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Arkansas vs. Kentucky Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 10-12-2019

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#163 Arkansas
Razorbacks 5
#164 Kentucky
Wildcats -5

Saturday, October 12, 2019 at 7:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Arkansas

2 - 3

2-3
ATS
1-4
O/U
28
PPG
27
OPPG

Kentucky

2 - 3

3-2
ATS
3-2
O/U
23
PPG
24
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

After a rest week, the Kentucky Wildcats host the Arkansas Razorbacks from the Kroger Field in Lexington on Saturday night. How will the Wildcats respond in this one after losing three on the bounce? Prior to a rest week, both teams lost their previous games.

Hicks impresses in another Arkansas loss

Form

The Razorbacks are not in great form, with a 2-3 record to date. They've also lost their last two games, including a 31-24 defeat to San Jose State followed by a tight 31-27 loss at the hands of the No. 23 Texas A&M Aggies. Their biggest win was a 55-34 win against Colorado State.

Last game

Nick Starkel, who played for Texas A&M the last two years, suffered a bruise on his left arm while attempting a tackle. Ben Hicks made an impressive comeback after losing the starting job, finishing 15 of 27 for 188 yards, which prompted coach Morris to say that Hicks "is our starter".

What was said?

"We've got to find ways to win games like this," second-year coach Chad Morris said. "This was a pivotal week for our football team. We all knew this performance last week was unacceptable. And how we responded was the only thing that matters, and why we got the results that we did."

Efficiency

Led by Starkel, who just went passed 1000 yards for the season (1019 yards for seven touchdowns), the Razorbacks have an impressive passing game. They average 290 yards in the air (29th in the country).

Kentucky lose three in a row

Form

The Wildcats began the season with strong performances, beating Toledo in the season opener 38-24 and then cruising past Eastern Michigan 38-17. However, their season has quickly unraveled with three successive defeats before a much-needed bye week last weekend.

Last game

Prior to their rest week, the Wildcats were beaten 24-7 by South Carolina. "We need to hit the reset button and get some guys healthy," Kentucky coach Mark Stoops said. "And get some of these mistakes that we're making corrected."

Social media

Efficiency

It's never a good sign when you have a negative point differential. They currently score 23.4 points per game (tied for 99th in the country) and concede 24.4 points per game, which gives them -1 points per game. That might be the first point for them to turn around.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The Arkansas offense has been significantly better than the Wildcats. Here's proof. They average 431 yards of offense per game and make more yards per attempt (7.1 yards against 6.2 for Kentucky). The Wildcats may have a slightly more skilled team but they're desperately short of confidence after three successive losses. This may not be an outright win for Arkansas, but they should keep this very close.

Prediction: Arkansas Razorbacks +6.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Despite stuttering offenses, both these teams combined have solid offensive units. The Kentucky offense even averages more yards per carry (4.7) than the Razorbacks. Overall, this might not be a pretty offensive game, but together the overall points total should head over the handicap.

Prediction: Over 53.5

Nikhil Kalro

Nikhil has been working with ESPN since the age of 18 and covers cricket for their website ESPNcricinfo. We now have his talents here at StatSalt. When not writing or editing news, game reports, commentary and analysis stories, he is following American sports. A love for stats and patterns, research and results and years of handicapping experience makes him one to follow as a reliable capper. A degree in business administration and a keen eye for volatile industries like the stock market help too.

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