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Cal State Northridge Matadors vs. UC Davis Aggies
NCAAB: Wednesday, February 13, 2019 at 10:00 PM EST
Cal State Northridge has lost two of their last three and four of their last six games. With their last loss, they fell to .500 in Big West play (4-4) and they are 10-14 overall. The Matadors can score the pill, but their D has been bad and out of 351 D1 teams they rank 341st giving up an average of 80.2 ppg. This is their first game this season against UC Davis and they host them later this month.
UC Davis has won their last three games and they are tied with CSUN at 4-4 in Big West play. They are six games under .500 with eight games to play so they, obviously, need a very strong finish to get to .500. The Aggies are the opposite of the Matadors, as they have a legit defense, but are one of the lowest scoring teams in the nation only averaging 64.9 ppg.
UC Davis is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 games against Northridge.
Ice cold from deep
In their last game, Cal State Northridge was on the road losing to UCSB 70-64 where they shot a similar FG% as the Gauchos, but they were ice cold from deep missing 20 of their 21 3-pointers. They shot 43.5% from the field and UCSB shot 45.8% and while CSUN had a one-point halftime lead they were outscored by seven points in the 2nd half giving up 42 points. Lamine Diane led the way for CSUN with 28 points on 12/19 shooting and Terrell Gomez was the only other player for the Matadors that went for double figures with 10 points on 3/13 shooting missing seven of his eight 3-pointers.
Diane (24.7 ppg 10.7 rpg) and Gomez (19.1 ppg) are the big guns and the top scorers for CSUN. After two games scoring 21 points in each Gomez has only averaged 12.3 ppg while Diane has averaged 29.7 ppg in his last three games.
Good D helps in win
Like CSUN UC Davis was on the road facing UCSB in their last game beating them 61-57 where their solid D helped in the win. They did not have the best shooting game with a FG% of 43.1%, but they held the Gauchos to 39.2% shooting and 20% shooting from 3-pt land. T.J. Shorts was the high scorer for the Aggies with 21 points on 8/13 shooting Joe Mooney was the only other player for the team to go for double digits with 13 points.
Outstanding all-around effort at Cal Poly and UCSB, games won by @UCDavisMBB, leads to @BigWestMBB Player of the Week honors for @TjShorts5! https://t.co/WoKjq2rTGt #Congratulations #GoAgs pic.twitter.com/8zi5EhDtLS
— UCDavisMBB (@UCDavisMBB) February 12, 2019
Shorts leads the team averaging 15 ppg and he has averaged 20.7 ppg in his last three games. Siler Schneider ranks 2nd on the team averaging 10.1 ppg, but he has only totaled 17 points in his last four games. The Aggies have failed to cover in seven of their last nine home games. On the season, UC Davis is 4-3 at home and CSUN is 3-7 on the road.
The UC Davis Aggies are:
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall
- 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games following three or more consecutive road games
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win
The Cal State Northridge Matadors are:
- 17-36 ATS in their last 53 Wednesday games
- 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up loss
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
CSUN has solid betting trends and is 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games, but UC Davis is the pick in this game. In a game of offense vs. defense take the defense in this one with the Aggies, who are the hotter team and they will win their 4th in a row and cover the spread in their house.
Prediction: PICK: UC Davis
Full-Game Total Pick
In taking UC Davis in this Big West matchup the Under is the solid bet. They have a great defense, but a low scoring offense while the opposite is true of CSUN. The Aggies will slow the pace down, big time, and this will be a low scoring affair where you ave to take the Under.
Prediction: PICK: Under