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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Wright State Raiders
NCAAB: Tuesday, December 3, 2019 at 7:00 PM EST
Western Kentucky had their two-game win streak snapped in their last game losing by 17 points against 2nd ranked Louisville. They only scored 54 points in that game while on the season their offense has been their strength ranking tied for 56th in the nation putting up an average of 80.3 ppg. This is only the Hilltoppers 2nd road game of the season beating Eastern Kentucky in their 3rd game of the season.
Wright State has won three of their last four games and they beat Western Kentucky by 18 points the last time they faced them in 2017. The Raiders are like the Hilltoppers in that their defense has been decent, but the offense has been solid ranking 35th in the nation in ppg.
Shot Not ThereIn their 71-54 loss to Louisville in their last game, Western Kentucky struggled with their shot big-time with an FG% of only 37% and they were ice cold from deep only hitting one of their 17 3-pointers. Charles Bassey and Taveion Hollingsworth were the only WKU players that scored in double figures combining for 30 points and no other player for the team scored more than six points.
Bassey leads the Hilltoppers in scoring (15.5 ppg) and rebounding (9.6 rpg) and in his last two games, he has totaled 38 points and 21 rebounds. Four players for the team are averaging in double figures and 2nd leading scorer Cameron Justice (13 ppg) only had six points on 2/7 shooting in the loss to Louisville while he had 23 points in the previous game. While Western Kentucky has covered the spread in 10 of their last 14 road games they have failed to cover in their last four games facing a team with a winning record.
Winning the Close One This TimeAfter losing a close game to LaSalle, Wright State won a close one in their last game beating Miami of Ohio 71-66. They outscored the RedHawks by four points in the 2nd half, Grant Basile had a double-double with 17 points and 12 rebounds, and Jaylon Hall tied a career-high with 17 points.
Player of the game ➡️ Jaylon Hall— Wright State MBB (@WSU_MBB) November 28, 2019
Tied a career-best with 17 points - including 12 in the first half - and closed the night 4-of-4 from the line in the final 20 seconds to seal the win.
Presented by @TMobile#RaiderUP | #GetRowdy pic.twitter.com/UDNnBmAgk7
They covered the spread in the game but the Raiders have failed to cover in four of their last five games after an ATS win.
The Raiders have three players on the season averaging in double figures led by Bill Wampler (15.4 ppg), who had 14 points in the win over Miami. He has scored at least 15 points in each of his last two games but in each failed to shoot over 39% from the floor. Loudon Love (13.6 ppg 8.9 rpg) is the 2nd leading scorer and leading rebounder and he missed the last game and is questionable for this one. His loss could be a big one, as Bassey is a 6’11” beast in the paint for WKU.
According to the betting trends from Covers.com, the Wright State Raiders are:
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win
- 5-14 ATS in their last 19 Tuesday games
According to the betting trends from Covers.com, the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are:
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss
- 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight-up loss
- 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
While WKU is 1-4 ATS in their last five games and Wright State is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games the Hilltoppers are still the pick in this non-conference game. I think Bassey will have a solid game and for WKU to bounce back on offense, which struggled in the loss to Louisville. Wright State’s leading scorer has struggled with his shot for the last couple of games and I think that will continue in this one and as a team, the Raiders will not have a good shooting game. This will be a close game but one that Western Kentucky will, at least, cover the spread.
Prediction: Western Kentucky
Full-Game Total Pick
Both of these teams in this non-conference affair are led by their offense and while Wright State has won three of their last four games they have not been lighting up the scoreboard. That will not happen in this game as well even though they are at home. The Hilltoppers will play a solid defensive game and they did play decent defense in their loss to 2nd ranked Louisville in their last game. The total has gone Under in six of Wright State's last eight home games and that has been the winning bet in 14 of Western Kentucky's last 19 road games. This will not be a shootout, so the Under is the way to go.