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Stony Brook Seawolves vs. South Florida Bulls
NCAAB: Wednesday, March 20, 2019 at 7:00 PM EST
In the first round of the CBI Tournament South Florida hosts Stony Brook. Stony Brook won 24 games this season and finished 2nd in the American East Conference, but they did not end the season well. They lost two of their last three games and they lost in the quarterfinals of the conference tournament to a Binghampton squad that won 10 games this season. The Seawolves are led by a defense that ranks tied for 43rd in the nation only giving up an average of 65.8 ppg.
South Florida looked to be on the bubble for the Big Dance late in the season, but they lost five of their last six games including their last two. While they finished 19-13, overall, the Bulls were only 8-10 in AAC play. Like Stoney Brook, USF is led by their defense that ranks tied for 59th in the nation only giving up an average of 67 ppg, but in their last two games they gave up 77 and 80 points respectively.
This is the first-ever meeting between these teams.
Cold shooting hurts Seawolves
In their last game in their conference tournament quarterfinals, Stoney Brook struggled with their shot in their 78-72 loss to Binghampton. They were outscored by 18 points in the first half and for the game only shot 39.3% while allowing the Bearcats to shoot 47.5%. Elijah Olaniyi was the high scorer with 27 points and also had nine rebounds and two other starters went for 13 points.
Akwasi Yeboah led Stoney Brook on the season averaging 16.6 ppg, but he has failed to score over 13 points in his last three games where he is a combined 13/42 from the floor missing 16 of his 19 3-pointers. Olaniyi ranks 2nd on the team at 12.3 ppg and he had scored 11 points in two straight games before going for 27 points in the last game. This season, Stoney Brook is a solid 13-3 on the road and they have covered the spread in 12 of their last 16 road games.
Where’s the defense?
While USF is led by their defense they lost their last game to UCONN 80-73 where their D struggled, big time. They allowed the Huskies to shoot 54.3% from the field while they only shot 42.9%. four players for the Bulls scored in double figures led by LaQuincy Rideau with 19 points and David Collins had 15 points.
— USF Men's Basketball (@USFMBB) March 14, 2019
Collins (15.3 ppg) leads USF in scoring and while he has scored 15 points in each of his last two games he is only 8/28 and 2/10 from 3-pt land in that span. Rideau ranks 2nd on the squad averaging 13.1 ppg and he had missed two games before going for 19 in the loss to UCONN. Alexis Yetna (11.8 ppg 9.5 rpg) is the leading rebounder for the Bulls and he has failed to score in double figures in three of his last five games and only had five points and seven boards in the loss to UCONN. On the season, USF is 14-5 at home.
The USF Bulls are:
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games
The Stoney Brook Seawolves are:
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
While Stoney Brook has the much-better betting trends and they did beat South Carolina from the SEC earlier this season, the Bulls are still the pick. Ok, so they have not covered the spread in their last five home games, but that trend will not continue. The Bulls played a much tougher schedule and were in a much tougher conference and they will take it to Stoney Brook in this game. The Bulls will win and cover and advance to the 2nd round of the CBI.
Prediction: PICK: South Florida
Full-Game Total Pick
While the total has gone Over for USF’s last six home games the total has gone Under for five of Stony Brook’s last seven road games. The last trend is the one that will continue, as while the USF defense has not been up to par in their last few games it will in this one. They will not light up the scoreboard, but they will play good D and keep the Seawolves from scoring many points. Because of those things you have to take the Under in this CBI matchup.
Prediction: PICK: Under