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The Washington Huskies play host to the South Dakota Coyotes on Monday in what should be an intriguing non-conference matchup. Washington was one of the few Power 5 programs to sit out Thanksgiving week tournaments. Its last win was an 88-69 victory over San Diego which improved the Huskies to 4-0 at home. Washington is led by freshman forward Isaiah Stewart, who averages 17.3 points and 6.7 rebounds per game.
South Dakota is expected to contend for the Summit League title this year but is coming off a tough 76-72 loss at Northern Arizona. The Coyotes features Summit League Preseason Player of the Year Stanley Umude as well as two other all-conference players. Umude has scored 12 or more points in all eight of South Dakota's games this year and is shooting over 46% from 3-point range.
Coyotes seek resume winIt's not often that a team shoots 50% from the field including 7-12 from 3-point range and loses, but that's what happened to South Dakota on Saturday at Northern Arizona. The Coyotes were 6.5 point favorites in Flagstaff but shot themselves in the foot with 28 fouls including a late flagrant. Foul trouble kept leading scorer Tyler Hagedorn to 10 points after he had been averaging over 20 heading into the game. Senior guard Cody Kelley fouled out with 17 points. For South Dakota to hang with Washington, it will have to play smarter.
The Coyotes are an offensive-oriented team -- they rank 59th in offensive efficiency versus 256th defensively according to KenPom. Their go-to guy is Stanley Umude, a six-foot-six wing whose shooting percentage is down from a year ago despite an uptick in his touch from behind the arc. Senior guard Triston Simpson is another valuable member of the backcourt. He averages 12 points and a team-high 3.4 assists. Rebounding could be an issue for a South Dakota team that lacks much interior size outside of Hagedorn, the team's leader in boards (6.9 rebounds per game).
Washington goes for fourth straight winThe Washington Huskies boast a young roster (four its six leading scorers are underclassmen) so it'd be understandable for a couple down performances. So far, UW hasn't stumbled much other than its double-digit loss to Tennessee a few weeks ago. Isaiah Stewart, a top-five recruit coming out of high school, leads the team in scoring and rebounding, while junior wing Nahziah Carter brings plenty of athleticism to the court. Still, the Huskies have a long ways to go especially shooting the ball. They rank 307th nationally with a 28.7 three-point shooting percentage.
Sophomore guard Quade Green, who began his career at Kentucky, leads the team with five assists per game including 10 against San Diego on Nov. 24. The Huskies don't lack for guards or wings but are a bit short on height. The only guy taller than six-foot-nine who regularly cracks the rotation is six-foot-eleven senior Sam Timmins. His best game came against Montana, when he scored seven points and grabbed five rebounds in 20 minutes.
The top supporting trends for this game, found on covers.com, are: N/A
- Coyotes are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS loss.
- Coyotes are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Coyotes are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The South Dakota Coyotes came undone in the final minutes of their loss to Northern Arizona, blowing a seven-point lead and eventually losing by four. That's the kind of collapse that can stick with a team for a week or two. Washington's disciplined defense should make the Coyotes pay for any carelessness with the basketball. The Huskies are led by one of the best freshmen in the country in Isaiah Stewart. Washington has won its last three games by an average margin of 18.3 points.
Prediction: Washington Huskies -13
Full-Game Total Pick
Washington has a top-20 defense nationally according to KenPom. Expect the Huskies to pressure South Dakota all night into plenty of fouls and turnovers. On the contrary, Washington is shooting just 46% from the field and averaging under 70 points per game. The under is 5-1 in the Huskies' last six home games.
Prediction: Under 141.5