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Colorado State vs. New Mexico Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 10-11-2019

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#111 Colorado State
Rams -4
#112 New Mexico
Lobos 4

Friday, October 11, 2019 at 8:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Colorado State

1 - 5

3-3
ATS
3-3
O/U
28
PPG
36
OPPG

New Mexico

2 - 3

2-3
ATS
3-2
O/U
27
PPG
39
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Since grabbing a win in Week 2 action, things have quickly tailed south for the Colorado State Rams, having dropped their last four straight games that have pushed them in a spot of potentially missing out on even becoming bowl eligible. The Rams are coming off a tough 24-10 loss at home against the San Diego State Aztecs.

Meanwhile, things have fared a bit better for the New Mexico Lobos, but they are also entering Friday's contest having lost their last two straight contests. The Lobos are coming off a 32-21 loss on the road against the San Jose State Spartans.

This sets up an intriguing Week 7 meeting with both teams looking to finally get back on track.

Rams hoping to finally break through

It has been a tough start out of the gate to the 2019 season for the Rams, having dropped five out of their first six games. Outside of a convincing 38-13 win over the Western Illinois Leathernecks, it has been a complete struggle for Colorado State to find any type of consistency on the field. A large part of that has been their lackluster performance defensively up to this point. They are currently ranked 116th overall in yards allowed, 115th with 36.5 points per game given up and rushing yards allowed at 214.8. They have had major struggles against the run this year as that has been their Achilles heel with opposing teams running the ball with high efficiency against them. The Rams are ranked 104th with 11 rushing touchdowns allowed, and 115th with opponents averaging 5.2 yards per carry. This lack of success against the run could quickly put them in a hole against New Mexico, who average 212.2 yards per game.

Mike Bobo talks about finding consistency on offense.

"I think you've got to have consistent play at the quarterback position to be a good football team, especially a good offense," CSU head coachMike Bobosaid. "They've got to be able to run the show out on the field. We've got some young guys playing in some positons, some receivers and young backs in games, and sometimes they need a little reminders, and if you don't know what's going on yourself, it's hard to help some other guys. That's the quarterback's job."

The Lobos should have the upper hand in this area, which puts more pressure on their offense to step it up to match the strong level of production. The Rams will need junior quarterback Patrick O'Brien to break through the struggles he has experienced in the last couple of weeks as he has passed for exactly 217 yards in each of the last two games with just a touchdown and an interception over that span. It will need Colorado State to bounce back from their porous showing against San Diego State that saw them record just 12 first downs, converted 4-of-13 third downs, committed four turnovers, and rush for just 18 yards. This will need their offense to take advantage of the Lobos' porous defense by holding their own weight on the road.

Lobos' defensive woes piling up

The Lobos have had their fair share of struggles on the field this season, especially over the last few weeks, having dropped two out of their last three contests. It has been difficult for them to find any consistency on the field with a large chunk of their issues stemming from an utter lack of stability defensively. They have been one of the worst teams in the nation on that end of the field, being 122nd with 513.6 total offensive yards allowed per contest, tied for 125th with 39.6 points per game given up, and last giving up 386.0 passing yards per contest. Their defense hasn't been able to stop any opponents this season, leading to them allowing north of 30 points in four out of their last five games, including more than 50 points twice over that span. The Lobos are coming off another disappointing outing against San Jose State, where they allowed 464 yards with Spartans quarterback Josh Love passing for 405 yards with two touchdowns in the contest. It could be much of the same for O'Brien on Friday night as he should be in the position to take advantage of New Mexico's defensive woes.

The Lobos have simply not been able to stop anyone, which has put a tremendous load on their offense to pick up the slack, which they have been unable to do accomplish for a large part of the year. They have some sense of stability from their running game, which has been among the more productive in the nation. Senior running back Ahmari Davis has been their workhorse in the backfield as he has tallied 457 yards on 93 carries averaging 4.9 yards per carry along with four touchdowns. Davis has continued to be the focal point of the offense as he has notched 90 or more yards in four out of the last five games, including a pair of 100 rushing yard performances. If the Lobos hope to have any chance of pulling out the win at home, it will need to feature a huge game from Davis to lead the charge. If not, it will be a long night.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The Rams have gotten off to quite a bumpy start to the year having dropped all but one game out of their first six games and their lone win was against an FCS foe. However, this is a chance for them to bounce back to take advantage of the defensive issues that the Lobos have had, giving up north of 500 total yards per contest. It may be a battle between two struggling teams, but Colorado State does have a sizable edge.

Prediction: Colorado State -3.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Given that both teams have had their issues defensively, there should be plenty of points up on the board. Each team is ranked among the least effective in the nation on that side of the ball, with both giving up north of 35 points per contest. The Rams may have the edge, but it will be more of an offensive fireworks show.

Prediction: Over 65.5

Drew Donald , "Dr. Drew"

Drew Donald has been a lifelong sports fan and he has been quite passionate about football, basketball, and baseball. Drew has spent much of every day keeping up with the latest trends and games across each sport in the country. He has expertise in covering and analyzing each sport behind his six years of experience as a sportswriter for various websites. He is now plying his trade here at StatSalt and is very confident in his ability to help you bury your man.

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