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Miami - OH vs. Eastern Michigan,
2-13-2018 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#535 Miami - OH
Redhawks 130.5
#536 Eastern Michigan
Eagles -5.5

Tuesday, February 13, 2018 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Miami - OH Redhawks

13 - 12

14-8
ATS
9-13
O/U
71
PPG
68
OPPG

Eastern Michigan Eagles

14 - 11

10-9
ATS
7-12
O/U
71
PPG
67
OPPG

Miami – OH RedHawks (13-12) vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles (14-11)

Where and when:  Eastern Michigan University Convocation Center, Ypsilanti, Michigan, Tuesday, 7:00 pm EST

A rematch between one of the top echelon teams in the MAC Eastern division in Miami of Ohio, will travel to Eastern Michigan, who represents one of the mid-level teams within its Western division, for a contest on Tuesday night at 7 pm EST, at Eastern Michigan University Convocation Center.  In their last meeting on 1/27/2018, Eastern Michigan took the 58-48 road win.  The Eagles were down by 1-point at the half, yet, went on to outscore the RedHawks 29-18 in the second half on their way to the victory.  For the game, neither team shot well with the RedHawks shooting 30.4% from the field and 32% from 3-point range.  The Eagles, on the other hand, shot 49% from the field but 35.7% from 3-point range.  The Eagles were able to win the rebounding battle by a slight 33-30 margin, however, both teams were terrible from the free throw line, shooting 35.7% (5 of 14) for the Eagles, and 54.5% (8 of 25) for the RedHawks.  Both teams had 12 turnovers apiece.  Coming in as 1.5-point favorites, the RedHawks were not able to cover the spread.

The RedHawks come into this matchup losers of 5 of their last 10 games (6-3-1 ATS), while the Eagles come in as losers of 5 of their last 10 also (5-5 ATS).  In their last outing, Miami, Ohio suffered a 73-67 home loss to Toledo on Friday night.  As 3.5-point underdogs, they were not able to cover the spread.  Eastern Michigan also suffered a 70-63 overtime road loss to Bowling Green on Saturday.  Coming in as 2-point favorites, the Eagles were not able to cover the spread, either.

RedHawks Fall to Rockets at Home

Despite being down by 11 at the half, Miami, Ohio fought back in the second half to outscore Toledo 45-40.  In the end, it would not be enough as the RedHawks took the 73-67 home loss, their 2nd loss in a row.  For the game, the RedHawks shot 37.8% from the field and a mere 14.8% from 3-point range (4 of 27).  On the other hand, Toledo shot 45.1% from the field while only 28.6% from 3-point range.  Toledo won the rebounding battle by a slim margin (36-35), while committing 12 turnovers compared to only 8 for the RedHawks.

Offensively, Miami, Ohio averages 71.4 points per game on 44.3% shooting from the field (34.5% from 3-point range).  They also shoot an average of 67.6% from the free throw line while grabbing 37.5 rebounds per game.

Nike Sibande is the lone double-digit scorer for the RedHawks averaging 14.3 points and 4 rebounds per game.  Darrian Ringo (9.6 ppg, 3.2 rebs, 74 ass), Logan McLane (9.3 ppg, 6.1 rebs), and Jalen Adaway (9.1 ppg, 5.7 rebs) are key contributors for Miami, Ohio as well.  Finally, Dalonte Brown is yet another solid contributor averaging 7.8 points and 5.6 rebounds per outing.

On the defensive side, the RedHawks are allowing opponents to score 68.9 points per game on 43.1% shooting from the field (32.5% from 3-point range).  Lastly, they are allowing teams to pull down an average of 31.2 rebounds per contest.

Eagles Fall to Falcons in OT

Despite Eastern Michigan opening a 17-point lead at the half, they were outscored 39-22 in their second half by Bowling Green on their way to a heart-breaking 70-63 road loss on Saturday.  For the game, the Eagles shot 40% from the field and 30% from 3-point range, while allowing the Falcons to shoot 37.7% from the field and 44.4% from 3-point range.  While Bowling Green pounded Eastern Michigan on the boards by a margin of 39-28, the Falcons committed 16 turnovers compared to 14 for the Eagles.

Offensively, Eastern Michigan scores 71.7 points per game on 46.3% shooting from the field (32.9% from 3-point range).  They also shoot 66.7% from the free throw line while grabbing 35.2 rebounds per outing.

Elijah Minnie (15.6 ppg, 5.4 rebs) and James Thompson IV (14.9 ppg, 12 rebs) are the leading scores for Eastern Michigan.  Paul Jackson and Tim Bond are also key contributors to the Eagles offensive attack averaging 14.7 points, 2.1 rebounds, 4.3 assists and 9.3 points, 4.3 rebounds, 3.1 assists, respectively.

On the defensive, the Eagles are allowing opponents to score 68 points per game on 40.6% from the field (34.8% from 3-point range).  Lastly, they are permitting teams to pull down an average of 32.3 rebounds per contest.

Trends

  • The RedHawks are 7-1-1 ATS in last 9 road games
  • The RedHawks are 8-1 ATS in last 9 Tuesday games
  • The RedHawks are 7-2-1 ATS in last 10 MAC road games
  • The Eagles are 4-10 ATS in last 14 MAC home games
  • The Eagles are 8-11 ATS in last 19 home games

Again, Miami, Ohio is the 2nd place team in the East division of the MAC, while Eastern Michigan find themselves 4th in the West Division standings.  On one hand, the RedHawks are solid winners at home for the season (7-4 SU/5-4 ATS), but, tend to struggle away from campus as they are 5-6 SU overall.  Despite their below average record, they are 8-3-1 ATS on the road this season.  On the other hand, Eastern Michigan is 9-3 SU (5-3 ATS) at home and winners of 6 of their last 9 at EMU Convocation Center.  A win in this matchup would certainly allow the RedHawks to remain in the hunt for 1st place in the Eastern division; However, it would also allow the Eagles to keep pressure on the 2nd and 3rd ranked teams in the West division of the MAC (Ball State and Western Michigan).  With that being said, this will certainly be a tough game.  Nonetheless, I will have to give the nod to Miami of Ohio simply because of their ability to play more consistent on the road, particularly against MAC competition, as this can be critical during this time of year.  In the end, I see the RedHawks picking up a hard-fought and much-needed conference victory on Tuesday night against a tough Eagles team that tends to play inspired basketball at home.

Pick: Miami Ohio RedHawks

Falepa Emme

A true analyst for a variety of sports, Falepa Emme has been a sports enthusiast for decades. His ability to read, learn, write, and constantly think sports will offer a unique perspective to NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL, along with MLB contests. Falepa's passion for analytics in each of these areas will certainly benefit the reader in obtaining more insight into upcoming match-ups.

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