Featured Video from Scott Reichel
After a rest week, the Kentucky Wildcats host the Arkansas Razorbacks from the Kroger Field in Lexington on Saturday night. How will the Wildcats respond in this one after losing three on the bounce? Prior to a rest week, both teams lost their previous games.
Hicks impresses in another Arkansas lossForm
The Razorbacks are not in great form, with a 2-3 record to date. They've also lost their last two games, including a 31-24 defeat to San Jose State followed by a tight 31-27 loss at the hands of the No. 23 Texas A&M Aggies. Their biggest win was a 55-34 win against Colorado State.
Nick Starkel, who played for Texas A&M the last two years, suffered a bruise on his left arm while attempting a tackle. Ben Hicks made an impressive comeback after losing the starting job, finishing 15 of 27 for 188 yards, which prompted coach Morris to say that Hicks "is our starter".
What was said?
"We've got to find ways to win games like this," second-year coach Chad Morris said. "This was a pivotal week for our football team. We all knew this performance last week was unacceptable. And how we responded was the only thing that matters, and why we got the results that we did."
Led by Starkel, who just went passed 1000 yards for the season (1019 yards for seven touchdowns), the Razorbacks have an impressive passing game. They average 290 yards in the air (29th in the country).
Kentucky lose three in a rowForm
The Wildcats began the season with strong performances, beating Toledo in the season opener 38-24 and then cruising past Eastern Michigan 38-17. However, their season has quickly unraveled with three successive defeats before a much-needed bye week last weekend.
Prior to their rest week, the Wildcats were beaten 24-7 by South Carolina. "We need to hit the reset button and get some guys healthy," Kentucky coach Mark Stoops said. "And get some of these mistakes that we're making corrected."
One week until we're back to football time here in the Bluegrass.
— Kentucky Football (@UKFootball) October 5, 2019
It's never a good sign when you have a negative point differential. They currently score 23.4 points per game (tied for 99th in the country) and concede 24.4 points per game, which gives them -1 points per game. That might be the first point for them to turn around.
Kentucky Wildcats are:
- 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
- 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games following a straight up loss.
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- 2-9 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Arkansas Razorbacks are:
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
- 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Arkansas offense has been significantly better than the Wildcats. Here's proof. They average 431 yards of offense per game and make more yards per attempt (7.1 yards against 6.2 for Kentucky). The Wildcats may have a slightly more skilled team but they're desperately short of confidence after three successive losses. This may not be an outright win for Arkansas, but they should keep this very close.
Prediction: Arkansas Razorbacks +6.5
Full-Game Total Pick
Despite stuttering offenses, both these teams combined have solid offensive units. The Kentucky offense even averages more yards per carry (4.7) than the Razorbacks. Overall, this might not be a pretty offensive game, but together the overall points total should head over the handicap.
Prediction: Over 53.5