Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: SDCCU Stadium, San Diego, CA
When: Saturday, October 20, 10:30 PM. ET.
The San Diego State Aztecs will be trying to become bowl eligible by winning their sixth game of the season when they face the San Jose State Spartans, who will be trying to get their first win of the season on Saturday night.
Spartans Trying To Six-Game Losing Streak
The Spartans have lost all six games they have played this season and suffered their worst defeat of the season at the hands of the Army Golden Knights, who defeated the Spartans 52-3 in their last game. San Jose will try to snap their losing streak against the Aztecs, who have survived a few close calls during their current run.
San Jose’s biggest problem this season has been on the defensive end, with the team giving up 41.3 points per game, which is 125th in the country. The Spartans have given up at least 40 points in each of their last three games, and they will lose their seventh consecutive game if they give up 40 points to the Aztecs on Saturday.
Back 2 Work. 💯/💯 pic.twitter.com/9gwZcy5ssj
— SanJoseStateFootball (@SJSUSpartanFB) October 14, 2018
The Spartans have also struggled to run the ball this season, averaging 50.3 rushing yards per game, which is dead last in the country. With the team unable to run the ball, opposing defenses have been able to put pressure on junior quarterback Josh Love, who has been sacked 13 times in four games, and has missed two games because of injuries.
Love has completed 49.7 percent of his passes for 1,030 yards, eight touchdowns, and five interceptions.
If the Spartans can’t run the ball effectively against the Aztecs and don’t do a better job protecting their quarterback, they will have a hard time getting the win over the Aztecs
Aztecs Going For Sixth Consecutive Win
The Aztecs bounced back from their season-opening loss to Stanford by winning their next five games, one of which was against then 23rd ranked Arizona State. They will try to continue their winning ways and become bowl eligible against a San Jose State team that is looking for its first win of the season.
— SDSU Football (@SDSUFootball) October 14, 2018
San Diego State has relied mostly on defense to win games this season, but their offense, which averages 21.5 points per game, has come up big when needed. The team will stick to what has worked best for them this season and try to shut the Spartans down offensively.
Since the Spartans struggle to run the ball, the Aztecs will likely dial up a lot of blitzes and try to overwhelm Love, who has struggled against pressure this season.
San Diego State will try to move the ball on the ground against the Spartans because they are a very good running team, averaging 171.8 yards per game, going up a bad run defense that gives up an average of 182.5 rushing yards per game.
If the Aztecs can move the ball on the ground effectively, Ryan Agnew, who has completed 50.5 percent of his passes for 790 yards, four touchdowns, and four interceptions, should be able to find a few holes for some big plays, which will put the Aztecs in good position to get the win.
San Diego State is:
- 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss.
- 19-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games in October.
San Jose State is:
- 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Aztecs have played well against the spread, winning six of their last eight games following an ATS loss. They have also won 19 of their last 26 against teams with losing records, giving them the edge over the Spartans, who have lost seven of their last 10 road games and five of their last 17 overall.
Prediction: San Diego State Aztecs
Full-Game Total Pick
The total has gone under in eight of San Diego’s last nine games after an ATS loss, in five of their last six overall and in four if their last five home games. The total has also gone under in five of San Jose State’s last seven road games and in nine of their last 10 games after allowing less than 170 passing yards in their previous game.
Half-Time Side Pick
The Aztecs are averaging 14.7 points per game in the first half of their last three games, while the Spartans average 6.7 points per game. San Diego State’s defense has also been better, giving up 9.8 points in the first half while the Spartans give up 19.4 points in the first half.
Prediction: San Diego State Aztecs
Half-Time Total Bet
The Spartans and Aztecs average 21.4 points in the first half, but they will fail to go over the first half total because the Spartans will struggle to score against San Diego State’s offense, while the Aztecs will also struggle to score a lot of points in the first half like they have done all season.