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Coastal Carolina vs. UMass,
10-20-2018 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#327 Coastal Carolina
Chanticleers 74.5
#328 UMass
Minutemen -3

Saturday, October 20, 2018 at 3:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

3 - 3

3-3
ATS
3-2
O/U
31
PPG
35
OPPG

UMass Minutemen

2 - 5

2-5
ATS
6-1
O/U
36
PPG
44
OPPG

The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (3-3) travel to Amherst to take on UMASS (2-5) in a non-conference game. The Chants are coming off a loss at the hands of UL Monroe and UMASS is also coming off a loss to USF. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm Eastern at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium.

Coastal Carolina and Their First Quarter Woes

Coastal Carolina averages 31.8 points per game; 174 passing yards and 247 rushing yards is how this team racks up their 421.3 total yards.

Coastal Carolina has trailed in the first quarter in all six of their games this season and until last week they had cut their penalties down by 60 percent from last season.

Carolina is a run-first team led by Senior RB Marcus Outlow and his 533 yards on 100 carries and seven TD’s. Sophomore RB CJ Marable has rushed for 368 yards and five TD’s and Freshman QB Bryce Carpenter has rushed for 141 yards and has passed for an additional 433 yards, four TD’s, two interceptions and has been sacked 14 times this season.

Coastal Carolina has converted 44 percent of its third downs and 77 percent of its fourth downs this season. Carolina has also scored on 20 of their 22 Red Zone possessions this season.

Carolina allows 202.2 passing yards and 233.2 rushing yards good for 435.5 total yards per game. Teams have scored 28 TD’s and have converted 48 percent of their third downs and 50 percent of their fourth downs. The Chants defense has recorded nine sacks, two interceptions and teams have scored on 20 of their 23 Red Zone possessions this season.

The Minutemen Have a Lousy Defense

The Minutemen average 414.6 total offensive yards per game. 282.9 of those yards come via the air and 131.7 rushing yards. Head Coach Mark Whipple returns to the sidelines after serving a one game suspension.

Senior QB Andrew Ford leads the Minutemen with 1040 passing yards, eight TD’s, five interceptions and has been sacked nine times. Senior WR Andy Isabella has 839 receiving yards and eight TD’s and is Ford’s go-to guy.  Senior RB Marquis Young leads the rushing attack with 399 rushing yards and four TD’s. Junior RB Jordan Fredericks also puts in work with 185 yards and a TD.

The Minutemen convert 39 percent of its third downs, 50 percent of its fourth downs and have scored on 24 of their 27 Red Zone possessions this season.

To say UMASS is defensively challenged would be an understatement. They allow 496 total yards per game on 224.6 passing yards and 272 rushing yards. This defense has allowed 37 TD’s and teams have converted 44 percent of its third downs and 42 percent of their fourth downs. The Minutemen defense has six interceptions and have taken to of those balls to the house. UMASS has seven sacks and teams have scored on 34 of their 36 Red Zone possessions this season.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Nothing better than a road dog. At least I like the road dogs and Saturday I like Coastal Carolina to cover the +3.5 points Vegas has kindly given them. While I believe this game is going to be a shootout I have more confidence in the Carolina defense than I do in UMASS. Carolina has their coach back and I’m sure they would love to win for him on Saturday.

The Minutemen won’t be able to stop the Carolina rushing attack and while UMASS may end up winning Carolina has just enough to cover that +3.5 points.

Prediction: Coastal Carolina +3.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

This game is going to be a shootout. No question about it. It will probably go down to the wire and I would be surprised if these two NCAA Football teams don’t combine for over 80 points or more. Really! These two football have combined for an  average allowed score of 80 points there’s not a reason in the world to expect that to change any time soon.

Play the over with confidence Saturday and laugh all the way to the bank!!!

Prediction: Over 74.5 Points

Phil Naessens

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