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Austin Peay vs. Arkansas Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 12-3-2019

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#777 Austin Peay
Governors
#778 Arkansas
Razorbacks

Tuesday, December 3, 2019 at 8:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Austin Peay

3 - 3

16-14
ATS
15-16
O/U
82
PPG
73
OPPG

Arkansas

7 - 0

16-18
ATS
11-23
O/U
75
PPG
72
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Austin Peay Governors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

Where and when: Bud Walton Arena, Fayetteville, Arkansas, Tuesday, 8 pm EST

The Governors of Austin Peay seek their first road win of the young season as they travel to Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville, Arkansas, to battle the Razorbacks on Tuesday night at 8 pm EST. These teams met last year when Arkansas was able to pull out an 11-point victory in Fayetteville; Yet, the Governors covered as 13-point underdogs. The Razorbacks also pull off a 30+ point win at home versus Austin Peay in 2016 as 23-point favorites. The Governors enter this contest 3-1 ATS in their last four games while Arkansas, despite going 5-0 against the number to begin the season, is 0-2 in their last two games.

Offense is tip of the spear in Governors' success

Austin Peay currently resides in sixth place within the Ohio Valley Conference and seek to continue their recent momentum by winning their third straight game versus a solid defensive-minded squad in the Razorbacks on Tuesday night. There is a good chance that the visitors will may things interesting as they are coming into this matchup scoring 80+ points in their last two, after beginning the year in the low 70's. However, the offense has since heated up averaging 83 points per on 47% shooting from the floor.

Junior guard Terry Taylor is shooting 56% on the year and leads the team in points (23.3), rebounds (9.2), along with blocks per game (1.8). Sophomore guard Antwuan Butler (9 ppg, 5 rebs) along with Carlos Paez, who scored 17 points in the Governor's most recent win over the Bulldogs of South Carolina State on November 25th, have each shown the ability to put up points in 2019. However, they must bring their A-game to stay competitive with a defensive unit for Arkansas that is barely allowing 50 points per game to opponents on 36% shooting.

Defensively, Austin Peay has really improved after an early three-game road losing streak to where they allowed an average of 87 points. Since, each of their preceding two opponents have not scored 70 points as the team has won two straight games. And while the Razorbacks have a tendency to struggle on the offensive end in shooting 44% on the year, they possess a number of playmakers in Mason Jones along with Isaiah Joe, who have each been very individually consistent thus far.

Razorbacks need more offensive consistency

Jones leads the Razorbacks in scoring with 19 points per game along with pulling down 6 boards in 2019. And while he has been an offensive spark thus far for Arkansas, Jones is also posting 2.5 steals per game. Joe is a sophomore guard that is putting up 16 points, 5 rebounds, and 3 assists per game while SMU-transfer guard Jimmy Whitt Jr. is also averaging double-digits with 14 points per and alongside 6 boards on 53% shooting. Together, these players serve as the go-to guys for an offense that has failed to reach the 70-point mark in four of seven games in 2019. Nonetheless, the team is indeed scoring 76 per game on 44% shooting while going a dismal 26% from long-range.

The defense has been the key to the Razorbacks’ success in 2019 as they are ranked in the top ten in points allowed (51), shooting percentage (36%), along with three-point percentage allowed (18%). In fact, Arkansas has not allowed more than 63 points to any opponent thus far in 2019. It will be interesting to see how they approach the high-scoring Governors’ top weapon in Taylor in addition to cooling down an offense that has really stepped it up as of late.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Arkansas will slowly gain control of the pace for this contest on the backs of their outstanding defense.  And while the Governors will attempt to kick-start their offense as early as possible, Arkansas will also look to establish themselves on the defensive end to much more success.  Expect the Razorbacks to pick up a win where they continue to be dominant at Bud Walton Arena. Important to note that Arkansas is 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.  

 

 

Prediction:   Arkansas Razorbacks

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

I will gladly back the under for this contest.  Arkansas has one of the best defenses in the nation, as pointed out.  Furthermore, despite the Governors have a set of great games to where their offense shined, the Razorbacks are a different animal altogether.  The under has been the play in the last two meetings amongst these teams while also being the result in six home games for the Razorbacks. Again, the under sounds like the strong play in this instance.

Prediction: Under

Falepa Emme , "The Force"

A true analyst for a variety of sports, Falepa Emme has been a sports enthusiast for decades. His ability to read, learn, write, and constantly think sports will offer a unique perspective to NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL, along with MLB contests. Falepa brought his passion for analytics in each of these areas to OUR TEAM here at StatSalt and it will certainly benefit you in obtaining more insight into upcoming match-ups.

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