Michigan State Spartans at Wisconsin Badgers
NCAAB: Tuesday, February 12, 2019, Kohl Center, Madison, Wisconsin, 7:00 PM ET
The Big Ten rivals will face at the Kohl Center on Tuesday as the Michigan State Spartans are taking on Wisconsin Badgers after snapping the three-game losing streak with a win over Minnesota, while the hosts are looking to return to the winning ways following a loss to Michigan. Michigan State is a way better side when it comes to the recent H2H duels as they won the last five meetings including the previous at the Kohl Center.
The Spartans bounced back with a win over the Golden Gophers
Michigan State’s 13-game winning run ended against the Purdue Boilermakers and the Spartans also lost the following two games to the Indiana Hoosiers and Illinois Fighting Illini before responding with a victory over the Minnesota Golden Gophers. The Spartans improved to the 19-5 record and are currently in the 3rd position in the Big Ten Conference with three wins behind the leaders Michigan Wolverines and two wins ahead of their next opponents Wisconsin Badgers. Michigan State will surely end the regular season in the top half of the standings, while they are the No. 6 seeded team for the NCAA Tournament, according to the latest bracketology.
Junior forward Nick Ward led the Spartans in a 79-55 win over the Golden Gophers with 22 points (9-14 FG) and game-high nine rebounds; Matt McQuaid followed him with 18 points, eight assists, and five boards, while Cassius Winston added 11 points, game-high nine dimes, and a couple of thefts. Michigan State controlled the situation in the opening 20 minutes and created an 11-point lead at halftime and the hosts were excellent from the floor, hitting 51.7 percent of their shots, limiting Minnesota to 36.7 percent from the floor. The Spartans distributed the ball way better, recording 27 assists in opposite to the Golden Gophers’ 14 and also committed seven turnovers fewer than the visitors.
— Michigan State Basketball (@MSU_Basketball) February 10, 2019
The Spartans have the 26th offense in the NCAAB that averages 81.9 points per contest, while their defense allows 67.0 points per game (69th). Michigan State’s rebounding is in top 5 as they are recording 42.1 boards per game (5th), while they are the 1st when it comes to assists per contest with 20.2 dishes a night. Michigan State is 7th in field goal percentage as they have 49.5 percent from the floor and 24th from downtown with 38.5 percentage, while they are the 107th with 8.4 three-pointers made per game.
The Badgers couldn’t make a surprise against Michigan
Wisconsin was in an excellent form of six consecutive wins but they failed to make it seven in a row as the Michigan Wolverines stopped them with some rock-solid defense. The Badgers dropped to the 17-7 record and are in the 5th place in the Big Ten Conference with five wins behind the leaders Wolverines and two behind their next rivals Michigan State Spartans. Wisconsin is 9-4 in conference play and they have a favorable schedule for the remainder of regular season and they will likely end it in the top half of the standings, while the Badgers are the 22nd seeded team for the upcoming NCAA Tournament.
Senior forward Ethan Happ led the Badgers in a 61-52 loss to the Wolverines with a double-double of 18 points and team-high 11 rebounds along with a pair of blocks but he was the only Badger in double figures and the second unit combined for miserable four points. An unorthodox fact is that Wisconsin failed to make a free throw as they had just two attempts and considering that the rivals were pretty tied in other segments, Michigan’s seven free throws proved to be a difference here.
Dodge, duck, dip, dive and…dodge@EthanHapp22 has post moves for days
— Wisconsin Basketball (@BadgerMBB) February 10, 2019
The Badgers have the 241st offense in the NCAAB that averages 70.6 points per contest, while their defense is allowing 61.0 points per game (9th). Wisconsin is the 252nd rebounding team in college basketball as they are recording 34.3 boards per game, while they are 209th when it comes to assists per contest with 13.2 dishes a night. Wisconsin is 67th in field goal percentage as they have 46.9 percent from the floor and 11th from downtown with 39.5 percentage, while they are the 181st with 7.8 three-pointers made per game.
- 2-5 ATS in their last seven games played on Tuesday
- 11-12 ATS in the last 23 games after a loss
- 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS win
- 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win
- 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win of more than 20 points
- 10-3 ATS in their last 13 vs. Big Ten rivals
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Michigan State won six out of the previous ten H2H encounters including the last two, while the Badgers were victorious in three of the past four meetings at the Kohl Center. The Spartans did lose the last two road games but the Badgers already showed they are not unbeatable in front of their own crowd, losing three games so far in the season. The Spartans are still in the race for the top spot in the Big Ten and they have been a better side in recent H2H games, and I am backing the visitors’ offense to prevail in this one even though Wisconsin’s D limited the opponents to under 62 points in each of the last three home games.
Prediction: Michigan State Spartans -1.5 (-110)
Full-Game Total Pick
The previous two H2H duels produced just 131 and 123 points, respectively, and although I backed Michigan State’s offense to prevail here, I do expect a tight, low-scoring affair and I am going with under because under is 7-1 in Badgers last eight overall and under is 6-0 in Spartans previous six games following an ATS win. Also, under is 4-1 in Spartans last five road games; under is 5-0 in Badgers previous five games following an ATS loss, while under is 7-2 in Spartans last nine vs. Big Ten opponents.
Prediction: Under 134.5 (-110)
Full-Game Prop Bet
Wisconsin had more success than Michigan State when it comes to opening 20 minutes recently and despite the fact that I backed the visitors to get a victory in the end, I am going with the hosts to have a halftime lead. It’s going to be a tight affair, especially early in the tilt and although it could go either way, I am giving a slight advantage to the Badgers simply because they were better in the first half in the games lately.
Prediction: Wisconsin Badgers +0.5 (-110)
Half-Time Side Pick
The total is set at 63 points and even though both rivals have excellent defenses and I backed under in the end of this tilt, I am going with over in the opening 20 minutes. I am backing the Badgers and Spartans to score 30+ points apiece and they shouldn’t have problem to combine for at least 65 points at halftime.
Prediction: Over 63 (-110)