Tuesday, February 12 10:30 P.M. Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, Nevada
Two middle of the pack teams in the Mountain West Conference will face off in this one. Air Force is coming off a 81-76 win over Wyoming. They are now 5-6 in conference play. They are now a game behind UNLV who is at 6-5 after a loss to Fresno State. This was their fourth loss in five games.
UNLV Gets Shutdown
UNLV went into this game against Fresno State, and had a tough time competing from the beginning. They trailed by 12 at halftime. In the end, they suffered an 18-point loss, and allowed 83 points. The Rebels shot 48% from the field, but just 3-15 from three-point range. Kris Clyburn led the way with 15 points in the game. They got just nine points from their bench in this one. Four of their five starters finished in double-figures. They will be at home in this one against a lesser team. They have fallen out of the conference race, but they cannot afford to lose this one at home.
PREVIEW: Runnin' Rebels Host @AF_MBB Tuesday Night 🏀 7:30 p.m. game at @ThomasAndMack is part of Coaching for Literacy’s Fight for Literacy Games initiative 📰: https://t.co/br3MYpUNIM #BEaREBEL #UNLVmbb pic.twitter.com/VYMPgu6lOW
— UNLV Men's Basketball (@TheRunninRebels) February 12, 2019
Clyburn leads the team scoring 13.8 points. As a team, they rank 128th in scoring at 75 points per game. They rank second in the Mountain West scoring 76.5 points per game. The Rebels are a strong rebounding team that crashes the board every chance they get. They are ranked 11th in the nation in total offensive rebounding. They are in the top-100 in free throws attempted. This is a UNLV team that does all the little things right, and makes all the hustle plays. That is an important quality since they might not be as talented as some of their opponents. Heading into this one, they will be the superior team so they should be able to gain an advantage from the beginning.
Air Force Hangs On For Win
Air Force got off to a hot start in their last game. They went up by nine at halftime and were able to hang on in the end for the win. They finished 53.6% from the field. They dominated the turnover battle as they forced 13 while only giving the ball up five times. Lavelle Scottie was hot all night for the Falcons. He finished 15-20 from the field with 34 points and seven rebounds. If this team wants to go on the road and pick up a win, they will have to get a similar performance from Scottie. He will need some help to take down the Rebels, as well.
When you had a great weekend then Monday hits pic.twitter.com/9HQGToakwg
— Air Force Men's Hoops (@AF_MBB) February 12, 2019
Scottie leads the team with 14.7 points per game. He is one of two Falcons averaging in double-figures. As a team, they are averaging just 67.4 points per game which is 304th in the nation. They struggle from both the free throw line and the three-point line. In Mountain West play, they are scoring just 66.9 points per game. Their win over Wyoming snapped a two-game losing streak. Air Force will be looking to put two wins together, and creep closer to .500. A win over UNLV will tie them with the Rebels in conference play. It will take a perfect combination of strong offense and defense to get this one done.
- Runnin’ Rebels are 13-38-4 ATS in their last 55 vs. Mountain West
- Runnin’ Rebels are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400
- Runnin’ Rebels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall
- Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record
- Falcons are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games following an ATS loss
- Over is 10-1 in Falcons last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Air Force will be on the road in this one, and come in with a worse overall record. They are just one game behind the Rebels in the conference standings. Despite being 3-7 straight up against UNLV in their last 10, the Falcons are 8-0 ATS in the last eight meetings. So far this season, they are 10-12 ATS while UNLV is 11-12. Out of UNLV’s seven wins in the last 10, just one came by double-digits. These games are usually played close, and this one should be no different.
Prediction: Air Force
Full-Game Total Pick
Eight of the last 10 meetings have gone over between these two teams. They met earlier in January, and Air Force put up 106 points in a game that ended in overtime. These teams have hit 100 quite a bit in recent meetings. They know how to score on each other, and that will continue in this one. Combined, these teams have played 25 overs, and expect this to be another. Air Force will have to score to stay in this one on the road. They know that, and will come in ready to explode offensively.