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San Diego State vs. Nevada Prediction,
and Odds - 3-15-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#851 San Diego State
Aztecs 142.5
#852 Nevada
Wolf Pack -10.5

Friday, March 15, 2019 at 9:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

San Diego State Aztecs

20 - 12


Nevada Wolf Pack

29 - 3


Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Friday, March 15 9:00 P.M. Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, Nevada

The semi-finals of the Mountain West Tournament will take place on Friday night. The top-seeded Nevada Wolfpack will be in action. They were 77-69 winners over Boise State in their quarterfinal game. San Diego State will be their opponent after the Aztecs took down UNLV.

Nevada Moves onto Semis

No. 14 Nevada entered the Mountain West Tournament as the top seed. They were in action Thursday night against Boise State, and took home a win. They shot 48.1% from the field and knocked down nine three’s in the eight-point win. Caleb Martin did not have the best night shooting, but he still finished with 19 points. He was just 6-17 from the field, and 3-11 from the three-point line. Tre’Shawn Thurman had 17 points to compliment Martin. Jazz Johnson was the high man with 20 points off the bench. Nevada will look to advance to the championship game with a win over San Diego State.

In a game where Cody Martin and Jordan Caroline combined for just 17 points, the Wolfpack took home a win. A win is always a win. This is a promising sign for the Wolfpack. They have players who can step up when needed like Thurman and Johnson did against Boise State. Nevada finished at the top of the conference across the board in most categories. They were the best team in the regular season, and want to continue to prove that in the conference tournament. With Carolina and Martin going to play better, the Wolfpack are going to be hard to beat.

San Diego State Run Away in Second Half

The Aztecs went into their quarterfinal game against UNLV. The first half was an evenly played period. San Diego State led by just two at the break. In the second half, the Aztecs extended, and cruised to an eight-point win. Neither team shot well from the field. The Aztecs were a putrid 29.8% while UNLV finished 32.3%. San Diego State shot 5-23 from the three-point line, and UNLV shot 4-22. There was a lid on the basket for the entire 40 minutes of this game. San Diego State gained an advantage from the free throw line where they outscored UNLV 24-11. Jalen McDaniels continued to be the leader of San Diego State. He finished this win with 25 points and 14 rebounds.

San Diego State split with Nevada this season. They were eight-point winners in these teams first meeting of the season when Nevada came to town. If McDaniels plays as well as he did against UNLV, the Aztecs can be a dangerous team. The Aztecs will have to play defense. They were second in points allowed in the Mountain West this season. Nevada has players who can score so San Diego State will have to smother them when they cross half court. Also, it is important for them to turn in a complete game. They cannot show up in the second half and expect to take down the Wolfpack.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

Nevada will most likely win this game. It is not a given, but they will come in as double-digit favorites. This will not be a double-digit game. San Diego State has been strong ATS all season, and they will keep this one close as well. They are 4-2 ATS in the last six games against Nevada. The Aztecs are a well coached team that knows how to play with Nevada. They match up well with the way that Nevada plays. Again, this is not to say that San Diego State will win the game (even though they could). This is simply saying to take San Diego State because it will be a closer game than people think.

Prediction: San Diego State

Full-Game Total Pick

Nevada is high scoring, and they do not give up many points. San Diego State is also strong defensively. The Aztecs fit into Nevada’s game plan well. They both play defense. The last two match ups between these teams have been under, and four of the last six as well. Combined, these teams have played 38 unders. There is not many points scored when these two take the floor. Does that automatically mean that will hold up in this game? Not automatically, but pretty close. This will be a closer game than people expect, and it will be a defensive struggle.

Prediction: Under


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