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Western Michigan vs. Central Michigan,
10-20-2018 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#363 Western Michigan
Broncos -4
#364 Central Michigan
Chippewas 58

Saturday, October 20, 2018 at 3:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Western Michigan Broncos

5 - 2

2-5
ATS
3-3
O/U
36
PPG
30
OPPG

Central Michigan Chippewas

1 - 6

4-3
ATS
3-4
O/U
18
PPG
26
OPPG

Western Michigan Broncos vs. Central Michigan Chippewas

Where: Kelly/Shorts Stadium, Mount Pleasant, MI

When: Saturday, October 20, 3:00 PM. ET.

The Central Michigan Chippewas will be trying to snap their three-game losing streak when they take on the Western Michigan Broncos, who are trying to stay undefeated in conference play, on Saturday afternoon.

Broncos Going For Sixth Consecutive Win

Since they lost their first two games of the season, the Broncos have won their last five games and will be trying to become bowl eligible with their sixth win of the season when they face the Chippewas.

Western Michigan has been great offensively this season, averaging 36.6 points per game, which is 26th in the country. However, they haven’t been as good defensively, giving up 31 points per game.

The Broncos offense is led by junior quarterback Jon Wassink, who has completed 61.9 percent of his passes for 1,924 yards, 16 touchdowns, and six interceptions. After a hot start to the season, Wassink has cooled off in his last two games, completing 59 percent of his passes with three touchdowns and three interceptions.

With the Chippewas giving up 153.4 passing yards per game, Wassink will likely struggle to find holes in Central Michigan’s defense, so expect to see the Broncos run the ball a lot and try to exploit the Chippewas’ run defense, which is one of the worst in the country, giving up an average of 198.4 rushing yards per game.

Defensively, the Broncos don’t face much of a threat against the Chippewas, who average 18.1 points per game, but they can’t afford to get complacent against their rivals, who will love to pull off the upset.

Chippewas Looking For Second Win Of Season

The Chippewas haven’t had much go their way this season and find themselves in the midst of their second three-game losing streak of the year. They managed to snap their first three-game losing streak against Maine, and they will be hoping to snap their current streak against the Broncos.

Offense will be a key for the Chippewas, who have the fourth worst scoring average in the country. Junior quarterback Tommy Lazzaro took over the starting job in the third week of the season after Tony Poljan struggled. He has completed 50.4 percent of his passes for 607 yards, five touchdowns, and eight interceptions. The team will need to get more production from the quarterback position to win this game.

Central Michigan’s running game has been just as ineffective as their passing game. The team averages 139.7 rushing yards per game, which is 101st in the country.  Lazzaro also leads the team in rushing with 349 yards and three touchdowns on 81 carries. Starting running back Jonathan Ward has 191 rushing yards and a 2.9 yard per carry average this season.

Central Michigan’s defense will need to step up to give their team a chance to get the win over the Broncos this weekend. If they can stop the Broncos from running the ball effectively, they will be able to go after Wassink and try to force him to turn the ball over, which he has done in recent games.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The Chippewas have struggled to win games this season, but they have played well against the spread. They have won nine of their last 13 games and six of their last eight conference games, which gives them the edge over the Broncos, who have lost against the spread in four of their last five road games and their last four conference games.

Prediction: Central Michigan

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

The total has gone over in all of Western Michigan’s last eight games against teams with losing records, and in five of their last seven conference games. The total has also gone over in five of Central Michigan’s last six games against teams with winning records, six of their last eight conference games and in five of the last seven meetings between the two teams.

Prediction: Over

Half-Time Side Pick
Rating:

The Broncos average 10.3 points per game in the first half this season, while the Chippewas average 8.2 points. With Western Michigan’s defense giving up 22.7 points in the second half, the Chippewas will likely go into the half with the lead and cover the halftime spread.

Prediction: Central Michigan

Half-Time Total Bet
Rating:

The Chippewas and Broncos combine for 18.5 points in the first half. They will likely go over the halftime total in this game because Western Michigan’s defense isn’t very good and gives up more than three touchdowns at the half, which means they are going to give up a lot of points to the struggling Chippewas’ offense, while their offense should be able to move the ball around against the Chippewas and score at least two touchdowns at the half.

Prediction: Over

Bosun Akinpelu

I am very passionate about sports, so I kind of feel bad that I get paid to do this. As someone who minored in Mathematics, I have a lot of faith in numbers, and make my picks based on stats and not emotions. I've been successfully picking winners for quite some time, so stick with me if you want to get paid.

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