Where: Athletics-Recreation Center, Valparaiso Indiana
When: Wednesday February 13, 2019 8:00pm Eastern
We have a Missouri Valley Conference game to consider when the Indiana State Sycamores travel to Indiana for a matchup with the Valparaiso Crusaders. The Sycamores are currently five games behind Loyola-Chicago for the top spot in the MVC and the Crusaders are only three games behind the top spot in the MVC. This is an important game for both sides and I look forward to previewing this game for you.
Sycamores Below .500 Road Record
If their regular season ended today, with a record of 12 wins and 12 losses, it would be unlikely for the Sycamores to receive an invitation to any of their sanctioned, postseason tournaments. With their four win and eight loss conference record and being five games away from the top with only five games remaining, it’s also unlikely for Indiana State to win the MVC. Indiana State still have the rest of the season to improve their record and to build some momentum for next season, and that starts Wednesday with Valparaiso.
Bradley offense powers past Sycamores In Peoria#MarchOn
— Sycamore Basketball (@IndStMBB) February 10, 2019
Indiana State isn’t reporting any injuries for their Wednesday game with Valpo.
The Sycamores defeated Valpo in their previous meeting by a score of 70-53. Indiana State has a road record of three wins and seven losses and are working on a one game losing streak.
Sophomore guard Tyreke Key leads the Sycamores in scoring, averaging 16.7 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.8 assists. Key is also dropping 1.3 triples and has exceeded his scoring average in three of the last five games.
Crusaders Looking to Avenge Earlier Season Loss
If the regular season were to end today, Valparaiso probably wouldn’t get an invitation to any of the NCAA postseason tournaments. Their 13 win and 12 loss record isn’t good enough for an invitation and their .500 record in the MVC leaves them three games behind Loyola-Chicago for tops in the MVC. It would take a minor miracle for the Crusaders to earn a berth in one of the tournaments, but that doesn’t mean they don’t have anything left to play for.
— Valpo Athletics (@valpoathletics) February 11, 2019
Ryan Fazekas is currently listed as questionable for their Wednesday game with Indiana State. Fazekas is the Crusaders leading scorer and has missed the past eight games with an ankle injury.
Valparaiso lost to the Sycamores without Fazekas so they have the revenge factor working for them. The Crusaders have a home record of seven wins and five losses and are currently on a one-game losing streak.
Without Fazekas on the floor, the Crusaders look to Derrik Smits to shoulder the scoring load, and he’s averaging 12.1 points, a team-high 5.7 rebounds and 1.2 blocked shots per game. Smits has exceeded his scoring average once in the last four games.
The Crusaders score an average of 68 points, 7.6 offensive rebounds, 25.9 defensive rebounds and 14.5 assists per game this season.
- Crusaders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.
- Sycamores are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
This seems to be a good play as I can’t play the Sycamores and there well below .500 road record on the road. I also like the revenge factor in this game; it’s hard to sweep a series in NCAA D1 hoops, and I don’t think that will happen on Wednesday. Play the Crusaders and lay the wood on Wednesday.
Prediction: Valparaiso -3.5 Points
Full-Game Total Pick
I like the under in this game. Neither side is very impressive on the offensive end or for that matter on the defensive end either. That being said, when I did the math and added everything together, I came away with 132 points. Since I’m usually off by a point or two on the high side, I think this is a good game to play the under, and that’s just what I will do on Wednesday.
Prediction: Under 132.5 points