Texas Longhorns at Texas Tech Red Raiders
NCAAF: Saturday, November 10, 2018, Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, Texas, 7:30 PM ET
The Texas Longhorns were in an excellent form of six consecutive wins but they suffered a couple of defeats to drop to a 6-3 record in the Big 12 with two victories behind Oklahoma. On the other hand, the Texas Tech Red Raiders were on a two-game winning run but they also lost the previous two games and now they have a 5-4 record.
The Longhorns dropped the win in the final second of the tilt with the Mountaineers
Texas won six straight games but their positive streak ended with a narrow defeat to Oklahoma State, while the following 42-41 loss to the West Virginia Mountaineers was even more painful. The Longhorns had a 41-34 lead until the final 16 seconds of the tilt but Will Grier’s touchdown pass to Gary Jennings Jr. and a two-point conversion snatched a tight victory for the visitors. Texas surpass their season average of 266.3 passing yards with a 354-yard performance and three touchdowns and good news for them is the fact that the Red Raiders have one of the weakest defense against the passing that allows 291.9 yards per contest.
Sophomore quarterback Sam Ehlinger is completing 64.2 percent of his passes for 2171 yards with 16 touchdowns and two interceptions for the Longhorns. Ehlinger had an excellent game in a loss to the Mountaineers as he finished the clash with 354 yards and three touchdowns, completing 25 of 36 attempts, and he will have a great opportunity to post another 300+ yard display in a favorable matchup with a poor Texas Tech’s secondary.
The Red Raiders fell short to the Sooners in front of their own fans
Texas Tech displayed a brave performance against the conference leaders Oklahoma Sooners and had a 31-28 led at halftime, but the visitors responded in the second half and kept the hosts off the scoreboard in the third quarter to get a 51-56 victory. The Red Raiders recorded 366 passing yards with four touchdowns and the second-best passing offense in the country is facing the leaky Longhorns’ defense that allows 256.4 yards to the opposing receivers. Texas Tech is averaging 375.6 passing yards per contest and they will surely exploit the air in order to hurt the visitors.
Freshman quarterback Alan Bowman is completing 69.4 percent of his passes for 2638 yards with 17 touchdowns and seven interceptions for the Red Raiders. Bowman had a fine game as he recorded 227 yards with a couple of touchdowns and will probably have another 200+ yard show, while his deputy Jett Duffey could also get an opportunity to shine following his two passing touchdowns in a loss to the Sooners.
- 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games played in November
- 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss
- 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game
- 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games played in November
- 1-3-1 ATS in their last five conference games
- 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games on field turf
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Texas won seven out of the previous ten H2H encounters but Texas Tech won two out of the last three; however, the Red Raiders are without a home victory since 2008. Despite the negative run at home and the fact that the Longhorns are 6-2 ATS in their last eight duels and 4-0 ATS in their previous four meetings in Texas Tech, I am going with the Red Raiders’ top ten offense that is averaging 42.7 points per contest. Texas Tech’s defense is not without flaws and there will be a significant chance for the visitors to hurt a poor secondary, but I am backing the hosts’ offense to prevail on this one.
Prediction: Texas Tech Red Raiders +1
Full-Game Total Pick
The rivals are combining almost 75 points per game and considering their leaky defenses against the passing, I am expecting to see a bunch of touchdowns here. Even though under is 5-1 in the last six meetings and under is 4-0 in the previous four clashes in Texas Tech, if we take the previous two weeks into consideration, these teams’ respective offenses are a lot better than defenses. I am backing them to score 30+ points apiece in what could be one of the most efficient tilts of the week.