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Arkansas vs. Missouri Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 2-12-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#633 Arkansas
Razorbacks -1.5
#634 Missouri
Tigers 138

Tuesday, February 12, 2019 at 9:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Arkansas Razorbacks

14 - 9

11-12
ATS
7-16
O/U
77
PPG
72
OPPG

Missouri Tigers

11 - 11

9-11
ATS
10-12
O/U
67
PPG
68
OPPG

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Missouri Tigers

Where: Mizzou Arena, Columbia Missouri

When: Tuesday, February 12, 2019 9:00pm Eastern

We have a Southeastern Conference matchup before us as the Arkansas Razorbacks travel to Columbia for a contest with the Missouri Tigers. Arkansas is currently five games behind conference leader Tennessee and the Tigers are eight games behind the conference top spot. This game means everything to Arkansas and Missouri should be up to competing at home on Tuesday night.

Arkansas Needs Wins to Pop the Bubble

If the regular season ended today, Arkansas would be on the bubble for an invitation to the NCAA tournament, and likely a two seed in the NIT. With the way the selection committee looks at things, a record of 14 wins and nine losses isn’t NCAA Tournament-worthy. With an SEC record of five wins and five losses, and with eight games remaining, the Razorbacks are probably going to have to go on a tear and win out their schedule to maybe win the SEC. Whatever happens, they need wins and they must win this game on Tuesday night.

The Razorbacks aren’t listing any significant injuries for Tuesday night against Missouri.

Arkansas defeated Missouri in their previous meeting by a score of 72-60. The Razorbacks have a road record of three wins and four losses this season and are on a one-game losing streak.

Sophomore forward Daniel Gafford leads Arkansas is points per game (16.4), rebounds (8.7) and blocked shots (1.9) and has exceeded his scoring average in three of his last five games.

The Razorbacks score an average of 77.3 points, 8.5 offensive rebounds, 26.6 defensive rebounds and 16.4 assists per game this season.

Geist Riding the Struggle Bus

With a record of 11 wins and 11 losses, it’s unlikely the Tigers will get an invitation to any of the sanctioned NCAA tournaments. With an SEC record of two wins and eight losses, I’m not sure that winning the remaining games on their schedule is going to make that much of a difference, but if they do have tournament aspirations, then defeating Arkansas on Tuesday night is a MUST win for the Tigers.

Missouri has two major injury concerns for Tuesday night; Sophomore guard Mark Smith is listed as questionable with an ankle injury and sophomore forward Jeremiah Tillman is listed as questionable with a dental issue. Smith is the Tigers second-leading scorer, averaging 12.6 points and 5.5 rebounds. Tillman leads Missouri in rebounds, averaging 5.9 rebounds and is third for Missouri in scoring, averaging 10.7 points per game.

The Tigers hope to avenge an earlier, 12 point loss to the Razorbacks, have a home record of seven wins and five losses and are working on a two-game losing streak.

Senior guard Jordan Geist leads the Tigers in scoring, averaging 13.6 points, 4.7 rebounds, a team-leading 3.3 assists and is knocking down 2.1 triples per night. Geist has exceeded his scoring average twice in the last five games.

Missouri is scoring an average of 67.6 points, nine offensive rebounds, 25.7 defensive rebounds and 11.1 assists per game this season.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Missouri has two key injuries and if they can’t play, it will be difficult to defeat Arkansas. The Razorbacks need a win badly and while the Tigers don’t have much to play for, they won’t have enough to defeat Arkansas on Tuesday night. I’m rolling with the Razorbacks in this game.

Prediction: Arkansas -1 Point

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Missouri is missing 22 points I don’t see them making up, and when I did the math and added everything together, I came up with 135 points. I felt that might be high so I almost have to play the under in this contest.

Prediction: Under 137 points

Phil Naessens

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