UCLA Bruins vs. California Golden Bears
NCAAB: Wednesday, February 13, 2019 at 10:00 PM EST
UCLA has lost three in a row and with their last game they dropped to .500 (12-12) on the season. The Bruins have had a very tough season firing their head coach early on and not living up to expectations. They are only 5-6 in Pac 12 play and their defense has been pretty bad in the last two games giving up 93 and 84 points respectively. However, earlier this season they did beat Cal by 15 points at home.
“We’re always together, especially in times like this. We know that if we don’t have each other’s backs, that no one really will. Right now, we’re together.”
Chris Smith, on the team's morale heading into this week’s road trip pic.twitter.com/6sMFhN7hs6
— UCLA Basketball (@UCLAMBB) February 12, 2019
California has had a terrible season and that may be an understatement. They only have five wins and they have lost 12 in a row, which began with a loss to Seattle University. The Golden Bears are the only winless team in Pac 12 play and they have one of the worst defensive teams in the nation ranking 333rd giving up an average of 79.2 ppg.
Cal is 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games facing UCLA.
Tough loss to say the least
UCLA was at home in their last game losing to Utah 93-92 where they lost on a buzzer beater 3-pointer and on top of that they gave up a 22-point lead. The Bruins outscored the Utes by 17 points in the first half, but were outscored by 18 points in the 2nd half giving up 61 points. UCLA shot a better FG% (58.5% to 47.8%) and shot the 3-ball better, but they only had three offensive boards while giving up 11 of them. Four of five starters went for double figures for the Bruins led by Jaylen Hands with 27 points, Kris Wilkes had 17 points, and Jalen Hill more than tripled his season average going for 12 points.
Wilkes leads the Bruins averaging 17.4 ppg, but has only totaled 25 points on 8/23 shooting in his last two games. Moses Brown ranks 3rd on the team in scoring (11 ppg) and leads them in rebounding (8.4 rpg), but he missed the last game after being late to a shoot around and he will be available for this game.
Could have used more easy points
In their last game, Cal was on the road losing to Oregon State 79-71 where they only scored 10 points from the free throw line while the Beavers had 23. They shot a pretty solid 49.1% from the floor, but they allowed Oregon State to shoot 54.3%. Justice Sueing and Darius McNeill each went for 16 points to lead the Golden Bears and 7’3” freshman C Connor Vanover more than doubled his season average to go for 15 points.
Sueing (14.9 ppg 6 rpg) leads Cal in both scoring and rebounding and while his scoring has been solid in the last few games in his last three games he is 0/7 from 3-pt land. Paris Austin ranks 2nd on the team averaging 12.3 ppg and after totaling 27 points in two games he only had six in the loss to Oregon State. This season Cal is 5-7 at home and UCLA is 2-4 on the road.
The California Golden Bears are:
- 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall
- 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games
- 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. Pacific-12
The UCLA Bruins are:
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
UCLA does not have good betting trends at all, but they did beat Cal earlier this season and their Golden Bears have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games. The Bruins will rebound from a more than tough loss in their game whipping the Bears in their house, as UCLA will get the W and cover the spread.
Prediction: PICK: UCLA
Full-Game Total Pick
In eight of the last 11 games between these teams the total has gone Under and that trend will continue. UCLA scored and gave up a ton of points in their last game, but that will not happen in this one. They will slow the pace and Cal will not be able to hang with them in the half court game. The Under is the money pick in this Pac 12 matchup.
Prediction: PICK: Under