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UConn vs. USF,
10-20-2018 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#381 UConn
Huskies
#382 USF
Bulls

Saturday, October 20, 2018 at 7:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

UConn Huskies

1 - 5

1-5
ATS
2-3
O/U
20
PPG
53
OPPG

USF Bulls

6 - 0

2-4
ATS
2-3
O/U
35
PPG
24
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

The South Florida Bulls will welcome the Connecticut Huskies into Raymond James Stadium in an effort to remain undefeated on the 2018 campaign. UConn had the week off to regroup after the 41-point thumping they received at the hands of Memphis the previous week while USF survived a scare out in Oklahoma and needed a last second field goal to defeat the Tulsa Golden Hurricane, 25-24.

The squad have met 15 times previously with the Bulls having won 10 of those contests, including six straight against the Huskies.

Husking Hoping for Something Positive

Not much has gone right for Connecticut on the gridiron this season.  The squad’s loan victory came by a mere touchdown over FCS side Rhode Island, and their closest defeat on the year came via a 30-point drubbing at Syracuse (51-21).  A win is not likely this week either, much less a close contest.  Their tilt with the UMASS Minutemen in their next contest is likely the only winnable game left on their schedule and they will probably be underdogs for that match up as well.

Things went bad early and often against the Tigers and were it not for a last minute touchdown in the first half, they would have trailed 41-7 at the break. The Tigers laid off the gas and only scored two TDs in the second half, but did not allow the Huskies another score on the day.

David Pindell is the signal caller for the team and has 1,122 yards on the season with nine touchdowns and eight interceptions, but he is also the leading rusher on the squad with 467 yards and five scores on the ground.  The team is rushing for 163 yards a game but is going up against a Run D that is giving up 214 yards per contest. It is not much, but if they can take advantage of that, then they may be able to keep it closer than expected.

Bulls Battle to Stay Unbeaten

Who would have thought that we would see three undefeated teams at this point in the season in the American Athletic conference, much less all of them playing in the AAC East.  Cincinnati, UCF, and USF all remain unbeaten with 6-0 marks.  Has South Florida beaten anybody impressive? Not really . . . but they do have a win over a Power 5 team in Georgia Tech (49-38) and Charlie Strong’s side has taken care of the teams that have been placed on his schedule. That was almost not the case this past week, however, when the Bulls had to put together a big-time fourth quarter rally to eek out a victory in Tulsa.

Trailing 24-10 entering the fourth quarter, USF had to dig deep, and the feat did not become any easier when they missed an extra point on their first touchdown of the quarter and then failed to convert the two-point conversion on their second one with 2:09 remaining. Still, they managed to get the ball back and go on to kick a 22-yard field goal as time expired. Sometimes good teams are lucky too.

Blake Barnett is the team’s field general with over 1500 yards passing on the season and nine scores vs. five picks. Jordan Cronkite is a dangerous back with 757 yards on 94 carried and six touchdowns. The team is averaging 35.2 points per game and could have a field day against a team giving up 53 points per contest. UConn also allows a whopping 658 yards of offense per game and USF without playing against a horrible D is not too shabby on O (487.3 per game).

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

This game opened with a 30.5 point spread, and has already grown by two points.  As mentioned earlier, the closest that the Huskies have come in defeat was 30 points and that was in a dome, not playing in the Florida Sunshine (Yes, it is still hot and humid in October down in the Sunshine State).  A defense that already spends too much time on the field as it is is going to get winded much quicker this time around and will be in for a long day at the Ray Jay.

Prediction: Pick: USF -32.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Most people will probably see a large number and be scared off here, but you should not be.  The Bulls are going to score . . .  a lot.  The Huskies may even help the cause a little bit because they will be receiving a lot of kickoffs during the game.  The over has hit four of the last five times UConn has played on grass and seven of the last nine times South Florida has played on that surface.

Prediction: Over

Chuck D

Chuck Dowling is a 30-something University of Florida J-School alum that lives in his mother’s basement. Just kidding... there are no basements in Florida (the ground is too moist). He has been in the “biz” for his entire adult life and specializes in NCAA football and basketball, as well as soccer, boxing, and MMA. When not writing, Chuck moonlights as a high school athletics radio and internet-television broadcaster.

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