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New Mexico State vs. Denver Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 12-10-2019

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#623 New Mexico State
Aggies -11.5
#624 Denver
Pioneers 11.5

Tuesday, December 10, 2019 at 9:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

New Mexico State

5 - 5

18-13
ATS
16-16
O/U
77
PPG
64
OPPG

Denver

4 - 6

8-21
ATS
16-14
O/U
69
PPG
77
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

New Mexico State (5-5) is in the midst of a three-game road trip. In their second game, they'll travel to Denver on Tuesday for the first time since 2013.

The Pioneers (4-6) want to protect their home court. Denver has an undefeated record at home this season. And in their last six meetings against the Aggies, the Pioneers have won four of them.

Tuesday's game which is part of the WAC/Summit League Challenge takes place at the Magness Arena with tip-off scheduled for 9 p.m. EST.

The Aggies search for offensive production

New Mexico State doesn't score often on the road, where they average 57 points per game. The good news is they face a Pioneers defense that allows 70 points per game, so there are plays to be made.

The one area that proves to be challenging is the perimeter shooting. Denver holds opponents to 27% three-point shooting, which is 19th best nationally. With this in mind, look for New Mexico State to try their luck more in the post, where they shoot the ball better.

Defensively, the key is to shut down Ade Murkey. Murkey has been on a hot-streak as of late, scoring at least 15 points in his last four games. Slowing him down is essential to New Mexico State's success.

Denver hoping to keep home winning streak alive

The Pioneers' defense could decide this one. As dominant as they have been on the perimeter, they allow far too many easy shots inside the arc, where opponents average 45% shooting.

Luckily, they're facing a New Mexico State offense that struggles to shoot the ball well. Overall, they make 38% of their shots, which explains why they average 57 points per game on the road.

Offensively, the Pioneers face a pretty stout Aggies' defense. New Mexico State only allows opponents to score 64 points per game. Murkey, who has had the hot hand as of late, could be the X-factor that propels Denver to victory.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

I'm not sold on Denver's defensive abilities inside of the perimeter, as they allow teams to score on average 70 points per game on their home floor. This catches up with them as the Aggies use their offensive strength to make easier shots against a Denver defense that doesn't contest well. Meanwhile, the Pioneers struggled to keep pace thanks to a ferocious Aggies' defense that holds Denver in check. New Mexico State makes enough shots late to win this one.

Prediction: New Mexico State

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

New Mexico State has played outstanding defense on the road, holding opponents to 63 points a game and they're 4-1 in the Under in their last five road games. Given they're facing a Denver offense that struggles to score on its home court (they average 62 a game), I look for this to be a lower-scoring game.

Prediction: Under

Sean Jackson

Sean Jackson is a freelance writer based out of Fort Myers. Prior to joining our team here at StatSalt and Winners & Whiner, Sean was a national college football columnist with the Score. We are very glad to have Sean as a part of our team as he is a solid and confident handicapper. Let Sean win for you.

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