Featured Video from Scott Reichel
The San Diego State Aztecs will home court against the Boise State Broncos on Saturday night.
Broncos working through skid
It has been a difficult season for the Broncos that has seen them go through a difficult stretch ahead of Saturday’s contest. Boise State has dropped three out of the four games with a pair of them coming by double digits. The latest had come on Wednesday night falling 65-63 to the Fresno State Bulldogs. It was a back-and-forth contest, but their porous shooting from the floor hitting just 36.7 percent from the floor while hitting 17.6 percent from 3-point range with just three makes from distance.
— Boise State MBB (@BroncoSportsMBB) February 14, 2019
This has seen them struggle to score as junior guard Justinian Jessup leading the charge with 12.9 points per contest. Junior guard Alex Hobbs has picked it up as of late as he has notched more than 15 points in each of the last five games played. However, this hasn’t overshadowed their offensive struggles averaging just 71.9 points per contest, which is 210th in the country. This lack of offensive production should come to their disadvantage against the Aztecs as it has seen them notch no more than 73 points four times over the last five contests.
The Aztecs have continued to be in the mix for making a push toward possibly earn the regular season Mountain West conference title sitting just three games out of the top spot behind the Nevada Wolfpack. San Diego State has been led offensively by sophomore forward Jalen McDaniels averaging a team-best 17.1 points per contest. McDaniels has picked it up over the last five games averaging 18.4 points and 9.6 rebounds on 49.4 percent shooting from the floor along with 47.1 percent from beyond the arc. This has seen him notch double-figure scoring in each contest with two 20-point performances and a pair of double-doubles.
Highlights from last night's win at Colorado State ⬇ pic.twitter.com/C9OecL2o4R
— Aztec M. Basketball (@Aztec_MBB) February 13, 2019
Senior guard Devin Watson has also been a huge offensive factor averaging 16.3 points on 42.6 percent from the floor and 39.6 percent from beyond the arc. Watson has also picked it offensively over the last five games as he has notched three 20-point performances while hitting multiple 3-pointers four times over that stretch. The combined offensive production from McDaniels and Watson should help push them past the struggling Broncos. What should pace them is their defense giving up 70 points or fewer in each of the last five games. This will be the deciding factor on Saturday night.
San Diego State:
- Aztecs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Aztecs are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win.
- Aztecs are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games against a team with a losing road record.
- Broncos are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Broncos are 6-16-1 ATS in their last 23 games against a team with a winning straight up record.
- Broncos are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games against a team with a winning home record
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Aztecs have continued their upward trajectory that has been fueled by their defense over the last several games. This has seen them give up 70 or fewer points in the last five contests that should pace them past Boise State, who had offensive issues throughout this season. It is a game that has the making for San Diego State to ease them to their third straight win.
Prediction: San Diego State
Full-Game Total Pick
Given the Broncos’ offensive issues this season that will be met playing against the Aztecs’ stout defense will set up a lower-scoring affair. McDaniels and Watson will push San Diego State to a solid offensive outing, but it won’t be enough to move past the over/under line. Keep in mind, the under is 4-0 in the last four meetings in San Diego St.