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The Ohio University Broncos host Mid American Conference rival Western Michigan Tuesday. Ohio is 4-5 on the season and 3-2 in the MAC while Western Michigan is 6-4 overall and 4-2 in the conference. Ohio broke a 4-game losing streak against the Broncos last year by drubbing them 59-14. This year, Ohio is a one-point favorite. Kickoff is at 7:30 p.m. Eastern on Tuesday at Peden Stadium in Athens, Ohio.
Bellamy leads Western MichiganThe Western Michigan Broncos are 6-4 on the year and 4-2 in the MAC, They are in second place in the West Division, which puts them tied for first in the division with Central Michigan. The Broncos have won two straight including a 35-31 win over Ball State last week. It was a wild finish as Ball State scored with four minutes left to go up 31-28, but the Broncos came back with the winning touchdown, a 9 yard run by LeVante Bellamy, with 1:28 left. Bellamy had 157 yards rushing and 3 touchdowns. Quarterback John Wassink rushed for another 131 yards, The Broncos rushed for 382 yards as a team.
Explosive and elusive are just two words to describe Levante Bellamy's week 11 performance. pic.twitter.com/ZjVmIErxos— PFF College (@PFF_College) November 10, 2019
The Broncos have a very potent offense. They average 36 points per game, which ranks 25th in the country. They average 466 total yards per game, which is also 25th in the nation. That includes 242 ypg in the air, which is 55th, and 223 ypg on the ground, which ranks 19th. Defensively, the Broncos are decent. They allow 26 points per game, which is 61st in the country. They allow 428 total yards per game, which is 98th in the country. They give up 242 ypg in the air, which is 86th, and 186 ypg on the ground, which is 94th in the country.
Ohio falls to division leaderThe Ohio University Bobcats are 4-5 on the year and 3-2 in the East Division of the MAC. They are still in contention to win the division, but they need a win here. The Bobcats are tied for second with Buffalo and they are one game behind Miami of Ohio. The Bobcats are coming off a heartbreaking loss to Miami last week 24-21. Ohio tied it at 21 on a 9 yard run by Nathan O'Rourke with about 9:28 left in the fourth quarter, but Miami won it on a field goal with about 4:27 left. Ohio had a chance to tie, but couldn't get in field goal range. O'Rourke, the quarterback, rushed for 89 yards and 2 touchdowns. O'Rourke also passed for 133 yards and a touchdown.
The Bobcats offense is pretty solid. They average 29 points per game, which ranks 65th in the country. They average 407 total yards per game, which is 67th in the nation. That includes 208 ypg in the air, which is 89th in the nation, and 198 ypg on the ground, which ranks 37th. Defensively, the Bobcats allow 29 points per game, which is 78th in the country. They allow 427 total yards per game, which is 96th in the country. They give up 231 ypg in the air, which is 74th, and 196 ypg on the ground, which is 100th in the country.
Trends are from Covers.com:
- Bobcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
- Bobcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bobcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
- Bobcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Bobcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
- Bobcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Bobcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game
- Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Take the Broncos getting the point. I love the Broncos here. I'm surprised they are not favored. When you look at common opponents, Western Michigan beat up on Ball State while Ohio lost to them. Also, Western Michigan has an elite running game and Ohio is not very good against the run so I don't see how they are going to slow the Broncos down. It will undoubtedly be a close game because Ohio is home, they are also a good running team, but when its all said and done, I like the better team -- Western Michigan - to pull it out. A win would put them in first place in their division and that's a great incentive.
Prediction: Western Michigan +1
Full-Game Total Pick
Take the over. The total is set pretty high here, which gives me a little bit of a pause. But not enough to NOT take the over. These are two very pedestrian defenses and neither are very good against the run. That's a problem because both of these teams run the ball very well. I think we'll see a game where the teams are going up and down the field with few punts. So, look for them to both be in the 30s. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two head-to-head. Also, the over is 4-1 in the Bobcats last 5 games following a straight up loss and 5-1-1 in the Broncos last 7 games following a straight up win.