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Bowling Green vs. Ohio U,
10-20-2018 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#375 Bowling Green
Falcons 69.5
#376 Ohio U
Bobcats -16.5

Saturday, October 20, 2018 at 2:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Bowling Green Falcons

1 - 6


Ohio U Bobcats

3 - 3


Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Bowling Green Falcons vs. Ohio Bobcats

Where and when:  Peden Stadium, Columbus, Ohio, Saturday, 2:00 pm EST

The Bowling Green Falcons will travel to Peden Stadium in Columbus, Ohio, to battle the Ohio Bobcats on Saturday at 2:00 pm EST in Mid-American Conference football action.  In their last outing, the Bobcats suffered a 24-21 road loss versus the Huskies of Northern Illinois last Saturday as they squandered a 21-16 lead late in the fourth quarter with a touchdown run by the Bobcats’ Marcus Jones along with a two-point conversion by Max Scharping with only 4:51 minutes remaining.  The Falcons also picked up a loss as they were outscored 35-14 in the second half while enduring a 42-35 home loss to the Broncos of Western Michigan last Saturday.  The last time these teams met on October 14, 2017 when the Bobcats picked up the 48-30 road win while they covered as 5-point road underdogs in the contest.

The Falcons are not only 7-1 ATS in the last eight games in Ohio, but, are also 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings, overall.  The under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Columbus as well.

Ohio drops a heart-breaker to Northern Illinois

Ohio fought back from a 9-7 deficit at the half versus Northern Illinois on Saturday to score 14 points in the third quarter thanks to two Nathan Rourke touchdown passes; Nonetheless, it was all for naught as the Huskies also scored two touchdowns in the fourth quarter to seal the come from behind victory.  The Huskies dominated on the ground in racking up 255 yards in the contest as QB Marcus Childers led the way with 169 yards and a score while also having 145 yards passing.  Furthermore, the Huskies won the game despite having 109 yards in penalties.

Ohio’s rushing attack was terrible as they obtained only 45 yards on the day, yet their passing game averaged twelve yards per catch as Nathan Rourke passed for 275 yards, two TD’s, along with an interception.  At the end of the day, the Bobcats could not recover from three huge turnovers for the game while their inability to convert on third down (three for eight) also spelled their demise.  To make matters worse, the 128th ranked pass defense for the Bobcats may be even worse for their matchup versus Bowling Green as cornerbacks Justin Birchette and Xavier Motley are both questionable with undisclosed injuries while WR Jerome Butler (concussion), TE Noah Hoffman (undisclosed), and OL Marquise Grimes (undisclosed) are also questionable for the offense.

Bowling Green bitten by potent offense for Western Michigan

The Falcons were victims of a major rally by the Broncos of Western Michigan last Saturday as they relinquished a 21-7 half time lead and were outscored 35-14 thanks to three touchdowns runs for Jamauri Bogan while QB Jon Wassink threw three touchdown passes for the Broncos in the second half en route to the win. After that loss, Bowling Green decided to fire head coach Mike Jinks.  The Falcons’ 130th ranked rush defense allowed 282 yards for the contest as the Broncos were able to stay in the game early while capitalizing on turnovers in the second half to seal the victory.  Jarrett Doege threw for 379 yards for Bowling Green along with three touchdowns while Scott Miller had eight catches for the Falcons with 206 yards along with two scores in the loss.

Running back Andrew Claire is questionable versus Ohio for a dismal Falcons rushing attack that ranks 119th in the country.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

Ohio has not played well all season and may well come out with a victory in this matchup, however, they will certainly have some difficulties defending an outstanding pass attack for Bowling Green.  The Falcons, as stated, have had success playing in Ohio versus the Bobcats and will play well enough to maybe get the win in this contest.  Nonetheless, I will back the Bobcats at home to pull out a slim victory on Saturday.

Prediction: Pick:  Ohio Bobcats -750

Full-Game Total Pick

Here you have two middle of the road offenses that are up against two shaky defenses.  On one hand, the Bobcats are averaging 34 points per game with a decent rushing attack that will certainly tee off on a rushing defense for the Falcons that have had issues stopping the ground attack of their opponents while the Falcons 27th ranked passing attack with Doege and company will be looking forward to challenging the 128th ranked pass defense for the Bobcats that allow 327 yards per game.  In all, look for both teams to have success in this matchup as the total will surpass its set limit for the contest.  Besides, with the over being the call the last time these teams met along with being the result in the last two home games for Ohio in addition to being the play in six of seven games for the Falcons this year, the over is indeed the strongest play in this instance.

Prediction: Pick: Under 67

Full-Game Prop Bet

With Ohio’s pass defense being as inconsistent as it has been all year, I feel as though the Falcons will hang around during this game while making it very interesting throughout.  Of course, the Bobcats may indeed be the better team, however, the Falcons certainly have a dangerous passing attack that will look to feast on an Ohio defense that also allows 490 total yards per game.  And while the Falcons allow slightly more yards per game to their opponents at 507 total yards, look for each teams ability to move the chains as an indication that the Falcons will indeed cover the spread in this matchup.

Prediction: Pick: Bowling Green Falcons +16.5

Half-Time Side Pick

I will back the Falcons and this passing attack to get to the Bobcats early as they will set the pace of the matchup early.  The Bobcats will definitely respond to the early success by Bowling Green by also putting up some points of their own.  Nonetheless, the Falcons will indeed have the momentum going into the half as their connection of Doege to Miller will shine once again early in this game.

Prediction: Bowling Green Falcons +9.5

Half-Time Total Bet

I will pick the over to be the play at the half as both teams are very much giving on the defensive end as the Falcons are known to give up big plays to their opponent’s rushing attack while the Bobcats are shaky in both the run and the pass, altogether.  With that being the case, I will take the over at the half as both teams will come out looking to establish themselves early while the defensive units will struggle as usual.

Prediction: Pick: Over 34.5

Half-Time Prop Prediction

While Bowling Green will have an encouraging first half, I expect the Bobcats to weather the storm a bit in which to go into the half with a slim advantage in points scored.  The passing game for Ohio is not too shabby itself and with their rushing game putting up 178 yards per game, expect the home team to put up a fight in the trenches throughout the first half.

Prediction: Pick: Ohio Bobcats -460

Falepa Emme

A true analyst for a variety of sports, Falepa Emme has been a sports enthusiast for decades. His ability to read, learn, write, and constantly think sports will offer a unique perspective to NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL, along with MLB contests. Falepa's passion for analytics in each of these areas will certainly benefit the reader in obtaining more insight into upcoming match-ups.


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