The TCU Horned Frogs and the West Virginia Mountaineers will look for another conference victory when they play this Saturday at Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown, WV. The TCU Horned Frogs enter this contest following an extremely close victory against Kansas State. West Virginia is entering this game off of a monumental win against Texas which helped keep the Mountaineers in the top-15.
Will Grier Looks To Carry West Virginia To A Victory
West Virginia entered the season with hopes of winning a conference championship and maybe even making the college football playoff. However, both of those dreams suffered a devastating blow when the team suffered a 30-14 upset against Iowa State a few weeks ago. However, West Virginia rallied since that loss and have won its last two games against quality conference foes. Now, West Virginia will look to defeat another conference foe in order to get closer to a Big 12 title game appearance.
🎥 Full highlights from yesterday's thrilling 42-41 victory at Texas! pic.twitter.com/qp1yiuQ91L
— WVU Football (@WVUfootball) November 4, 2018
West Virginia has been extremely successful with star quarterback Will Grier since his arrival in 2016. Grier currently has the second-most passing touchdowns in program history and is only eight touchdowns short of moving into first place. This season, Grier has thrown for 28 touchdowns and over 2,600 passing yards while throwing seven interceptions. Grier thrives in front of this Morgantown crowd and he tends to do extremely well against Baylor’s defense. Last season, Grier threw for three touchdowns and 366 passing yards against the Horned Frogs. Grier could not come into this game off of a better performance than he did last week in the team’s thrilling 42-41 victory against Texas as Grier threw a touchdown with less than a minutes left and then scored the game-winning two-point conversion himself to give his team the victory.
West Virginia’s offense currently ranks 13th in the country in points per game with 39.4 and is also averaging 333.1 passing yards per game which ranks sixth. Expect West Virginia’s offense to have a big game against TCU who have struggled in recent weeks.
TCU Barely Gets Past Kansas State
TCU started the season looking to follow up on its 11-3 season last year. The team looked poised for a solid season after the team won its first two games. However, the team’s season imploded as the team lost five of its last seven games with four of those losses coming in conference games. TCU’s offense was led by sophomore quarterback Shawn Robinson who was having a solid season. In the team’s first six games, he had nine passing touchdowns and over 1,300 passing yards along with three rushing touchdowns. However, Robinson suffered a season-ending shoulder injury a few weeks ago and TCU made Michael Collins the team’s starting quarterback for the rest of the season. Collins has looked good since becoming the starter as he has thrown for five touchdowns and 816 passing yards. Now, he will get to face West Virginia’s above average defense this Saturday.
TCU ‘s offense currently ranks 89th in the country in points per game with 26.6 and is also averaging 240.1 passing yards per game which ranks 60th.
— Horned Frogs (@TCU_Athletics) November 4, 2018
Last week, TCU played against Kansas State in a game where the Horned Frogs were expected to win relatively easily. However, the game was a nail biter as TCU managed to squeak out a 14-13 win. Leading the way was Collins who threw for 218 passing yards with one touchdown and zero interceptions. TCU struggled running the ball throughout the game as the team only had 57 total rushing yards. If TCU plans on winning the game this week, TCU will need to establish the running game.
- Mountaineers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Mountaineers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
- Mountaineers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Horned Frogs are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
- Horned Frogs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings against West Virginia.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Although it is intimidating to lay more than two touchdowns in a conference game, these teams are nowhere near even. West Virginia the significantly better team and is coming off of a huge win last week against a ranked foe. That win kept West Virginia’s hopes alive and I expect the team to ride that momentum this week against a TCU team that barely beat Kansas State at home last week. I’ll gladly take the favorite to win by at least three possessions.
Prediction: West Virginia -14.5
Full-Game Total Pick
Although West Virginia can score with relative ease behind Grier, TCU’s offense has struggled in recent weeks and now has to travel to a very hostile environment. I expect TCU to struggle offensively while its defense is still talented and should be able to limit West Virginia’s offense on occasion. I expect this game to go under the total as a result.