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Davidson Wildcats vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies
NCAA: Friday, February 14, Reilly Center, Olean, New York, 7:00 PM ET
The Davidson Wildcats won six of the previous ten games, including the most recent one over the Fordham Rams at home. The Wildcats improved to a 12-11 record (6-5 in conference play) and are in 8th place in the Atlantic 10.
The St. Bonaventure Bonnies are in an excellent form at the moment as they won the last five games. After defeating the Saint Joseph’s Hawks on the road, the Bonnies improved to a 17-8 record (9-3 in conference play) and are in the 3rd place in the A 10. The Bonnies are looking to finish the regular season among the top four teams in the conference, while they have a chance to make it to the No 2. seed as they are a win behind the Rhode Island Rams.
These conference rivals met twice last year, and the Wildcats won both encounters. Davidson won six of the previous even H2H duels.
The Wildcats allowed season-low 49 points in a win over FordhamDavidson produced the best defensive display of the season in a 79-49 home victory over the Fordham Rams. The Wildcats kept the visitors to only 20 points in the first half and were excellent in defending the perimeter, allowing just four triples on 20 attempts. The hosts won the rebounding battle (40-33) and recorded 25 assists opposite Fordham’s seven. Freshman guard Mike Jones led the Wildcats with 15 points, Kellan Grady had 13 points, five assists, and four rebounds, while Luka Brajkovic added 12 points and four boards. Jon-Axel Gudmundsson finished the tilt with only five points but recorded game-high 14 dimes, game-high nine rebounds, and two steals.
The Wildcats have the 148th offense in the NCAA that averages 72.2 points per game, and they are facing the Bonnies’ 54th defense that allows 64.4 points per contest. The Wildcats are 290th in rebounds with 33.2 and 141st in assists with 13.9 per game.
The Bonnies didn’t have problems against Saint Joseph’sSt. Bonaventure had some issues with the Saint Joseph’s Hawks in the opening 20 minutes on the road, but bounced back in the second half and deservedly secured a comfortable 74-56 win. The Bonnies trailed by three points at halftime, but played way better on defense in the second half and limited the hosts to 22 points. Sophomore guard Kyle Lofton led the Bonnies with 20 points and six rebounds, Justin Winston had 20 points and five boards, while Osun Osunniyi chipped in with 12 points, game-high nine boards, game-high three steals, and game-high three blocks.
Osun filled the stat sheet last night 🗳️ pic.twitter.com/B5KPu5smfL— Bonnies Men's Basketball (@BonniesMBB) February 12, 2020
The Bonnies have the 251st offense in the NCAA that averages 69.0 points per game, and they are facing the Wildcats’ 111th defense that allows 66.8 pints per contest. The Bonnies are 117th in rebounds with 36.8 and 158th in assists with 13.6 per game.
The top supporting trends for this game are found on Oddsshark.com Davidson:
- 1-5 ATS in their last six games on the road
- 5-0 ATS in their last five games
- 5-0 ATS in their last five games vs. the Atlantic 10 opponents
- 7-1 in their last eight games at home
- 9-0 in their last nine games played in February
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
St. Bonaventure has a solid chance to make it to the No. 2 seed as they have four home games in the remaining six games in the regular season. The Dayton Fliers will likely finish at the top of the A 10, but the Bonnies could surpass the Rhode Island Rams in the 2nd spot. Rhode Island has a tougher schedule and will have to face Dayton in a couple of weeks, and that’s why the Bonnies cannot afford to lose this game. Also, they owe the Wildcats for two H2H losses last year, and considering St. Bonaventure’s home form of late, I am backing them to get a win here. The Bonnies won eight of the previous nine at home, while Davidson lost five of the last six on the road. The Wildcats have a slightly better offense, but the Bonnies are better on defense, while the Bonnies have an edge below the rims. They have a +3.6 rebounding margin, which is going to be decisive in this one.
Prediction: St. Bonaventure Bonnies -4 (-110)
Full-Game Total Pick
Davidson’s games are usually low-scoring this season as they covered Over in just 30% of the games this year. The previous H2H duel produced only 110 points, and even though I don’t think we will have such a low-scoring affair, I am still going with Under. The Wildcats did score 104 points in a wild four-overtime tilt with George Washington, but they are quite inefficient on the road. The Bonnies managed to score more than 75 points only once at home this season and are 3-6 O/U at Reilly Center, which is another strong reason I am backing Under here.
Prediction: Under 133.5 (-110)