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Maryland vs. Purdue Prediction,
and Odds - 12-6-2018

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#707 Maryland
Terrapins 148.5
#708 Purdue
Boilermakers -8

Thursday, December 6, 2018 at 7:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Maryland Terrapins

7 - 1


Purdue Boilermakers

5 - 3


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Big Ten action here as the Maryland Terrapins travel to take on the Purdue Boilermakers. So far it’s looking like a great year for the Big Ten, and it has a number of elite teams. Oddsmakers have Purdue as 6.5 point favorites here for this one, which will be televised nationally on Big Ten Network. Maryland is ranked 23rd in the nation and coming off a big win over Penn State, while Purdue is coming off two straight losses.

Maryland Racking Up Wins

Maryland was always going to be poised for success this year, but they’ve been even better than anyone imagined. They’ve gone 7-1 to start the season, and are ranked #23 in the AP poll. Their only loss came to #4 Virginia, and they have some really solid wins.

They destroyed a very good Marshall team by 37 points and beat a very underrated Penn State team in their most recent game. The Virginia loss was close the entire way, but did come at home. They’ve been able to do well down low with their rotation of big men, but haven’t shot the ball well from outside. They’re only shooting 31.9% as a team from three-point range, which won’t be good enough against this sharpshooting Purdue team.

While I’ve been very impressed early on with this Terrapins team, I have some doubts about how they’ll do here. This is only their second road game of the entire year, and their only previous one came against a very bad Navy squad. They play a lineup almost entirely made up of freshmen and sophomores, which I think will really hurt them here in this hostile road environment in front of a rowdy crowd.

Purdue Reeling

Purdue started off the season great. They won four straight games and won each game by large margins against some decent competition. Since then, they’ve gone 1-3, with the only win coming over a very bad Robert Morris squad, albeit by 38 points.

That being said, the three losses are very understandable. They came to Virginia Tech, Florida State, and Michigan, all teams ranked very highly in the polls. None of the three losses came at home, and two of them were by a combined seven points. All but one of their wins have come by at least 20 points, and I still think they’re one of the best teams in the country even with the three losses.

They lost Isaac Haas and Vincent Edwards, two very big pieces, from last year’s team but have plenty of talent to replace them. Carsen Edwards is the early favorite for Big Ten player of the year and is averaging 24.4 points per game. Senior Ryan Cline is one of the best three point shooters in the country, and the whole team combines to shoot 38.6% from deep. The biggest factor here will be the crowd. It’s been a while since Purdue got to play a game in front of their home fans, and the crowd noise will be a major problem for Maryland’s inexperienced group.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

I absolutely love the Boilermakers here. It’s the perfect opportunity to buy low on the Boilermakers and sell high on the Terrapins. Purdue will shoot Maryland right out of the gym, and the Terrapins’ very young team will get rattled by the crowd. Purdue will easily win this one by double digits.

Prediction: Purdue -6.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Purdue likes to play fast and shoot a bunch of threes, and I expect them to score a ton of points here. Maryland does have a lot more size than Purdue has, except for Matt Haarms, and I think they’ll be able to get some mismatches inside. Both sides should have some success offensively, and send this total way over.

Prediction: Over

Alex Porter

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