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Duke vs. Michigan State Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 12-3-2019

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#797 Duke
Blue Devils 6.5
#798 Michigan State
Spartans -6.5

Tuesday, December 3, 2019 at 9:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Duke

7 - 1

18-20
ATS
11-26
O/U
82
PPG
67
OPPG

Michigan State

5 - 2

27-12
ATS
15-24
O/U
77
PPG
64
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

It's rare to have such a big-time college basketball game so early in the season but that's what we have Tuesday night as the Duke Blue Devils face the Michigan State Spartans. The Blue Devils are ranked No. 1 in the country at 7-1 while the Spartans are ranked No. 3 with a record of 5-2. This will be a rematch of last year's Elite Eight battle where MSU knocked off Duke 68-67 to advance to the Final Four. Duke had won 7 straight over the Spartans up until that loss. Game time is 9:30 p.m. ET at Breslin Center in East Lansing, Michigan.

Duke bounces back from historic loss

Duke bounced back from a shocking upset loss against Stephen F. Austin at home with an 83-70 win against Winthrop. Freshman Matthew Hurt led the Blue Devils with 20 points while Joey Baker tossed in 16 points. It was not an easy win as Winthrop was within 5 points with about 3 minutes left until Baker hit back-to-back threes. They cruised from there. Vernon Carey added 17 points and 10 rebounds while Tre Jones finished with 15 points.

Duke fell from its No. 1 perch after the loss to Stephen F. Austin. Duke's Coach Mike Krzyzewski knows that the team has a long way to go. “It’s going to take time,” Krzyzewski said, reported the Charlotte News Observer. “We’re going to try to muck it out. We know we’re not a top-5 team. We may not be a top 25 team in the country right now. But we’ve beaten good teams and we’ve played well. Now where do we go after a loss and win this week? It’s a different journey.”

Spartans top UCLA

The Michigan State Spartans are 5-2 on the year, but they have had some good wins already this season. After losses to Kentucky and Virginia Tech, the Spartans bounced back with wins over Georgia and UCLA. Last week they beast UCLA 75-62 at the Maui Jim Maui Invitational at the Lahaina Civic Center in Maui. Cassius Winston led the way with 20 points, while Xavier Tillman added 14 points. Guard Rocket Watts added 10 points for the Spartans.

MSU shot 46 percent from the filed and held UCLA to 39 percent shooting. The Spartans made 8 of 19 from three for 42 percent and forced 10 UCLA turnovers. They also had 9 blocked shots. “We just learned a lot about our team,” Winston said after the win, reported the Detroit Free Press. “To come in and kind of get punched in the mouth, we haven't really had a chance to kind of respond to that that fast. We kind of usually got time to practice and go back and watch film and learn what to do to get better. This time, we got punched in our mouth and then we had to play the next day. And I think we did a pretty good job of rallying and getting back out there and playing hard for the next couple days.”

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Take the Spartans here. These are two of the better teams in the country but neither are as good as their rankings. Both have suffered upsets. Duke was embarrassed by Stephen F. Austin at home while Michigan State lost to Virginia Tech, a team that has lost already to Dayton and BYU. Both of these teams have a lot to figure out, but with two of the best coaches in the game, they will, eventually. I'm going with the home team here, mainly because they are home and they have one of the best players in the country in Winston. Duke relies on a lot of freshmen and they won't be ready to win a game like this on the road.

Prediction: Michigan State

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Take the under here. Both of these teams average more than 80 points per game but these numbers are inflated by some easy wins over cupcake teams. Against quality competition, the scores have been more in the 60s and 70s. Michigan State is always known for its good defense, so they will keep this game tight and low-scoring at home. The under is 4-0-1 in the Spartans last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record and 4-0-1 in their last 5 home games against a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. The under is 7-3-1 in the Blue Devils last 11 road games and 7-3-1 in their last 11 road games against a team with a winning home record.

 

Prediction: Under

David Shields , "Diamond Dave"

Dave has covered every major sport with passion and expertise for national sports publications. In addition to being a sportswriter, Dave has also worked in financial industry and brings a critical eye for numbers to his analysis of games. Dave thoroughly researches the statistics to spot the trends and breakdown the matchups to successfully find the winners in the NFL, NBA, MLB, college hoops, and other sports.

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