LSU Tigers at Arkansas Razorbacks
NCAAF: Saturday, November 10, 2018, Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, Arkansas, 7:30 PM ET
The LSU Tigers were on a two-game winning run and they tried to beat Alabama and take their place at the top of the Southeastern West but the reigning champions showed why they are the best team in the country. On the other hand, the Arkansas Razorbacks managed to snap the six-game losing run with a win over Tulsa but they lost to Vanderbilt to remain at the bottom of the SEC with a 2-7 record.
The Tigers were kept off the scoreboard in a loss to the Crimson Tide
LSU had an opportunity to defeat the Alabama Crimson Tide at home and improve to an 8-1 record but the last year champions taught them a lesson in a flawless 29-0 victory. The Tigers totaled only 196 yards in opposite to Alabama’s 576, while the visitors completely stopped LSU’s rushing game, limiting them to miserable 12 yards on 25 carries. Considering that the rushing is the Tigers’ biggest offensive weapon, that was quite disappointing but the visitors will have a chance against Arkansas’ defense that allows 153.6 yards to the opposing rushers. The Tigers might be forced to use their passers as the Razorbacks’ defense allows passing 259.3 yards per contest, so the visitors can exploit both ground and air on this one.
Junior quarterback Joe Burrow is completing 53.5 percent of his passes for 1728 yards with six touchdowns and four interceptions for the Tigers. Burrow couldn’t get his offense going in a loss to the Crimson Tide as he ended the tilt with just 184 yards and an interception and even though he is not among the top quarterbacks in the country, Burrow will have a favorable matchup here.
The Razorbacks lost to the Commodores despite scoring 31 points
Arkansas defeated Tulsa without allowing them to score and snapped the six-game losing streak in the process but they suffered a home loss to the Vanderbilt Commodores, 45-31, after conceding 21 points in the final quarter. The Razorbacks opened the clash with a 7-0 lead but that was the only time they were up as the Commodores controlled the game since. Arkansas had a fine rushing game as they recorded 207 yards and a couple of touchdowns which is 30 yards more than their season average. The hosts will hope to have another 200+ yard display on the ground against LSU’s defense that allows 147.2 yards to the opposing runners. However, they could struggle with passing as the Tigers are allowing 210.3 yards to the opposing quarterback.
Junior quarterback Ty Storey is completing 58.4 percent of his passes for 1223 yards with nine touchdowns and seven interceptions for the Razorbacks. Storey didn’t impress in a loss to the Commodores as he posted 240 yards with two touchdowns and a pair of interceptions, and he could have another average performance in a matchup which is not very favorable for Arkansas’ quarterback.
- 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game
- 1-4 in the last five games played at home
- 10-2 ATS in their last 12 conference games
- 5-1 ATS in their last six games played in November
- 4-1 ATS in their last five games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
LSU won six out of the previous ten H2H encounters including the last two, while the Tigers were victorious in two out of the past three meetings at the Razorback Stadium. Despite the fact that the Tigers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 duels and they are 1-4 ATS in their previous five meetings in Arkansas, I am backing one of the toughest defenses in college football to prevail on this one and hand the Tigers a victory. LSU is allowing only 16.7 points per contest, while the Razorbacks are allowing 33.7 points to their opponents, so I am going with a clear choice here – the LSU Tigers.
Prediction: LSU Tigers -13
Full-Game Total Pick
Each of LSU’s previous four games went under and under is 8-2 in Razorbacks last ten games following a bye week, so I am backing under on this one. The Tigers’ sturdy defense will probably play a big part in making a low-scoring affair out of this tilt, while under is 13-3 in Tigers last 16 games in November, so it would be surprising to see a bunch of touchdowns here.