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Air Force vs. Hawaii Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 10-19-2019

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#423 Air Force
Falcons -3
#424 Hawaii
Rainbow Warriors 3

Saturday, October 19, 2019 at 11:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Air Force

4 - 2

3-3
ATS
4-2
O/U
34
PPG
23
OPPG

Hawaii

4 - 2

3-3
ATS
3-3
O/U
36
PPG
32
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

The Air Force Falcons are heading to Honolulu to face the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors from the Aloha Stadium for a Saturday night match-up. Both teams have dominated defenses with their contrasting methods: the Falcons on the ground and Hawaii in the air. Who will dominate this game?

Falcons too good for Fresno State in stellar second half

Form

The Falcons have fallen to two superior opponents so far this season: first a 30-19 loss to Boise State and then a 34-25 defeat to Navy. Apart from these two games, the Falcons have shown off their experience and depth. In their last game, the Falcons breezed past Fresno State 43-24.

Last game

The Falcons were actually trailing 24-22 at the half, before a sensational second half saw them score 21 and concede 0. Donald Hammond III ran for two touchdowns and threw for one. Kyle Johnson returned a pick for a score.

What was said?

"During the first half, we hung in there," Fresno State coach Jeff Tedford said. "But the second half we couldn't get off the field defensively, and we couldn't sustain drives on offense."

Efficiency

The Falcons have been sensational on the ground this season: they average 296.5 passing yards per game, which puts them second in the country. It's only because of their efficiency on the ground that they've respectable offensive stats (averaging 34.3 points per game).

Hawaii continue dominance in the air

Form

Like the Falcons, the Rainbow Warriors have only been beaten by teams superior to them this season. They have suffered defeats to No. 23 Washington and then No. 14 Boise State in their previous game. They've had very promising results too, including wins against Arizona and Nevada.

What was said?

"The defense played well in the first half but awful field position," Hawaii coach Nick Rolovich said. "We gave them some real short plays and they took advantage of it. Our defense didn't play nearly as poorly as the score indicated, but in the second half we gave up some really big plays that we uncharacteristic for us."

Social media

Efficiency

If the Falcons have been great on the ground, Hawaii have been sensational in the air, ironic as that statement is. The Rainbow Warriors average 351.5 yards passing, which puts them fourth in the country.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

This is a tough prediction to make because both sides are very good at one important facet. However, it looks like Hawaii are slightly better off in a few factors that could really matter. Firstly, they have home advantage, which means the road team has traveled a fair distance to get to Honolulu. Secondly, Hawaii are coming off a bunch of great results, including the absolute thrashing of Nevada. This could make a difference.

Prediction: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors +3

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Yards per attempt is a great KPI (Key Performance Indicator) to determine totals for college football. The Falcons average 11 yards per offensive attempt, while Hawaii averages eight yards. The Falcons offense rack up 425 yards of offense and Hawaii accumulate average 474 yards, taking their combined tally to close to 900 yards. Expect many touchdowns and many points.

Prediction: Over 64

Nikhil Kalro

Nikhil has been working with ESPN since the age of 18 and covers cricket for their website ESPNcricinfo. We now have his talents here at StatSalt. When not writing or editing news, game reports, commentary and analysis stories, he is following American sports. A love for stats and patterns, research and results and years of handicapping experience makes him one to follow as a reliable capper. A degree in business administration and a keen eye for volatile industries like the stock market help too.

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