a New Mexico State offense that struggles to shoot the ball well. Overall, they make 38% of their shots, which explains why they average 57 points per game on the road.
Offensively, the Pioneers face a pretty stout Aggies' defense. New Mexico State only allows opponents to score 64 points per game. Murkey, who has had the hot hand as of late, could be the X-factor that propels Denver to victory.
Trends found on Odds Shark.com Denver is:
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 when hosting New Mexico State
New Mexico State is:
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 against Denver
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I'm not sold on Denver's defensive abilities inside of the perimeter, as they allow teams to score on average 70 points per game on their home floor. This catches up with them as the Aggies use their offensive strength to make easier shots against a Denver defense that doesn't contest well. Meanwhile, the Pioneers struggled to keep pace thanks to a ferocious Aggies' defense that holds Denver in check. New Mexico State makes enough shots late to win this one.
Prediction: New Mexico State
Full-Game Total Pick
New Mexico State has played outstanding defense on the road, holding opponents to 63 points a game and they're 4-1 in the Under in their last five road games. Given they're facing a Denver offense that struggles to score on its home court (they average 62 a game), I look for this to be a lower-scoring game.