South Alabama Jaguars vs. Georgia Southern Eagles
NCAAB: Wednesday, February 13, 2019 at 7:00 PM EST
South Alabama had their three-game win streak snapped in their last game, which dropped them to 5-6 in Sun Belt play and 12-12 overall. They only scored 68 points in their last game and the offense is the strength of their team since they only rank 201st in the nation in ppg. Earlier this season at home the Jaguars lost to Georgia Southern 69-66.
Georgia Southern has lost two of their last three and three of their last five games and are sitting at 6-5 in Sun Belt play. They are 14-10 overall and they are only two games out of first place in the conference. The Eagles are one of the highest scoring teams in the nation, but they are also one of the worst defensive ones only ranking 318th in the nation in points allowed.
South Alabama is 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games facing Georgia Southern.
Tale of two halves
In their last game South Alabama was at home and lost to Little Rock 73-68 where they outscored the Trojans by nine points in the first half, but were outscored by 14 points in the 2nd half.
— South Alabama Men's Basketball (@WeAreSouth_MBB) February 10, 2019
They played a pretty good game on D holding Little Rock to a FG% of 42%, but they only shot 39.6% from the floor. Rodrick Sikes came off the bench to lead Southern Alabama with 19 points, John Pettway more than tripled his season average going for 16 points, and two other starters chimed in with 10 points each.
Josh Ajayi is the leading scorer on the season for the Jaguars at 16 ppg and averaging nearly 20 ppg in four games he only went for 10 points in the loss to Little Rock where he was 3/10 from the floor. Trhae Mitchell ranks 2nd on the team in scoring at 14 ppg, but he has only scored seven points in each of his last two games.
Turnovers and offensive boards hurt Eagles
Georgia Southern was on the road in their last game losing to UL Monroe 88-79 where turnovers and offensive boards hurt them. They shot a better FG% (55.6% to 50%) and shot 53% from 3-pt land, but they had more turnovers and gave up 11 offensive rebounds while only grabbing two. Tookie Brown had a big game for the Eagles with 28 points on 11/17 shooting hitting five of his seven 3-pointers and had 10 rebounds and Quan Jackson had 20 points on 7/12 shooting.
Brown (17.7 ppg) and Jackson 16.2 ppg) are the two leading scorers for the team and they have four players that are averaging over 11 ppg. Georgia Southern is 4-0 ATS in their last four games after a loss, but they have failed to cover in five of their last six home games. On the season, Georgia Southern is 6-3 at home and South Alabama is only 1-7 on the road.
The Georgia Southern Eagles are:
- 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss
- 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss
The South Alabama Jaguars are:
- 6-15 ATS in their last 21 Wednesday games
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
While South Alabama has solid betting trends and they have covered in six of their last seven games they only have one road win this season. On top of that they lost at home to Georgia Southern Earlier this season. That game was a low scoring one, but this one will not be. In a shootout Georgia Southern will win and cover sending the Jaguars to their 2nd straight loss.
Prediction: PICK: Georgia Southern
Full-Game Total Pick
As stated before the first game between these teams was a low scoring game where the total went Under. However, in nine of the last 13 games for South Alabama the total has gone Over and that trend will continue. This game will be a shootout and a shootout equals an Over bet for this Sun Belt matchup.
Prediction: PICK: Over