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Washington State Cougars at Colorado Buffaloes
NCAAF: Saturday, November 10, 2018, Folsom Field, Boulder, Colorado, 3:30 PM ET
The Washington State Cougars are in an excellent form of five consecutive wins and they are at the top of the Pac-12 North with an 8-1 record and a win here would put them two wins ahead of the Washington Huskies. On the other hand, after opening the campaign with five straight victories, the Colorado Buffaloes suffered four defeats in a row and dropped below Utah and Arizona State in the Pac-12 South standings.
The Cougars scored season-low 19 points in a win over the Golden Bears
Washington State is one of the most efficient teams in the country but they scored just 19 points against the California Golden Bears; however, that was enough to book a 19-13 victory. The Cougars held the visitors off the scoreboard in two quarters and recorded 413 total yards in opposite to California’s 291, while Gardner Minshew threw a winning touchdown pass to Easop Winston with only half a minute to go. Once again, the Cougars used the best passing offense in the country to hurt the rivals but they also added a rushing touchdown, which is certainly not their primary offensive weapon. Washington State’s passing offense is averaging 397.4 yards per contest and they will have another good opportunity to do damage through the air against Colorado’s defense that allows 237.0 yards to the opposing receivers.
Senior quarterback Gardner Minshew is completing 70.8 percent of his passes for 3517 yards with 27 touchdowns and seven interceptions for the Cougars. Minshew didn’t experience the best of games until the final minute when he completed a touchdown pass and ended the tilt with 334 yards with a TD and an interception. The 15th best-rated quarterback in college football at the moment will likely have a better performance at the Folsom Field in a favorable matchup with Colorado’s secondary.
The Buffaloes suffered the fourth consecutive loss
Colorado tried to bounce back from an overtime loss to Oregon State on the road against the Arizona Wildcats but they were kept off the scoreboard in the final quarter as the hosts secured a 42-34 victory. The Buffaloes totaled 383 yards in opposite to the Wildcats’ 566 and although they had 343 passing yards and three touchdowns, Arizona was better and deserved a win. Washington State has a top 40 passing defense that allows 194.4 yards to the opposing receivers, so the Buffaloes will not have an easy job on this one. Colorado is probably going to struggle on the ground as well as the Cougars are allowing 131.0 rushing yards per game.
Junior quarterback Steven Montez is completing 67.6 percent of his passes for 2396 yards with 17 touchdowns and five interceptions for the Buffaloes. Montez was very good in a loss to the Wildcats and recorded 343 yards with three touchdowns and an interception and another 300+ yard display would be considered as a great result for the quarterback, considering the opposing defense.
- 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 conference games
- 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games played in November
- 1-8-1 ATS in their last ten games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game
- 8-1 ATS in their last nine games in total
- 5-1 ATS in their last six conference games
- 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Washington State won three out of the previous five H2H encounters including the latest clash, when the Cougars didn’t allow the Buffaloes to get on the scoreboard, winning 28-0. Colorado is not playing well at the moment and they are facing a top 20 offense that is scoring 38.3 points per contest, so I am backing the top passing offense and one of the hottest teams in the country to cover the -6.5 spread. The Buffaloes proved recently that they have a serious problem to close games and the visitors will surely try to exploit that lack of concentration to win here.
Prediction: Washington State Cougars -6.5 (-115)
Full-Game Total Pick
The rivals are combining around 70 points per contest so far in the season and like the previous two Buffaloes’ games, this could turn into a classic shootout. Colorado’s defense is quite leaky recently as they conceded 83 points in the last two and although Washington State scored just 17 in the previous game, I am backing the visitors to respond with a 30+ point display here. I am backing over in one of the potentially highest-scoring tilts of the week.
Prediction: Over 62 (-110)
Full-Game Prop Bet
Colorado’s defense is very leaky in the previous two games as they conceded even 83 points, losing both tilts in the process, while Washington State already scored more than 35 points in five games this season, so I am backing the visitors to score 36+ here.
Prediction: Team Points: Washington State Cougars Over 35.5 (-110)
Half-Time Side Pick
The Cougars trailed at halftime only once in the last five games, while the Buffaloes were down after the opening 30 minutes in three of their previous four defeats, and even though I don’t expect Washington State to be dominant in the first half, I am backing them to cover the -3.5 spread.
Prediction: Washington State Cougars -3.5 (-115)
Half-Time Total Bet
Only one of Colorado’s last five games produced more than 31 points at halftime but even five of Washington State’s previous seven games produced 32+ points after the first 30 minutes and considering the Cougars’ high-flying offense and Colorado’s weak defense, I am going with over here.
Prediction: Over 31 (-110)
Half-Time Prop Prediction
I already backed the visitors to score more than 35 points on this one and I also believe they will be the first team to win the race to 35 points, so I am going with the Cougars to beat the Buffaloes in that race and almost double our stake.
Prediction: Race to 35 Points: Washington State Cougars (-105)