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Penn State Nittany Lions at Indiana Hoosiers
When and Where: Saturday, October 20 at 3:30 p.m. ET at Memorial Stadium in Bloomington, IN
Penn State lost its second straight game, again blowing a fourth-quarter lead against a conference rival. The Nittany Lions have little chance to crash the College Football Playoff after two conference losses in a row, but they have too much talent to throe away the rest of the season. Indiana has lost two straight games as its defense has struggled mightily to contain Iowa and Ohio State in each loss. The Hoosiers are 1-3 in Big 10 play.
Snapping the Streak
Penn State had the lead in the fourth, but couldn’t put away Michigan State. Penn State had the game won with an interception, but Amani Oruwariye dropped it, which prolonged the Spartans eventual game-winning drive. The mistakes that plagued Penn State in a home loss to Ohio State at the end of September continued last weekend. The Nittany Lions should be able to put those performances to bed with a dominant performance against Indiana this weekend. PSU has a tremendous rushing attack as they’re averaging 251 yards per game. Trace McSorley struggled to consistently complete passes in the loss to Michigan State. He was 19 for 32 for 192 yards and a touchdown. Junior Miles Sanders was a menace against the Spartans, rushing the ball 17 times for 162 yards after averaging 2.7 yards per carry against Ohio State.
— Penn State Football (@PennStateFball) October 14, 2018
The Nittany Lions have a solid defense. They did a great job of holding the Spartans until that final drive. On the season, opponents are scoring only 21 points against Penn State. The Nittany Lions made costly mistakes against the Spartans, especially in that final drive. Penn State’s led by Garrett Taylor in the secondary, who has an interception in back-to-back games. Taylor also had a team-high six tackles. Penn State needs to bring it defensively the full 60 minutes Saturday.
Indiana struggled big-time against Iowa, losing 42- 16 in blowout fashion. The Hoosiers couldn’t get anything going on the ground, rushing 25 times for 67 yards and a touchdown. It was quarterback Peyton Ramsey who rushed for the touchdown. He also threw for 263 yards and a touchdown, but he also threw two picks, which proved to be costly as the Iowa Hawkeyes took advantage, especially through the air, which will be discussed in the defensive section of this preview. Indiana’s Ty Fryfogle, a sophomore wide out, was solid in the loss, securing four catches for 71 yards and a touchdown. He has at least 70 yards in two of his past three games.
Peyton Ramsey's legs are underrated.
— Big Ten Network (@BigTenNetwork) October 13, 2018
The Hoosiers couldn’t do anything defensively against Iowa and Ohio State. Iowa was more of a surprise given its limited offensive upside. The Hawkeyes threw all over the Hoosiers defense, which is bad news as the terrific offense in Penn State comes to town. Jerome Johnson had a positive contribution in the loss to Iowa, securing a sack. Freshman linebacker Thomas Allen returned an interception 30 yards in the same loss. Indiana had some bright spots, but the overriding theme for the defense has been plenty of miscues as the unit has allowed 40+ points in consecutive games.
- Hoosiers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
- Hoosiers are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
- Hoosiers are 1-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Hoosiers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
- Hoosiers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Nittany Lions are 14-2-1 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Nittany Lions are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games in October.
- Nittany Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
- Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Penn State should roll after back-to-back blown fourth quarter leads. The Nittany Lions should be able to have plenty of success offensively, and it’s not like they’ll be challenged on defense. Indiana has a lackluster offense that could struggle to get things going Saturday afternoon against Penn State.
Prediction: Penn State -14
Full-Game Total Pick
Penn State will be able to score at will, especially on the ground, but it’s unclear if Indiana will be able to keep up with the scoring. It’s been back-to-back games where Indiana has allowed at least 40 points. Penn State hasn’t been too effective offensively the past two weeks, but the Nittany Lions will play a much inferior defense in Indiana Saturday.
Prediction: Under 61