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Colorado State vs. Boise State,
10-19-2018 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#307 Colorado State
#308 Boise State

Friday, October 19, 2018 at 9:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Colorado State Rams

3 - 4


Boise State Broncos

4 - 2


Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State Broncos

Where: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID

When: Friday, October 19, 9:00 PM. ET.

The Colorado State Rams will be going for their third consecutive win when they take on the Boise State Broncos in a Mountain West matchup on Friday night.

Rams Need Another Solid Performance From Defense

After struggling in their three previous games, the Rams defense stepped up against New Mexico and helped the Rams hand the Lobos their first conference loss of the season. With the high-powered Broncos offense looming this week, the Rams will need another solid effort from their defense to get the win.

Colorado State played well defensively for most of their game against New Mexico, and managed to hold off the Lobo’s offense late in the game with a four and out that allowed Wyatt Bryan to kick the game-winning 26-yard field goal.

Their offense, led by K.J. Carta-Samuels, managed only 20 points after scoring 42 against San Jose State in the game prior to this one. Carta-Samuels, who has completed 61 percent of his passes for 1,934 yards, 16 touchdowns, and six interceptions, threw for 311 yards and one touchdown against the Lobos, making it the third time this season he has gone over 300 yards.

With the Broncos putting up 36.2 points per game, the Rams will need another big game from Carta-Samuels to have a chance to win the game. The Rams will also need to do a better job running the ball after averaging 2.1 yards per carry in their win over the Lobos. If they are able to run and throw the ball effectively, they should be able to keep up with the Bronco’s offense.

Broncos Going For Third Win In Four Games

The Broncos bounced back from their loss to San Diego State with a 30-27 win over Nevada in their last game. They were able to overcome three interceptions from quarterback Brett Rypien, who completed 28 of 38 passes for 299 yards, and two touchdowns.

Boise State did a great job defensively against the run, holding one of the best rushing teams in the country to 82 yards and one touchdown on 24 carries. However, they were unable to slow down Ty Gangi, who completed 24 of 42 passes for 304 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception.

The Broncos will need to do a better job defending the pass because the Rams run a pass-oriented offense and have the 20th best passing offense in the country.

The good news for Boise State is that the Rams have one of the worst defenses in the country, giving up 35.1 points per game, which is 109th in the nation. Even though they were able to hold New Mexico to 18 points in their last game, the Rams will struggle to slow down Boise State’s offense, which averages 36.2 points per game.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

The Broncos are perfect against the spread in their last four games against teams with losing records and have won 35 of their last 53 games after giving up more than 280 passing yards in their previous game. The Rams have struggled in their last six games following a win and they have lost seven of their last nine conference games, giving the Broncos the edge.

Prediction: Boise State Broncos -23.5

Full-Game Total Pick

The total has gone over in Colorado State’s last four games after giving up less than 20 points in their previous game and in 10 of their last 14 games after giving up less than 170 passing yards in their previous game. The total has also gone over in eight of Boise State’s last 10 Friday games and in five of their last seven games against teams with losing records. The fact that the total has gone over in five of the last seven games between the two teams makes the over the smart bet here.

Prediction: Over 62.5

Full-Game Prop Bet

The Broncos have averaged 26 points per game in their last three games and they are going up against a defense that has given 32 points per game. Boise State will score a lot in this game but they won’t go over 43.5 points in this game.

Prediction: Boise State – Total Points Under 43.5

Half-Time Side Pick

The Broncos average 21.8 points per game in the first half this season, while the Rams average 11.8 points. The Broncos also play better defense than the Rams in the first half, holding opponents to nine points per game, while the Rams give up 15.7 points, giving the Broncos the edge in the first half.

Prediction: Boise State Broncos -14

Half-Time Total Bet

The Broncos and Rams combine for 33.6 points per game in the first half, and they will likely go over the total here because the Broncos will score more than their season average against a Rams defense that has struggled on the road, giving up 78 points in their two road games this season.

Prediction: Over 33.5

Half-Time Prop Prediction

The Broncos have been great defensively in the first half, giving up nine points per game in the first half this season. Despite the Rams averaging 15 points in the first half of their last three games, the Broncos will keep them under 9.5 points in this game because they play better defense at home, giving up 6.5 points in the first half when playing in the friendly confines of Albertsons Stadium.

Prediction: Colorado State – 1st Half Total Points Over 9.5

Bosun Akinpelu

I am very passionate about sports, so I kind of feel bad that I get paid to do this. As someone who minored in Mathematics, I have a lot of faith in numbers, and make my picks based on stats and not emotions. I've been successfully picking winners for quite some time, so stick with me if you want to get paid.


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