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The Pennsylvania Quakers will host the Brown Bears Friday night in an Ivy League match-up. Both teams have won four straight games in the Ivy League, tied for third with a 4-2 record. On the season, Penn ranks 129th, and Brown anks r210th according to BPI.
Brown ends homestand with four straight winsAfter losing to the Yale Bulldogs in back-to-back games to begin the Ivy League season, the Brown Bears have now won four straight games Yale is rated 50th in the nation according to BPI, which is the highest rating of any team in the Ivy League. It is worth noting that the Bears last five games were all played at home, including a 67-65 win over Dartmouth last Friday and a 72-71 win over Harvard on Saturday.
Senior guard, Brandon Anderson, who is third in the conference averaging 17.9points per game, led the Bears with 22 points against Harvard and Tamenang Choh finished with 17 points and six rebounds. On the season, Choh averages 13.8 points and 8.3 rebounds per game.
As a team, Brown is averaging 69.1 points per game and allowing 70.1 points on the defensive end. The Bears rank 234th in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency and 197th in adjusted defensive efficiency, according to KenPom. Brown has been active on the glass holding a +4.9 rebounding margin over opponents on the season.
Penn wins fifth straightThe Penn Quakers have won five straight games overall, including four consecutive wins in the Ivy League and a non-conference win against Temple. Last Saturday, Penn defeated won 76-67 at Columbia and 79-73 at Cornell on Sunday. The Quakers are led by A.J. Brodeur, who is averaging 16.9 points, 8.8 rebounds, 4.9 assists, and 1.7 blocks per game. Brodeur scored 24 points on 7 of 13 shooting against Colombia and had 10 points on 5 of 8 shooting, with nine rebounds and eight assists in the win over Cornell.
On the season, Penn is averaging 75.1 points per game and allowing 71.7 points on the defensive end. The Tigers rank 173rd in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency and 147th in adjusted defensive efficiency, according to KemPom.
- Penn is 5-0 in last 5 games
- Brown is 1-5-1 in last 7 games
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Penn Quakers have a better team than Brown all the way around, with there being a significant disparity on the offensive side. Penn is shooting 46.1% from the field, which is the third-best clip in the Ivy League and 56th best in the nation. Brown is only shooting 41% from the field, which is last in the league and 311th in the country. Turnovers have also been a problem for the Bears, who are last in the conference in turnover margin at -2.3. Penn has defeated Brown in the previous five meetings straight up, including four of the last five against the spread. I will take the Quakers at home.
Prediction: Penn -7
Full-Game Total Pick
Brown has had an average of 135 points scored, and Penn has had an average of 134 points scored in their league games so far this season. Since Penn and Brown are the two fasted paced playing teams in the Ivy League averaging 70 possessions per 40 minutes, I expect to see an increase in scoring opportunities when these teams meet head-to-head. Both Brown and Penn have scored over 70 points in three of their last four games, and I calculate this total to get into the 140s.
In the head to head match-ups between Penn head coach Steve Donahue and Brown head coach Mike Martin, seven of the eight meetings between have gone over the total; expect that pattern to continue.
Prediction: Over 142.5