Upcoming Free Picks

Northwestern vs. Rutgers,
10-20-2018 - Expert Prediction

This is a past game! View all upcoming games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#325 Northwestern
Wildcats -20
#326 Rutgers
Scarlet Knights 49

Saturday, October 20, 2018 at 12:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Northwestern Wildcats

3 - 3

3-3
ATS
4-2
O/U
25
PPG
26
OPPG

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

1 - 6

2-5
ATS
3-4
O/U
15
PPG
35
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

The Northwestern Wildcats (3-3) travel to New York to take on Rutgers University (1-6) in a Big Ten matchup. Northwestern sits alone atop the Big Ten West and a win on Saturday would go a long way towards securing a possible Big Ten Title. Kickoff at HighPoint.com Stadium is scheduled for noon eastern.

Northwestern Is Having a Fine Season

Wildcats Senior QB Clayton Thorson has completed 159 of 254 pass attempts for 1755 yards, 9 TD’s and 7 interceptions. Thorson also has been sacked 14 times. Those sacks have more to do with a struggling offensive line than it does with Thorson’s mobility.  Thorson also has two rushing TD’s this season and has rushed for -82 yards this season. Senior WR Flynn Nagel is Thorson’s go to guy and has caught 48 passes for 622 yards and two TD’s. Junior WR Cameron Green (30-280-3) is another high target receiver but Nagel is the number one option. When Northwestern does run the ball Sophomore RB Jeremy Larkin is their guy with 346 yards and five TD’s on 72 attempts.

Northwestern has converted 38 percent of their third down attempts and 30 percent of its fourth down chances. The Wildcats have also scored on 16 of their 21 Red Zone opportunities this season.

The Wildcats defense allows 403.8 total yards per game; 254.8 passing yards and 149.3 rushing yards. This Wildcat defense has allowed 15 TD’s this season and teams have converted 35 percent of its third downs and 22 percent of fourth downs. Opposing teams have scored on 17 of their 19 Red Zone opportunities this season. The Wildcats defense has six interceptions, eight sacks and allow an average of 26.2 points per game this season.

Rutgers Puts the “S” in Struggling

Rutgers is coming off a 34-7 hammering at the hands of Maryland and now have to figure out a way to not get embarrassed in front of their home crowd. The Scarlet Knights average 15.1 points per game; as you can imagine they have a low total offense of 281.6 yards per game. Rutgers averages 147.1 passing yards and 134.4 rushing yards per game. Rutgers’ collection of QB’s have thrown 17 interceptions and have been sacked just 9 times this season. See, there is a bright spot on this offense.

The Scarlet Knights convert 32 percent of their third down tries, 50 percent of their fourth down tries and has scored om 14 of their 20 Red Zone possessions this season.

The Scarlet Knights defense allows 426 total yards per game; 188.3 passing yards, 237.7 rushing yards and 30.1 points per game. Rutgers has allowed 29 TD’s and teams have converted 45 percent of their third downs , 66 percent of their fourth downs and teams have scored on 19 of their 23 Red Zone possessions. The Scarlet Knights defense has scored two TD’s, four interceptions and nine sacks.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Rutgers is such a bad football team that even their bloggers are laying the points and playing the Wildcats. That’s saying something as most SB Nation bloggers are huge homers. Northwestern is one of those teams that always goes overlooked and winds up covering the spread darn near every week. If you don’t believe me than please look at these trends again

  • Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
  • Wildcats are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games in October.
  • Wildcats are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Wildcats are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Wildcats are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Wildcats are 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 conference games.

21 points is quite a few points and I can’t blame people for wanting to bet their hard earned money on the Scarlet Knights. But the numbers don’t lie and this Northwestern team shouldn’t have any trouble covering the spread on Saturday afternoon.

Prediction: Northwestern -21

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Covering the 21 points is going to take nearly half our total and I feel fairly confidant Northwestern covers the 21 on the road Saturday. Against that awful defense Northwestern might even double the 21 and score 42 points. Northwestern plays decent defense and will probably allow a couple of TD’s, especially late in the game. That leaves us with a score of 42-14 and I feel comfortable handicapping that score. Play the over and cash that ticket on Saturday afternoon!

Prediction: Over 49.5 Points

Phil Naessens

Coming Soon!

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Friday, Apr 19
NBA
#555 Portland Trailblazers 221.5
#556 Oklahoma City Thunder -7.5
9:35pm
View Pick
MLB
#925 Seattle Mariners 9
#926 Los Angeles Angels -115
10:07pm
View Pick
#927 Toronto Blue Jays 8.5
#928 Oakland Athletics -130
10:07pm
View Pick
#913 Cincinnati Reds 7.5
#914 San Diego Padres -130
10:10pm
View Pick
NHL
#65 Colorado 6
#66 Calgary -175
10:08pm
View Pick
Saturday, Apr 20
NBA
#557 Philadelphia 76ers -2.5
#558 Brooklyn Nets 233
3:05pm
View Pick
#559 Denver Nuggets 211
#560 San Antonio Spurs -3.5
5:35pm
View Pick
#561 Milwaukee Bucks -8.5
#562 Detroit Pistons 217
8:05pm
View Pick
#563 Houston Rockets 216
#564 Utah Jazz -2.5
10:35pm
View Pick
MLB
#951 New York Mets -135
#952 St. Louis Cardinals 7.5
2:15pm
View Pick
#953 Arizona Diamondbacks
#954 Chicago Cubs
2:20pm
View Pick
#955 San Francisco Giants
#956 Pittsburgh Pirates
4:05pm
View Pick
#969 Toronto Blue Jays
#970 Oakland Athletics
4:07pm
View Pick
#979 Atlanta Braves
#980 Cleveland Indians
4:10pm
View Pick
#957 Washington Nationals
#958 Miami Marlins
6:10pm
View Pick
#959 Los Angeles Dodgers
#960 Milwaukee Brewers
7:10pm
View Pick
#977 Seattle Mariners
#978 Los Angeles Angels
9:07pm
View Pick
NHL
#75 Winnipeg 5.5
#76 St. Louis -140
7:08pm
View Pick