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Missouri Valley meets the Summit Tuesday as the Indiana State Sycamores host North Dakota State.
Each program enters today’s contest on a positive note. North Dakota State recently scored an impressive 70-53 road win vs. Idaho to end a two-game slide. Meanwhile, Indiana State downed Missouri-St. Louis 62-55 last weekend for a third-straight win.
The North Dakota State Bison have enjoyed a week off to prepare for this evening’s matchup. Indiana State last held court Saturday. The Bison are 2-1 away this season as the Sycamores sport a 1-0 home record.
Bison looking to regain last season’s late momentumAfter winning the Summit championship and making an NCAA Tournament cameo in March as Duke’s #16 seed first-round opponent, NDS’ starting core from last season returns. Vinnie Shahid (13.1 ppg) and Tyson Ward (11.9 ppg) lead an experienced cast predicated around defense. The Bison hold opponents to 60.9 ppg and 42 percent shooting.
Behind David Richman’s guidance, North Dakota State used their swarming defense to overcome Idaho 70-53. Harassed from all angles, the Vandals shot 35/28 percent as Bison Cam Hunter and Shahid led a balanced scoring attack.
Bison Travel to Indiana State for Hoops Showdown Tuesday Afternoon https://t.co/1gwNWq9jDT— NDSU Basketball (@NDSUmbb) December 2, 2019
Offensively, North Dakota State offers 67.9 ppg -a low offensive figure recurring in their three losses where the team hasn’t surpassed 62 points. Though, Indiana State’s defense has gaps and Richman’s men might capitalize by gaining effective scoring looks. If that becomes the case, another road win is in store for the Bison.
Lansing and company in need of continued offenseTime may be running short for Greg Lansing’s Indiana State tenure after helming five-straight losing seasons. This year continued issues from 2018-19 when the Sycamores finished 7-11 in conference play. Although, opposite Loyola Marymount and Air Force, Indiana State righted itself at the Junkanoo Jam. To cap those wins, the Sycamores rode big scoring efforts from upperclassmen Jordan Barnes and Tyreke Key. The experienced duo leads a top-heavy Indiana State offense averaging 69.6 ppg. In 2019, depth and defense has been problematic for a Sycamores group allowing 72.7 ppg while gaining viable contributions from six players. A rotation that shallow can’t afford off nights from its stars. And with North Dakota State’s defensive reputation, tonight presents a test for Lansing’s men.
It felt so good to finally be back at 🏡! Catch some of the highlights from our win over UMSL yesterday and make sure to check out these Sycamores Tuesday night back in the Hulman Center against NDSU#MarchOn pic.twitter.com/O9AsyI2EUa— Sycamore Basketball (@IndStMBB) December 1, 2019
For the Sycamores to avoid a home letdown, strong efforts will again be required of Key (17.0) and Barnes (13.4 ppg). If either stumble, outside of Copper Neese (11.0 ppg) Indiana State doesn’t boast enough offensive firepower to keep pace vs. a proven NCAA Tournament lineup.
- Sycamores are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.
- Sycamores are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Sycamores are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Tuesday games.
Trends courtesy of Covers.com
- Bison are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- Bison are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
With all factors considered, I see North Dakota State taking a clean road victory tonight similar to their latest contest vs. Idaho. The cohesive, poised Bison can hone in on Key and Barnes while limiting Indiana State’s secondary offense. Overall, the Sycamores will struggle to gain stops as North Dakota State’s depth and two-way execution make a winning difference. Expect the lessons learned from winning the MVC Tournament and facing Duke to materialize tonight for the Bison. Keep in mind the Bison are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games. Take North Dakota State ATS.
Full-Game Total Pick
I’ll take the Under in this contest as neither team sports prolific offense. Also, the Bison defense will hold Indiana State’s scoring total under its usual output. In turn, the Bison will grind out this contest with hustle and committee scoring, though that scoring won’t be enough to push over the total. Take the Under today as North Dakota State’s defense clamps down on a susceptible Indiana State group. Under is 6-1 in the Bison’s last seven road games. Take the Under 136.5