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Denver vs. UCLA Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 12-8-2019

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#793 Denver
Pioneers
#794 UCLA
Bruins

Sunday, December 8, 2019 at 5:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Denver

4 - 5

8-21
ATS
16-14
O/U
69
PPG
77
OPPG

UCLA

6 - 3

13-19
ATS
16-16
O/U
78
PPG
77
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Denver is hoping to improve upon its 4-5 record on Sunday when they travel to Los Angeles to face UCLA.

The Bruins head into this contest with a 6-3 record. Sunday's game marks the 12th time these two teams have met, with UCLA winning 10 of them.

Sunday's game takes place at the Pauley Pavillion with tip-off slated for 5:05 p.m. EST.

Denver's lackluster offense

The Pioneers shoot the ball well from inside of the perimeter, but they're limited in other ways. For starters, they rely on two players to produce double-digit scoring production. Ade Murkey leads the team in scoring with a shy over 12 points per game.

The other area of concern is in three-point shooting where Denver makes 29%. Combined it's easy to see why Denver averages only 62 points per game. On Sunday, they face a UCLA defense that does an excellent job holding teams to 66 points or under, so Denver looks to achieve tendency.

The problem with this is the Bruins' offense, which averages 73 points per game. Statistically, they hold the advantage in every offensive category over Denver. Because of this, the Pioneers must force turnovers and win the rebounding advantage or else it's going to be a long night.

The Bruins' versatile attack

Unlike the Pioneers who rely on two players for the brunt of their scoring, UCLA has four players averaging in double figures. What's more, they do an excellent job in the paint where they have a rebounding margin of +8.3.

On Sunday, they face a Denver defense that does an excellent job guarding the perimeter--they're holding teams to 27% from shots behind the arc.

However, that defense doesn't extend inside the perimeter, where opponents make 44% of their shots. Given UCLA has a roster loaded with precision shooters, they hold a distinct advantage in this regard.

Defensively, Denver isn't the most flashy offense, relying on two players to lead the charge. On the road, the Pioneers average 58 points per game, so look for the Bruins to apply pressure to disrupt shots. Doing so yields them more possessions.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The Bruins' balanced offensive attack will find plenty of open looks against a Denver defense that struggles to guard shooters inside the perimeter. UCLA pulls out to an early lead which applies more pressure to a Pioneers' offense that isn't equipped to handle it. The Bruins run away with this one.

Prediction: UCLA

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

On the road, Denver allows opponents to score 75 points per game, giving UCLA ample opportunities to do so. Moreover, the Bruins are 4-2 in the Over in their last 6 games, illustrating they want to push the tempo. And by pulling out to an early lead, Denver must play to UCLA's pace which results in a higher-scoring game.

Prediction: Over

Sean Jackson

Sean Jackson is a freelance writer based out of Fort Myers. Prior to joining our team here at StatSalt and Winners & Whiner, Sean was a national college football columnist with the Score. We are very glad to have Sean as a part of our team as he is a solid and confident handicapper. Let Sean win for you.

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