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PAC 12 action here as the Oregon Ducks will travel to Pullman, Washington to take on the Washington State Cougars. Oregon is fresh off its season-defining upset of the Washington Huskies while Washington State is fresh off a 29-point beatdown of Oregon State. Both teams are ranked, with Oregon at number 12 and Washington State at 25, and the game will be nationally televised on FOX.
Oregon Bounces Back After Crushing Loss
Oregon was undefeated and hosting Stanford when they suffered one of the worst collapses in recent college football history. The Ducks were running out the clock when they fumbled away a sure victory against the Cardinal and ended up losing in overtime. Most teams would’ve been devastated from the emotional loss and last-second defeat, and would’ve come out with a hangover the next game. Instead, Oregon’s locker room rallied together and they ended up crushing Cal the next week.
This past Saturday, they pulled off a huge upset and took down Washington. It was the biggest win in recent memory for the Ducks, and launched them back firmly into national relevance. It’s no longer too early to say the Ducks are back.
They have one of the best quarterbacks in college football, Justin Herbert, and Herbert should feast on this Washington State secondary. Herbert is the favorite to be the first signal caller taken in the 2019 NFL draft, and I don’t see anyway the Cougars slow him down. Wazzu has given up at least 24 points in four straight games, and the Ducks could have some success offensively. That being said, the Ducks defense hasn’t looked very good either, and is vulnerable through the air.
Washington State Flying Under The Radar
The Cougars have gone a bit under the radar for a Power 5 team that’s 5-1. Their only loss was by three points, a nailbiter to USC, and I think they’re a bit underrated. They’ve taken care of business against lesser teams, and the defense has played better than the raw scoring numbers indicate. While they’ve given up 36 and 37 points in two out of their last three games, they’ve actually been pretty efficient defending both the pass and run.
The Cougars had to replace record-breaking quarterback Luke Falk this year, and coach Mike Leach has made a relatively seamless transition. Leach is one of the best offensive minds in the game, and will surely have some creative tricks up his sleeve. He’s always busting out new formations and innovative playcalls, and I think he’ll have some success against an Oregon defense that sometimes struggles against the pass.
Withe Oregon riding high off their win over Washington, I think it’s possible they get caught sleeping here. The Cougars play well at home, and the Ducks better not think they have an easy win coming now that they’re the number 12 ranked team in the nation.
- 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games
- 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win
- 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game
- 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win
- 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I love Washington State here. The Cougars have covered eight straight home games, and I think that trend will continue here. The Oregon hype has gotten a little out of control, and I think this is a good spot to fade it. The Ducks will surely be riding high off their win over Washington, and I think the Cougars will take them by surprise. I think Wazzu wins, and I don’t think it’s particularly close.
Prediction: Washington State Pick Em
Full-Game Total Pick
This game should have a ton of points. Herbert can be expected to put up a ton of points on anybody, and both defenses have struggled recently. Both teams seem to be in shootouts just about every week, and I think that trend will continue here. Both teams will look to take some shots down the field with their quarterbacks, which should keep the pace fast and the clocks stopped.