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Navy vs. UCF Prediction,
and Odds - 11-10-2018

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#135 Navy
#136 UCF

Saturday, November 10, 2018 at 12:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Navy Midshipmen

2 - 7


UCF Knights

8 - 0


The No. 11 UCF Knights will face a Navy squad that has struggled this season when these teams meet at Spectrum Stadium on Saturday. The Knights remain undefeated after defeating Temple 52-40 last week to move its record to 8-0. Meanwhile, Navy is currently 2-7 and are coming off of a disappointing 42-0 loss against Cincinnati.

UCF’s Offense Continues To Roll

UCF appears to have all the ingredients for a second straight undefeated season. They have an extremely balanced offensive attack that can score points more efficiently than most teams in the country. McKenzie Milton, the team’s starting quarterback, has been remarkable this season as he has carried the team’s offense to success for multiple seasons. This season, Milton has thrown for over 2,100 passing yards and 19 passing touchdowns with only five interceptions. However, Milton has also been fantastic on the ground as he has run for 223 rushing yards and seven rushing touchdowns.

UCF’s offense currently ranks sixth in the country in points per game with 45.4 and is also averaging 280.5 passing yards per game which ranks 25th.

Last week, Milton completed 17 of 33 passes for 312 yards with three passing touchdowns. Milton also added one rushing to lead UCF to 52 points and a victory. UCF also got a big contribution from running back Greg McCrae who ran for 188 yards and a touchdown. Now, UCF’s offense has a chance to feast against another inferior foe this Saturday. If UCF is on its game again, Saturday’s game could get ugly.

Navy’s Losing Streak Moves To Six

Last season, Navy finished 7-6 and won a bowl game. This season, Navy looked to build off of it and win another bowl game for the program. However, that will not happen since the team has already lost seven games which eliminates the team from bowl game eligibility. After starting the season 2-1, Navy has lost six straight games and will look to bounce-back against a ranked foe. Last week, Navy got demolished by Cincinnati 42-0 as its trademark triple option attack was stifled for the full 60 minutes.

Navy’s offense has switched quarterbacks multiple times this season as every option seems unable to generate positive results. Last week, senior quarterback Zach Abey was the starter and the team scored zero points. Abey completed three of his four passes for 47 yards while also running for 37 yards on 28 carries. However, Abey was the starter last season and played extremely well. Last season, Abey had 20 total touchdowns and ran for over 1,400 yards. Although Navy was a significantly better team last season, Abey still knows how to run this offense efficiently. Expect him to play better against UCF this week.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

Although 25.5 points is a lot to lay in a conference game, I personally believe that it is warranted in this case. Navy’s defense has been awful this season and UCF has one of the best offenses in the country. I expect UCF to experience some success guarding Navy’s inconsistent option attack as Milton and company will lead the Knights to at least 50 points. I think that UCF will win this game by at least four touchdowns if the starters do not get pulled in the middle of the fourth quarter. I will take the favorite in this contest as a result.

Prediction: UCF -25.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Both of these teams have struggled defensively and possess potent offenses. Navy’s has struggled but the triple option is extremely difficult to prepare for in only one week. Navy has no chance of stopping UCF on the road and I think this game will reach the high 70s as a result. I will side with the over as a result.

Prediction: Over 63


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