Georgia State Panthers at Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns
NCAAF: Saturday, November 10, 2018 at 5:00 PM EST
Georgia State has lost four in a row and they are in the basement of the Sun Belt East Division. Their offense has been pretty good as of late, the same cannot be said about their defense the Panthers have been pounced on all season and they only rank 117th in the nation giving up an average of 37 ppg.
Hard to believe, but Louisiana-Lafayette is still in the Sun Belt West race even though they are 4-5 on the season. They only trail UL Monroe by one game and they face on the road in their season finale. The Rajin Cajuns have lost two of their last three games and while their defense has been the issue on the season in the two losses in their last three games they only totaled 33 points.
Too little, too late
In their last game, Georgia State was at home and they lost to Texas State 40-31 even though they outscored the Bobcats 21-7 in the 4th quarter. While they had a solid offensive game with 445 yards they gave up 489 yards, committed the only two turnovers, and allowed 325 passing yards. Dan Ellington passed for 112 yards with no TD and no INT, but left the game due to concussion-like symptoms and may not play in this game. If he cannot Aaron Winchester will get the starting nod and he also passed for 112 yards in the loss to Texas State.
Ellington’s loss is a big one, as he also leads the Panthers in rushing yards. Tra Barnett had 85 rushing yards in the loss to Texas State and in his previous game galloped for 165 yards. The Louisiana defense only ranks 94th in the nation against the pass and 107th against the run.
Offensive struggles and turnovers hurt
Louisiana-Lafayette was on the road in their last game losing to Troy 26-16 where their offense struggled and they committed three turnovers. They only had 270 yards in the game, while giving up 427, and they were outscored 13-3 in the 2nd half. Andre Nunez passed for 126 yards and was only 11/25 and had two picks and no TD. Trey Ragas had a solid game in the backfield with 106 rushing yards and averaged 5.9 yards per carry.
— Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns® Football (@RaginCajunsFB) October 30, 2018
Look for the Rajin Cajuns to lean on the run in this game and on the season Ragas has 840 rushing yards and Elijah Mitchell, who has a neck injury, but is expected to go in this game, has 565 rushing yards. Ragas has rushed for 100+ yards in five games this season and will be facing a Georgia State run defense that only ranks 121st in the nation.
The ULL Rajin Cajuns are:
- 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall
- 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games
- 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record
The Georgia State Panthers are:
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss
- 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 conference games
- 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games
- 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I have to go with ULL in this game, as they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games and Georgia State is 0-5-1 ATS in their last six road games. The Panthers’ D has been shredded in their four-game losing streak and their leading passer and rusher in Ellington may not be able to go in this game. The Rajin Cajuns will easily win and cover at home moving to .500 and staying alive for a chance at playing in the Sun Belt title game.
Prediction: PICK: Louisiana-Lafayette
Full-Game Total Pick
The Over is the pick in this game, as Georgia State’s defense has been bad this season, especially in their current four-game losing streak. The Rain Cajuns will run the ball at will and while they will not shut down the Panthers they will light up thew scoreboard. Yeah, the Over is the pick for this Sun Belt encounter.
Prediction: PICK: Over