Upcoming Free Picks

Penn State vs. Iowa Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 10-12-2019

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#203 Penn State
Nittany Lions -3.5
#204 Iowa
Hawkeyes 3.5

Saturday, October 12, 2019 at 7:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Penn State

5 - 0

3-2
ATS
2-3
O/U
46
PPG
7
OPPG

Iowa

4 - 1

2-3
ATS
2-3
O/U
27
PPG
8
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

For Week 7, there will be four different college football matchups between nationally-ranked teams. Among the four is our game, a Big Ten battle between No. 10 Penn State and No. 17 Iowa. The game will be played in Iowa City at legendary Kinnick Stadium and will get the primetime ESPN treatment, with a 7:30 P.M ET broadcast.

Between the two teams, there's only one loss and both programs have outstanding defensive units. Both Penn State and Iowa are allowing less than 10 points per game on defense and have shutouts already against conference opponents. Their good defenses don't make them boring, though. Between them, they're averaging over 74 points per game.

First-Year Starting QB Leading The Way

Coming into the season, there were high hopes for the Penn State football program. Through five games, they've outperformed those expectations. The Nittany Lions haven't lost a game yet this season and outside of a 17-10 win over Pitt, none of the games have really been close.

When I look at Penn State's football team this year, two things jump out: the defense and their quarterback, Sean Clifford.

The Penn State defense is off the charts this year, allowing 7.5 points per game (No. 2 in the country). Combined, they've allowed just seven points to the two Big Ten teams they've played, which includes a shutout of Maryland, who was ranked this year, at their place.

As for Clifford, he has quieted all the questions of whether he could fill Trace McSorley's spot. He's done a great job taking care of the ball this year (two interceptions) and pushing it down the field. Clifford ranks No. 2 in the Big Ten in yards per attempt (10.7) and passing yards (1,443).

Iowa Needs Bounce Back W

The Iowa Hawkeyes are currently ranked No. 17 in the country after starting the season 4-1. They have beaten two Power-5 programs -- Rutgers, Iowa State -- but they lack a signature win. Last week, it was all set up for them to get one. Instead of capitalizing, however, the Hawkeyes were completely shut down on offense by Michigan, losing 10-3 on the road.

Iowa ran into a tough defense against the Wolverines, yet a lot of the blame has to fall on the offense. This is the Big 10, after all, and you need to be ready for good defense. Quarterback Nate Stanley threw three interceptions, two of which came in Michigan territory and one which came right after their defense forced a turnover. The interceptions were the first three of the season for Stanley.

Another unit that needs to get ready quick is the offensive line because Penn State's pass rush is for real. They allowed eight sacks against Michigan and there were also some penalty issues.

Iowa needs to play smart football against Penn State. They had a chance to tie the game against Michigan late in the fourth quarter, moving the ball to the Michigan 25-yard line on three plays. As quickly as they struck, though, the team fell apart. Iowa had back-to-back holding penalties immediately after, setting up a 1st-and-30, then the o-line got whistled for a false start and allowed a sack (12-yard loss) to force Iowa to punt. It was as ugly and self-inflicted as it gets.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

When Penn State and Iowa play, it's always a dog fight, especially in Iowa. In their last five meetings on Iowa's home field, the Hawkeyes have covered four times, with each cover coming in a game that had fewer than 50 points. You can see Iowa knows the formula to make these games close.

As for the quarterback position, the edge goes to Iowa. Not by a lot but Nate Stanley has been a part of these battles before. In his lone home game against PSU, Stanley took care of the ball (zero turnovers) and threw two touchdown passes. If not for a last-second TD by PSU, they would have upset the No.3-ranked Nittany Lions. Iowa covered nonetheless, losing 21-19.

Prediction: Iowa +3.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

This line is way too high, in my opinion. We've got two elite defenses here, who combine to allow less than 20 points per game. On top of that, the public money is coming in on the over, a surefire sign that we seriously need to consider the under. Both defensive units are allowing less than 260 yards per game, so like Iowa's battle vs. Michigan, you can expect a lot of punts and field goal attempts.

Prediction: Under 42

Casey P.

Casey Pazzalia is a former Division-II athlete and New York native. With nearly 10 years of experience, Casey makes his predictions from a contrarian point of view and has done it all in the sports gambling business. A family man, Casey now has contributed to many sports media outlets and is now a solid addition to the StatSalt team. Casey is more than confident in his ability to help you crush your man.

Upcoming Free Picks

Sunday, Dec 15
NFL
#305 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 47.5
#306 Detroit Lions 3.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#307 Philadelphia Eagles 40
#308 Washington Redskins 6
1:00pm
View Pick
#309 Chicago Bears 41
#310 Green Bay Packers -4.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#311 New England Patriots 40
#312 Cincinnati Bengals 9
1:00pm
View Pick
#313 Houston Texans 47.5
#314 Tennessee Titans -3
1:00pm
View Pick
#315 Seattle Seahawks 48.5
#316 Carolina Panthers 6
1:00pm
View Pick
#317 Denver Broncos 46.5
#318 Kansas City Chiefs -11.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#319 Miami Dolphins 48
#320 New York Giants -3.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#323 Jacksonville Jaguars 44.5
#324 Oakland Raiders -6.5
4:05pm
View Pick
#325 Cleveland Browns 47
#326 Arizona Cardinals 3
4:05pm
View Pick
#331 Minnesota Vikings 46
#332 Los Angeles Chargers 2
4:05pm
View Pick
#327 Atlanta Falcons 45.5
#328 49ers -10.5
4:25pm
View Pick
#329 Los Angeles Rams 47
#330 Dallas Cowboys 1
4:25pm
View Pick
#321 Buffalo Bills 37
#322 Pittsburgh Steelers -2
8:20pm
View Pick
Sunday, Dec 15
NBA
#565 Orlando Magic
#566 New Orleans Pelicans
3:35pm
View Pick
#567 Charlotte Hornets
#568 Indiana Pacers
5:05pm
View Pick
#569 Philadelphia 76ers
#570 Brooklyn Nets
6:05pm
View Pick
#571 Los Angeles Lakers
#572 Atlanta Hawks
6:05pm
View Pick
#573 New York Knicks
#574 Denver Nuggets
8:05pm
View Pick
#575 Sacramento Kings
#576 Golden ST. Warriors
8:35pm
View Pick
Sunday, Dec 15
NCAAB
#775 Illinois ST.
#776 N. Kentucky
2:00pm
View Pick
#777 Oklahoma ST.
#778 Houston
3:00pm
View Pick
#779 NC ST.
#780 UNC Greensboro
3:00pm
View Pick
#781 Drexel
#782 USF
4:00pm
View Pick
#783 Purdue
#784 Nebraska
4:00pm
View Pick
#785 S. Illinois
#786 Missouri
4:00pm
View Pick
#787 SIU - Edwardsville
#788 Northwestern
4:00pm
View Pick
#789 Cleveland ST.
#790 Bowling Green
4:00pm
View Pick
#791 Wofford
#792 N. Carolina (UNC)
4:00pm
View Pick
#795 Cal Riverside
#796 Washington ST.
4:30pm
View Pick
#797 S. Carolina
#798 Clemson
5:00pm
View Pick
#799 Georgia S.
#800 Bradley
5:00pm
View Pick
#801 Cal ST. N.ridge
#802 Pacific
6:00pm
View Pick
#805 Long Beach ST.
#806 USC
6:30pm
View Pick
#807 Missouri ST.
#808 VCU
7:00pm
View Pick
Sunday, Dec 15
NHL
#57 Philadelphia Flyers
#58 Winnipeg Jets
5:05pm
View Pick
#59 Los Angeles Kings
#60 Detroit Red Wings
7:05pm
View Pick
#61 Minnesota Wild
#62 Chicago Blackhawks
7:05pm
View Pick
#63 Vancouver Canucks
#64 Vegas Golden Knights
8:05pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 16
NFL
#333 Indianapolis Colts 44
#334 New Orleans Saints -9
8:15pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 16
NCAAB
#823 S. Miss
#824 Texas Tech
7:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Dec 20
NCAAF
#201 Buffalo 56.5
#202 Charlotte 5.5
2:00pm
View Pick
Saturday, Dec 21
NCAAF
#207 C. Michigan 40
#208 San Diego ST. -4
2:00pm
View Pick
#209 Liberty 55
#210 Georgia S. -5
2:30pm
View Pick
#211 SMU 72
#212 FAU 3.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#215 Washington 49
#216 Boise ST. 3.5
7:30pm
View Pick
Thursday, Dec 26
NCAAF
#223 Miami - FL
#224 Louisiana Tech
4:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Dec 27
NCAAF
#227 N. Carolina (UNC)
#228 Temple
12:00pm
View Pick
#233 USC
#234 Iowa
8:00pm
View Pick
Saturday, Dec 28
NCAAF
#239 Memphis
#240 Penn ST.
12:00pm
View Pick
#241 Oklahoma
#242 LSU
4:00pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 30
NCAAF
#247 Louisville
#248 Mississippi St
4:00pm
View Pick
Tuesday, Dec 31
NCAAF
#253 Kentucky
#254 Virginia Tech
12:00pm
View Pick
#259 Georgia ST.
#260 Wyoming
4:30pm
View Pick
Wednesday, Jan 1
NCAAF
#263 Michigan
#264 Alabama
1:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Jan 3
NCAAF
#275 Ohio U
#276 Nevada
3:30pm
View Pick