Upcoming Free Picks

Boise State vs. New Mexico Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 11-16-2018

This is a past game! View all upcoming NCAAF games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#317 Boise State
Broncos -20
#318 New Mexico
Lobos 62.5

Friday, November 16, 2018 at 9:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Boise State Broncos

8 - 2

5-4
ATS
5-4
O/U
36
PPG
22
OPPG

New Mexico Lobos

3 - 7

4-6
ATS
7-2
O/U
30
PPG
35
OPPG

Boise State Broncos at New Mexico Lobos 

NCAAF: Friday, November 16, 2018, Dreamstyle Stadium, Albuquerque, New Mexico, 9:00 PM ET

The Boise State Broncos are in a great form of five consecutive wins and they are entering this Mountain West Conference matchup as strong favorites to get the ninth victory of the campaign and stay close to Utah State who is currently the conference leaders. On the other hand, the New Mexico Lobos are in a poor run of five straight defeats and are at the bottom of the MW with a 3-7 record and it seems they will drop to 3-8 after this clash.

The Broncos displayed an excellent performance in the final quarter to beat the Bulldogs

Boise State won four consecutive games to improve to a 7-2 record and even though they were 17-10 down after the opening three quarters in a duel with the Fresno State Bulldogs, they managed to come back and secure a 24-17 victory. The Broncos were excellent defensively in the final quarter as they didn’t allow the visitors to score, while they posted 269 passing yards and the top 20 passing offense will get another opportunity to hurt the Lobos’ defense that is allowing 280.9 yards to the opposing receivers. Also, the Broncos will have a chance to do damage on the ground as New Mexico allows 201.2 yards per contest to the opposing runners.

Senior quarterback Brett Rypien is completing 68.9 percent of his passes for 3048 yards with 25 touchdowns and seven interceptions for the Broncos. Rypien had a solid display in a win over the Bulldogs as he recorded 269 yards with a touchdown and an interception and the upcoming matchup with New Mexico will be his chance to add 300+ yards and lead his team to the victory.

The Lobos are desperate to avoid the sixth straight defeat

New Mexico continued with a poor performance in the latest defeat to the Air Force Falcons despite scoring 24 points, which is the highest amount of points in the last five games. The Lobos played well in the opening half and had an active 17-21 result but Air Force improved in the second 30 minutes and kept the New Mexico off the scoreboard in the final quarter to book a 42-24 win. New Mexico is averaging 199.0 passing yards per contest and exploiting the air will likely be their chance on this one as the Broncos are allowing 239.3 yards to the opposing receivers. However, the hosts will probably have troubles to get their running game going against the top 30 defense that allows only 125.9 rushing yards per game.

Junior quarterback Sheriron Jones is completing 54.4 percent of his passes for 1316 yards with 13 touchdowns and 11 interceptions for the Lobos. Jones was completely stopped in a loss to the Falcons as he threw for just 114 yards with an interception before being subbed off in favor of ColtinGerhart who also failed to find the end zone. Jones will keep his starting job for the time being but if he struggles again, Gerhart will get his chance to shine.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Boise State won six out of the previous seven H2H encounters including the last two, while the Broncos were victorious in the past three meetings at the Dreamstyle Stadium. Even though the Broncos are 1-6 ATS in their last seven duels and underdog is 6-1 ATS in their previous seven meetings, I am going with the visitors on this one. The Lobos are on a three-game losing run at home, while Boise State won the previous three games on the road and they are fighting with Utah State for the top spot in the Mountain West and the top 30 offense that is averaging 36.6 points per contest shouldn’t have problems against the defense that allows 35.8 points per game.

Prediction: Boise State Broncos -20 (-110)

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

New Mexico’s offense is not bad at all as they are scoring 30.8 points per game and considering Boise State’s high-flying offense, I am expecting at least 60 points here, so I am backing over. Over is 8-2 in Lobos last ten games overall; over is 4-1 in Lobos previous five home games, while over is 4-0 in Broncos last four vs. a team with a losing record. The Lobos conceded 30+ points in each of their four games at home this year, while the Broncos scored 30+ in the last three road games, so this one should be another high-scoring affair.

Prediction: Over 62.5 (-110)

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

Boise State scored more than 41 points in four games this season, while New Mexico allowed 42+ points to their opponents on four occasions this year and considering the teams’ respective forms at the moment, I am backing the visitors to slice the Lobos’ defense and score at least 42 points here.

Prediction: Team Points: Boise State Broncos Over 41.5 (-138)

Half-Time Side Pick
Rating:

The Broncos didn’t impress in the first halves of the previous five games as they were up at halftime just twice in that span, winning all five games in the end. However, the Lobos are in a disastrous form and I don’t think they will be able to cope with Boise State’s offense early in the game and the -11.5 spread should be a piece of cake for the visitors so I am backing them to cover it.

Prediction: Boise State Broncos -11.5 (-110)

Half-Time Total Bet
Rating:

I am expecting at least 20-25 points from the visitors in the opening 30 minutes and even though none of their last two games produce more than 32 points at halftime, I am backing over on this one. Boise State’s games are much more efficient on the road than at home, which is the biggest reason why I am backing over 32.5 points in the first half.

Prediction: Over 32.5 (-110)

Half-Time Prop Prediction
Rating:

The Broncos scored more than eight points in the opening quarter in three out of their last four games, while New Mexico conceded 9+ points in the first 15 minutes in two of their previous three games, so I am backing Boise State to score at least one touchdown with a field goal to make us profit.

Prediction: 1st Quarter Team Points: Boise State Broncos Over 8.5 (-120)

The Admiral

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to me, I am your man. Folks, I have been doing this since....forever, so yeah, I know a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with the totals. Basketball, Soccer, Football, Hockey, you name it, and I will find the best pick for you.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Friday, Dec 14
NBA
#567 Atlanta Hawks 224.5
#568 Boston Celtics -13
7:05pm
View Pick
#569 New York Knicks 224.5
#570 Charlotte Hornets -11
7:05pm
View Pick
#571 Milwaukee Bucks -10.5
#572 Cleveland Cavaliers 218.5
7:35pm
View Pick
#573 Indiana Pacers 216.5
#574 Philadelphia 76ers -4.5
7:35pm
View Pick
#575 Washington Wizards 228.5
#576 Brooklyn Nets -1.5
7:35pm
View Pick
#577 Miami Heat 203.5
#578 Memphis Grizzlies -5.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#579 Toronto Raptors -3
#580 Portland Trailblazers 216
10:05pm
View Pick
#581 Golden State Warriors -8.5
#582 Sacramento Kings 236.5
10:05pm
View Pick
#583 Oklahoma City Thunder -2
#584 Denver Nuggets 216.5
10:05pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#801 Illinois - Chicago 153.5
#802 DePaul -9.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#803 FAU 151
#804 Arkansas State -1.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#805 Wisconsin-Green Bay
#806 Creighton
9:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#1 Vegas -130
#2 New Jersey 6
7:05pm
View Pick
#3 Arizona 6
#4 N.Y. Rangers -150
7:05pm
View Pick
#7 Ottawa 5.5
#8 Detroit -160
7:35pm
View Pick
#11 Colorado -130
#12 St. Louis 6.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#13 Winnipeg -155
#14 Chicago 6.5
8:35pm
View Pick
#15 Philadelphia -155
#16 Edmonton 6.5
9:05pm
View Pick
Saturday, Dec 15
NFL
#303 Houston Texans -7
#304 New York Jets 42.5
4:30pm
View Pick
#305 Cleveland Browns 44.5
#306 Denver Broncos -2.5
8:20pm
View Pick
NCAAF
#203 Tulane -3.5
#204 UL Lafayette 59
1:30pm
View Pick
#201 North Texas 64.5
#202 Utah State -7.5
2:00pm
View Pick
#205 Arizona State 52.5
#206 Fresno State -6
3:30pm
View Pick
#207 Eastern Michigan 48
#208 Georgia Southern -3.5
5:30pm
View Pick
#209 Middle Tennessee State 50.5
#210 Appalachian State -6.5
9:00pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#659 Penn State
#660 NC State
2:00pm
View Pick
#667 Indiana
#668 Butler
3:45pm
View Pick
#669 Iowa State
#670 Drake
4:30pm
View Pick
#655 Baylor
#656 Arizona
11:00pm
View Pick
Wednesday, Dec 19
NCAAF
#213 Ohio U -3
#214 San Diego State 55
8:00pm
View Pick
Thursday, Dec 20
NCAAF
#215 Marshall -3
#216 USF 54.5
8:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Dec 21
NCAAF
#219 BYU -12.5
#220 Western Michigan 48
4:00pm
View Pick
Wednesday, Dec 26
NCAAF
#229 Boston College 55
#230 Boise State -2.5
1:30pm
View Pick
#231 Minnesota 61
#232 Georgia Tech -6
5:15pm
View Pick
#233 TCU 41
#234 California -1
9:00pm
View Pick
Thursday, Dec 27
NCAAF
#235 Duke 56.5
#236 Temple -3.5
1:30pm
View Pick
#237 Miami - FL -4
#238 Wisconsin 47
5:15pm
View Pick
#239 Vanderbilt -3.5
#240 Baylor 55
9:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Dec 28
NCAAF
#241 Auburn
#242 Purdue
1:30pm
View Pick
#243 Syracuse
#244 West Virginia
5:15pm
View Pick
#247 Iowa State
#248 Washington State
9:00pm
View Pick
Saturday, Dec 29
NCAAF
#249 Florida
#250 Michigan
12:00pm
View Pick
#251 South Carolina
#252 Virginia
12:00pm
View Pick
#245 Arkansas State
#246 Nevada
1:15pm
View Pick
#255 Notre Dame
#256 Clemson
4:00pm
View Pick
#253 Oklahoma
#254 Alabama
8:00pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 31
NCAAF
#257 Virginia Tech
#258 Cincinnati
12:00pm
View Pick
#259 Pittsburgh
#260 Stanford
2:00pm
View Pick
#261 Michigan State
#262 Oregon
3:00pm
View Pick
#263 Missouri
#264 Oklahoma State
3:45pm
View Pick
#265 Northwestern
#266 Utah
7:00pm
View Pick
#267 NC State
#268 Texas A&M
7:30pm
View Pick
Tuesday, Jan 1
NCAAF
#269 Iowa
#270 Mississippi St
12:00pm
View Pick
#271 Kentucky
#272 Penn State
1:00pm
View Pick
#273 LSU
#274 UCF
1:00pm
View Pick
#275 Washington
#276 Ohio State
5:00pm
View Pick
#277 Texas
#278 Georgia
8:45pm
View Pick
Sunday, Dec 16
NFL
#307 Miami Dolphins 44.5
#308 Minnesota Vikings -7.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#309 Oakland Raiders 46.5
#310 Cincinnati Bengals -3
1:00pm
View Pick
#311 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 47.5
#312 Baltimore Ravens -7
1:00pm
View Pick
#313 Dallas Cowboys 47
#314 Indianapolis Colts -3
1:00pm
View Pick
#315 Detroit Lions 38
#316 Buffalo Bills -2
1:00pm
View Pick
#317 Packers 46.5
#318 Chicago Bears -6
1:00pm
View Pick
#319 Tennessee Titans 44
#320 New York Giants -2
1:00pm
View Pick
#321 Washington Redskins 36
#322 Jacksonville Jaguars -7.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#323 Arizona Cardinals 44
#324 Atlanta Falcons -10
1:00pm
View Pick
#325 Seattle Seahawks -4
#326 49ers 44.5
4:05pm
View Pick
#327 New England Patriots -3
#328 Pittsburgh Steelers 52.5
4:25pm
View Pick
#329 Philadelphia Eagles 52
#330 Los Angeles Rams -11
8:20pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 17
NFL
#331 New Orleans Saints -6.5
#332 Carolina Panthers 54
8:15pm
View Pick