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Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Arkansas Razorbacks
NCAAF: Saturday, October 20, 2018 at 12 PM EST
Tulsa and Arkansas have gone through very disappointing seasons so far and at least the winner of this non-conference game will be snapping a long losing streak. Tulsa won their season opener, but they have lost five in a row. Most of their losses have been close and they almost upset a ranked South Florida team in their last game striking first in the game. Still, they are winless in AAC play and they only rank 107th in the nation in ppg.
After a blowout win in their season opener Arkansas has dropped six in a row and they are the only team in the SEC West without a conference win. The Razorbacks do have a balanced offense and they have scored at least 31 points in each of their last two games, but their defense has been the main issue only ranking 116th in the nation giving up an average of 36.9 ppg.
These teams have not met since the 2012 season.
Can’t hold on
In their last game, Tulsa was at home and they lost to a ranked South Florida team getting outscored 15-0 in the 4th quarter. They forced the game’s only turnover and while they only lost by a point they were outgained 487 yards to 299 yards and only had 79 passing yards. The Golden Hurricane did rush for 220 yards with Shamari Brooks and Javon Thomas combining for 174 rushing yards. Brooks leads the team in rushing on the season, but only averaged 3.6 yards per carry in the loss to South Florida. Corey Taylor II is the 2nd leading rusher with 411 rushing yards on the season, but he missed the South Florida game and is questionable for this one. QB Seth Boomer was less than impressive facing USF only going 6/21 for 79 yards, but did have a TD and was not picked off.
— American Football (@American_FB) October 13, 2018
The Golden Hurricane rank a legit 32nd in the nation in rushing yards per game, but only 112th in passing yards per game. They will face an Arkansas run defense that ranks 54th in the nation, and gave up 224 rushing yards in their last game, and their pass D only ranks 118th.
Offense there, defense not so much
Arkansas was at home in their last game losing to Ole Miss 37-33 where the offense was there while the defense was not. They racked up 476 yards and rushed for 299 yards, but they gave up a whopping 611 yards and were outscored 13-0 in the 4th quarter. Ty Storey passed for 122 yards and a TD and also rushed for 70 yards. Rakeem Boyd led the Razorbacks with 109 rushing yards with 69 of those yards coming on one run.
Boyd has rushed for at least 102 yards in each of his last two games and did so against Alabama, which is no easy task. Tulsa has a pretty good pass defense, but the same cannot be said about their run defense, which ranks 114th in the nation.
The Arkansas Razorbacks are:
- 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October
- 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane are:
- 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record
- 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Arkansas has played a tougher schedule than Tulsa, but each team still has one win. Have to go with the Razorbacks at home and they are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six home games. Boyd will have a big game on the ground and Arkansas will rack up a ton of rushing yards. Tulsa will put up points as well facing a sketchy Arkansas run defense, but the Razorbacks will still win easily and cover the spread.
Prediction: PICK: Arkansas
Full-Game Total Pick
Both of these teams have struggled on defense this season, which is why the smart money in this game is on the Over.
Prediction: PICK: Over